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Multi-criteria analysis of electricity generation mix scenarios in Tunisia

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  • Brand, Bernhard
  • Missaoui, Rafik

Abstract

The diversification of the national electricity generation mix has risen to the top of Tunisia׳s energy planning agenda. Presently, natural gas provides 96% of the primary energy for electric power generation, but declining domestic gas reserves and a soaring electricity demand are urgently calling for alternative fuel strategies. Currently discussed diversification options include the introduction of coal and nuclear power plants and/or an increased use of renewable energies. This article presents a methodology to assess different electricity system transformation strategies. By combining an electricity market model with a subsequent multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), we evaluate five power mix scenarios regarding power generation costs as well as non-economic dimensions such as energy security, environmental impact and social welfare effects. Based on criteria valuations obtained during consultations with Tunisian stakeholders, a final, best-ranking electricity scenario was selected, consisting of 15% wind, 15% solar and 70% natural gas-generated electricity in the national power mix by 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Brand, Bernhard & Missaoui, Rafik, 2014. "Multi-criteria analysis of electricity generation mix scenarios in Tunisia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 251-261.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:39:y:2014:i:c:p:251-261
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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