IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v174y2022ics004016252100648x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Creativity, proactivity, and foresight

Author

Listed:
  • Bourmistrov, Anatoli
  • Åmo, Bjørn Willy

Abstract

This study addresses how foresight interventions can translate creativity into proactive behavior and, in this sense, foster anticipatory strategic management. We develop a theoretical model, linking creativity and proactivity with known discrete individual foresight cognitive styles, namely “Reactor”, “Tester”, “Adapter”, and “Framer”, but also add a new “Actor” dimension. The theoretical model is tested by analyzing quantitative data from 172 students attending two scenario-building workshops. Our SEM model allows us to formulate three conclusions. First, creativity is not directly linked to proactivity without considering individual foresight cognitive styles. Second, we confirm the presence of four components of foresight as discrete foresight cognitive styles but also demonstrate the importance of a fifth component, the “Actor”. Third, it is only through the “Tester”, “Adapter”, and “Actor” components that creative energy most significantly aids proactivity. This means that creativity most significantly aids proactivity when individuals are either able to experiment with alternative courses of action or change the conditions for how their respective futures may unfold. We contribute to the foresight literature by demonstrating how foresight, as a process of intervention, can foster discrete foresight cognitive styles at the individual level and moderate relationships between creativity and proactivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Bourmistrov, Anatoli & Åmo, Bjørn Willy, 2022. "Creativity, proactivity, and foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:174:y:2022:i:c:s004016252100648x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121215
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016252100648X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121215?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Djuricic, Ksenija & Bootz, Jean-Philippe, 2019. "Effectuation and foresight – An exploratory study of the implicit links between the two concepts," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 115-128.
    2. Schwarz, Jan Oliver & Kroehl, Rixa & von der Gracht, Heiko A., 2014. "Novels and novelty in trend research — Using novels to perceive weak signals and transfer frames of reference," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 66-73.
    3. Haarhaus, Tim & Liening, Andreas, 2020. "Building dynamic capabilities to cope with environmental uncertainty: The role of strategic foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    4. Gordon, Adam Vigdor & Ramic, Mirza & Rohrbeck, René & Spaniol, Matthew J., 2020. "50 Years of corporate and organizational foresight: Looking back and going forward," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    5. Stephen Ko & John E. Butler, 2006. "Prior knowledge, bisociative mode of thinking and entrepreneurial opportunity identification," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(1), pages 3-16.
    6. Mazzucchelli, Alice & Chierici, Roberto & Abbate, Tindara & Fontana, Stefano, 2019. "Exploring the microfoundations of innovation capabilities. Evidence from a cross-border R&D partnership," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 242-252.
    7. Thierry Burger-Helmchen, 2008. "From Investment Rules of Thumb to Routines," Post-Print hal-02153062, HAL.
    8. Charles R. Schwenk, 1984. "Cognitive simplification processes in strategic decision‐making," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(2), pages 111-128, April.
    9. Gautam Ahuja & Russell W. Coff & Peggy M. Lee, 2005. "Managerial foresight and attempted rent appropriation: insider trading on knowledge of imminent breakthroughs," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(9), pages 791-808, September.
    10. Tommaso Palermo, 2018. "Accounts of the future," Qualitative Research in Accounting & Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(1), pages 2-23, March.
    11. Wayland, Rebecca, 2019. "Three senses of paradigm in scenario methodology: A preliminary framework and systematic approach for using intuitive logics scenarios to change mental models and improve strategic decision-making in ," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 504-516.
    12. Koonce, Lisa & Seybert, Nick & Smith, James, 2011. "Causal reasoning in financial reporting and voluntary disclosure," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 209-225.
    13. H. Lesca & N. Lesca, 2014. "Strategic decisions and weak signals. Anticipation for decision-making," Post-Print halshs-01073807, HAL.
    14. Franco, L. Alberto & Meadows, Maureen & Armstrong, Steven J., 2013. "Exploring individual differences in scenario planning workshops: A cognitive style framework," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 723-734.
    15. Palermo, Tommaso, 2018. "Accounts of the future: a multiple-case study of scenarios in planning and management control processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86648, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. Greg Fisher, 2012. "Effectuation, Causation, and Bricolage: A Behavioral Comparison of Emerging Theories in Entrepreneurship Research," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 36(5), pages 1019-1051, September.
    17. Sarah Kaplan & Wanda J. Orlikowski, 2013. "Temporal Work in Strategy Making," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(4), pages 965-995, August.
    18. Robert M. Grant, 2003. "Strategic planning in a turbulent environment: evidence from the oil majors," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(6), pages 491-517, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alicia Martín-Navarro & Félix Velicia-Martín & José Aurelio Medina-Garrido & Ricardo Gouveia Rodrigues, 2023. "Causal propensity as an antecedent of entrepreneurial intentions," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 501-522, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marinković, Milan & Al-Tabbaa, Omar & Khan, Zaheer & Wu, Jie, 2022. "Corporate foresight: A systematic literature review and future research trajectories," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 289-311.
    2. Bowman, Gary & Parks, Ryan W., 2024. "Between episodes of strategy: Sociomateriality, sensemaking, and dysfunction in a scenario planning process," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    3. Sakellariou, Evy & Vecchiato, Riccardo, 2022. "Foresight, sensemaking, and new product development: Constructing meanings for the future," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    4. Spaniol, Matthew J. & Rowland, Nicholas J., 2022. "Business ecosystems and the view from the future: The use of corporate foresight by stakeholders of the Ro-Ro shipping ecosystem in the Baltic Sea Region," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    5. Tiina Henttu-Aho, 2018. "The role of rolling forecasting in budgetary control systems: reactive and proactive types of planning," Journal of Management Control: Zeitschrift für Planung und Unternehmenssteuerung, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 327-360, December.
    6. Paula Jarzabkowski & Sarah Kaplan, 2015. "Strategy tools-in-use: A framework for understanding “technologies of rationality” in practice," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 537-558, April.
    7. Sarpong, David & Maclean, Mairi, 2016. "Cultivating strategic foresight in practise: A relational perspective," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(8), pages 2812-2820.
    8. Donal Crilly, 2017. "Time and Space in Strategy Discourse: Implications for Intertemporal Choice," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(12), pages 2370-2389, December.
    9. Said Yousef Dwikat & Darwina Arshad & Mohd Noor Mohd Shariff, 2022. "The Influence of Systematic Strategic Planning and Strategic Business Innovation on the Sustainable Performance of Manufacturing SMEs: The Case of Palestine," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-26, October.
    10. Younis, Heba & Elbanna, Said, 2022. "How Do SMEs Decide on International Market Entry? An Empirical Examination in the Middle East," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 28(1).
    11. Favato, Giampiero & Vecchiato, Riccardo, 2017. "Embedding real options in scenario planning: A new methodological approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 135-149.
    12. Siebelink, Remco & Hofman, Erwin & Halman, Johannes I.M. & Nee, Ingo, 2021. "Roadmapping: (Missed) opportunities to overcome strategic challenges," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 64(4), pages 501-512.
    13. Dufva, Mikko & Ahlqvist, Toni, 2015. "Knowledge creation dynamics in foresight: A knowledge typology and exploratory method to analyse foresight workshops," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 251-268.
    14. Shardul Sharad Phadnis & Inga‐Lena Darkow, 2021. "Scenario planning as a strategy process to foster supply chain adaptability: theoretical framework and longitudinal case," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(2), June.
    15. Megan M. Crawford & Eoin Plant‐O'Toole, 2023. "A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(3-4), September.
    16. Mareike Bergmann & Christian Brück & Thorsten Knauer & Anja Schwering, 2020. "Digitization of the budgeting process: determinants of the use of business analytics and its effect on satisfaction with the budgeting process," Journal of Management Control: Zeitschrift für Planung und Unternehmenssteuerung, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 25-54, April.
    17. Shardul S. Phadnis, 2019. "Effectiveness of Delphi‐ and scenario planning‐like processes in enabling organizational adaptation: A simulation‐based comparison," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), June.
    18. Zhang, Stephen X. & Foo, Maw-Der & Vassolo, Roberto S., 2021. "The ramifications of effectuation on biases in entrepreneurship – Evidence from a mixed-method approach," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 15(C).
    19. Areej Hijazin & Javier Tamayo-Torres & Nawras Nusairat, 2023. "Moderating the Synergies between Business Intelligence and Strategic Foresight: Navigating Uncertainty for Future Success through Knowledge Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-17, September.
    20. Gary Bowman & R. Bradley MacKay, 2020. "Scenario planning as strategic activity: A practice‐orientated approach," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(3-4), September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:174:y:2022:i:c:s004016252100648x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.