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Testing for structural break in Japanese demand system after the bubble era

  • Ogura, Manami
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    The aims of this paper are two: to define the structural break in the Japanese demand system after the bubble era and to apply the structural break test developed by Andrews et al. (1996) within the framework of the cointegrated demand system. Our test results reject the null hypothesis of no structural break for March 1994 and then demonstrate the structural break after the bubble era. We define the concept of structural break as the time-series change in preference having the following two aspects: the change in preference for commodity prices by the decline in personal income and the change in preference regarding goods in the course of aging effect, with the improvement of living standards.

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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X11000336
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    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Structural Change and Economic Dynamics.

    Volume (Year): 22 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 3 (September)
    Pages: 277-286

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:22:y:2011:i:3:p:277-286
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/525148

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    1. Andrews, Donald W. K. & Lee, Inpyo & Ploberger, Werner, 1996. "Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 9-38, January.
    2. Moschini, Giancarlo & Moro, Daniele, 1996. "Structural Change and Demand Analysis: A Cursory Review," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 23(3), pages 239-61.
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    16. Phillips, Peter C B & Ouliaris, S, 1990. "Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 165-93, January.
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