On the asymptotic behaviour of unit-root tests in the presence of a Markov trend
This paper examines the behaviour of unit-root tests for I(1) time series with drift which is subject to Markov regime changes. It is shown that the asymptotic null distributions of the popular Dickey-Fuller statistics are different from the standard asymptotic distributions obtained under a no-break assumption. Monte Carlo experiments are used to illustrate the finite-sample implications of the theoretical results.
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Volume (Year): 57 (2002)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
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References listed on IDEAS
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- Montañés, Antonio & Reyes, Marcelo, 1999. "The asymptotic behaviour of the Dickey-Fuller tests under the crash hypothesis," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 81-89, March.
- Perron, Pierre & Ng, Serena, 1996.
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- Stephen J. Leybourne And Paul Newbold, 2000. "Behaviour of the standard and symmetric Dickey-Fuller-type tests when there is a break under the null hypothesis," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
- Hansen, Bruce E, 1992. "The Likelihood Ratio Test under Nonstandard Conditions: Testing the Markov Switching Model of GNP," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages S61-82, Suppl. De.
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