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Implications of climate change for tourism in Australia

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  • Amelung, Bas
  • Nicholls, Sarah

Abstract

This study assesses the impacts of projected climate change on Australia's tourism industry. Based on application of the Tourism Climatic Index, it investigates potential changes in climatic attractiveness for Australia's major destinations, and discusses implications for tourist flows and tourism planning, development and management. Australia may see considerable changes in spatial and temporal patterns of climatic suitability for tourism, with a southward shift in the most desirable conditions and a decline in the climatic attractiveness of northern locations. For destinations in which conditions are projected to decline, increased investment in indoor amenities may become increasingly necessary; where conditions are projected to improve, the provision of adequate infrastructure to accommodate potential increases in visitation and implementation of mechanisms to minimise the impacts of excess use may be more important. Adoption of a pro-active rather than reactive stance to climate change will maximise the ability of tourism stakeholders to successfully adapt.

Suggested Citation

  • Amelung, Bas & Nicholls, Sarah, 2014. "Implications of climate change for tourism in Australia," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 228-244.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:41:y:2014:i:c:p:228-244
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2013.10.002
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    1. Marit E. Kragt & Peter C. Roebeling & Arjan Ruijs, 2009. "Effects of Great Barrier Reef degradation on recreational reef-trip demand: a contingent behaviour approach ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(2), pages 213-229, April.
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    1. Alejandra R. Enríquez & Angel Bujosa Bestard, 2020. "Measuring the economic impact of climate-induced environmental changes on sun-and-beach tourism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 203-217, May.
    2. Olya, Hossein G.T. & Alipour, Habib, 2015. "Risk assessment of precipitation and the tourism climate index," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 73-80.
    3. Guiqiang Qiao & Jun Gao, 2017. "Chinese Tourists’ Perceptions of Climate Change and Mitigation Behavior: An Application of Norm Activation Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-13, July.
    4. Yanlong Guo & Jiaying Yu & Han Zhang & Zuoqing Jiang, 2022. "A Study on Cultural Context Perception in Huizhou Cultural and Ecological Reserve Based on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-20, December.
    5. George Katavoutas & Dimitra Founda & Gianna Kitsara & Christos Giannakopoulos, 2021. "Climate Change and Thermal Comfort in Top Tourist Destinations—The Case of Santorini (Greece)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    6. Daniel Scott & Robert Steiger & Michelle Rutty & Marc Pons & Peter Johnson, 2020. "Climate Change and Ski Tourism Sustainability: An Integrated Model of the Adaptive Dynamics between Ski Area Operations and Skier Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-16, December.
    7. Esraa A. El-Masry & Mahmoud Kh. El-Sayed & Mohamed A. Awad & Amr A. El-Sammak & Mohamed A. El Sabarouti, 2022. "Vulnerability of tourism to climate change on the Mediterranean coastal area of El Hammam–EL Alamein, Egypt," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1145-1165, January.
    8. Kirsten Noome & Jennifer M. Fitchett, 2022. "Quantifying the climatic suitability for tourism in Namibia using the Tourism Climate Index (TCI)," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 5094-5111, April.
    9. Tarik Dogru & Umit Bulut & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk, 2021. "Modeling tourism demand: Theoretical and empirical considerations for future research," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 874-889, June.
    10. Zha, Jianping & He, Lamei & Liu, Yang & Shao, Yuhong, 2019. "Evaluation on development efficiency of low-carbon tourism economy: A case study of Hubei Province, China," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 47-57.
    11. Rafael Llorca & Alejandra Martínez – Martínez, 2025. "Is Climate Change Altering Tourism Flows? Insights from Structural Gravity Estimation," Working Papers 2503, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    12. Laila Shahzad & Ajwa Tahir & Maryam Dogar & Salar Saeed, 2021. "A metric-based assessment of climate and tourism in major cities of Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(9), pages 13607-13627, September.
    13. Natalie Warzywoda & Paul Dargusch & Genia Hill, 2022. "How Meaningful Are Modest Carbon Emissions Reductions Targets? The Case of Sumitomo Electrical Group’s Short-Term Targets towards Longer-Term Net Zero," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-10, April.
    14. Siyao Ma & Christopher Craig & Daniel Scott & Song Feng, 2021. "Global Climate Resources for Camping and Nature-Based Tourism," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-15, December.
    15. Valadkhani, Abbas & O’Mahony, Barry, 2015. "Dynamics of Australia’s tourism in a multimarket context," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 173-177.

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