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The informational efficiency of bonds and stocks: The role of institutional sized bond trades

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  • Tsai, Hui-Ju

Abstract

We compare the informational efficiency of bond and stock markets. For speculative-grade firms, we find a higher degree of response to earnings surprises from institutional bond trades than from retail bond trades, but we don't see evidence that institutional bond trades react more quickly than retail bond trades. Bond trades are slower than stock trades in reacting to earnings surprises. Over the entire sample period, we find that for speculative-grade firms, the predictability of stock returns by bond returns can be improved when only institutional bond trades are considered. The observation, however, does not hold for investment-grade firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsai, Hui-Ju, 2014. "The informational efficiency of bonds and stocks: The role of institutional sized bond trades," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 34-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:31:y:2014:i:c:p:34-45
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2013.12.002
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    2. Iyer, Subramanian R. & Simkins, Betty J. & Wang, Heng, 2020. "Cyberattacks and impact on bond valuation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    3. Lifang Li & Valentina Galvani, 2021. "Informed Trading and Momentum in the Corporate Bond Market [Asset pricing with liquidity risk]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1773-1816.
    4. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
    5. Cao, N. & Galvani, V. & Gubellini, S., 2017. "Firm-specific stock and bond predictability: New evidence from Canada," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 174-192.
    6. Li, Lifang & Galvani, Valentina, 2018. "Market states, sentiment, and momentum in the corporate bond market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 249-265.
    7. Galvani, Valentina & Li, Lifang, 2018. "Asymmetric Information, Predictability and Momentum in the Corporate Bond Market," Working Papers 2018-17, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    8. Bethke, Sebastian & Gehde-Trapp, Monika & Kempf, Alexander, 2017. "Investor sentiment, flight-to-quality, and corporate bond comovement," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 112-132.
    9. Veronika Kajurova & Jana Hvozdenska, 2016. "Linkages between CDS, bond and stock markets: Evidence from Europe," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2016-63, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Informational efficiency; Institutional sized trades; Earnings surprises;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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