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Stochastic optimization model for distribution and evacuation planning (A case study of Tehran earthquake)

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  • Ghasemi, Peiman
  • Khalili-Damghani, Kaveh
  • Hafezalkotob, Ashkan
  • Raissi, Sadigh

Abstract

In this study, a stochastic multi-objective mixed-integer mathematical programming is proposed for logistic distribution and evacuation planning during an earthquake. Decisions about the pre- and post-phases of the disaster are considered seamless. The decisions of the pre-disaster phase relate to the location of permanent relief distribution centers and the number of the commodities to be stored. The decisions of the second phase are to determine the optimal location for the establishment of temporary care centers to increase the speed of treating the injured people and the distribution of the commodities at the affected areas. Humanitarian and cost issues are considered in the proposed models through three objective functions. Several sets of constraints are also considered in the proposed model to make it flexible to handle real issues. Demands for food, blood, water, blanket, and tent are assumed to be probabilistic which are related to several complicated factors and modeled using a complicated network in this study. A simulation is setup to generate the probabilistic distribution of demands through several scenarios. The stochastic demands are assumed as inputs for the proposed stochastic multi-objective mixed integer mathematical programming model.

Suggested Citation

  • Ghasemi, Peiman & Khalili-Damghani, Kaveh & Hafezalkotob, Ashkan & Raissi, Sadigh, 2020. "Stochastic optimization model for distribution and evacuation planning (A case study of Tehran earthquake)," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:71:y:2020:i:c:s0038012118300892
    DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2019.100745
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    4. Shengjie Long & Dezhi Zhang & Shuangyan Li & Shuanglin Li, 2023. "Two-Stage Multi-Objective Stochastic Model on Patient Transfer and Relief Distribution in Lockdown Area of COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-25, January.
    5. Tanzid Hasnain & Irem Sengul Orgut & Julie Simmons Ivy, 2021. "Elicitation of Preference among Multiple Criteria in Food Distribution by Food Banks," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(12), pages 4475-4500, December.
    6. Aghaie, Sepide & Karimi, Behrooz, 2022. "Location-allocation-routing for emergency shelters based on geographical information system (ArcGIS) by NSGA-II (case study: Earthquake occurrence in Tehran (District-1))," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    7. Sun, Huali & Li, Jiamei & Wang, Tingsong & Xue, Yaofeng, 2022. "A novel scenario-based robust bi-objective optimization model for humanitarian logistics network under risk of disruptions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    8. Sedigheh Meimandi Parizi & Mohammad Taleai & Ayyoob Sharifi, 2021. "Integrated methods to determine urban physical resilience characteristics and their interactions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 725-754, October.
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    10. Soheyl Khalilpourazari & Seyed Hamid Reza Pasandideh, 2021. "Designing emergency flood evacuation plans using robust optimization and artificial intelligence," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 640-677, April.

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