IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v239y2025ics0960148124021517.html

Evaluation of regional and temporal dynamics in CCUS-hydrogen development policy pathways: A data-driven framework

Author

Listed:
  • Song, Chenchen
  • Zhao, Ziwen
  • Liu, Zhengguang

Abstract

China, as both a major energy consumer and the largest carbon emitter globally, views carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) hydrogen production as a crucial and innovative technology for achieving its dual carbon goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. The development of such technologies requires strong policy guidance, making the quantification of policy pathways essential for understanding their effectiveness. This study employs a data-driven framewor, integrating LDA topic modeling and the PMC-TE index, to analyze the regional and temporal dynamics of CCUS-hydrogen development policies. The research identifies 16 optimal policy topics, highlighting gaps in policy design and implementation. The analysis uncovers significant fragmentation in policy pathways, with supply-side policies receiving disproportionate attention, while demand-side and environmental policies remain under-supported. Regional disparities are evident, with wealthier provinces showing higher policy engagement compared to underdeveloped regions. The study also reveals that policy evolution has been largely reactive, emphasizing the need for a more proactive and consistent long-term strategy. These findings provide valuable insights for creating more balanced, integrated, and regionally tailored policy approaches to effectively drive CCUS-hydrogen development in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Song, Chenchen & Zhao, Ziwen & Liu, Zhengguang, 2025. "Evaluation of regional and temporal dynamics in CCUS-hydrogen development policy pathways: A data-driven framework," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:239:y:2025:i:c:s0960148124021517
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2024.122083
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148124021517
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2024.122083?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhao, Laijun & Chen, Shuai, 2024. "An inter-provincial coordinate model under Renewable Portfolio Standards policy based on tradable green certificate options trading," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    2. Yiwen Liu & Jian Li & Yi Xu, 2022. "Quantitative Evaluation of High-Tech Industry Policies Based on the PMC-Index Model: A Case Study of China’s Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Michael Zürn & Alexandros Tokhi & Martin Binder, 2021. "The International Authority Database," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(4), pages 430-442, September.
    4. Emma ter Mors & Esther van Leeuwen & Christine Boomsma & Renate Meier, 2023. "Media Coverage of Carbon Capture and Storage: An Analysis of Established and Emerging Themes in Dutch National Newspapers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-13, February.
    5. Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Lilu Vandercamme & Han Phoumin, 2024. "Enhancing the Economic Feasibility of Carbon Capture, Utilisation, and Storage (CCUS) Projects," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 26(01), pages 1-23, March.
    6. Ming, Zeng & Ping, Zhang & Shunkun, Yu & Hui, Liu, 2017. "Overall review of the overcapacity situation of China’s thermal power industry: Status quo, policy analysis and suggestions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 768-774.
    7. Li, Xiaochun & He, Ze & Xia, Siyou & Yang, Yu, 2024. "Greenness change associated with construction and operation of photovoltaic solar energy in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    8. Seck, Gondia S. & Hache, Emmanuel & Sabathier, Jerome & Guedes, Fernanda & Reigstad, Gunhild A. & Straus, Julian & Wolfgang, Ove & Ouassou, Jabir A. & Askeland, Magnus & Hjorth, Ida & Skjelbred, Hans , 2022. "Hydrogen and the decarbonization of the energy system in europe in 2050: A detailed model-based analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    9. Haitao Guo & Yongsheng Wang & Zhongmin Wang, 2016. "Shale Development and China," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Yongsheng Wang & William E. Hefley (ed.), The Global Impact of Unconventional Shale Gas Development, pages 131-147, Springer.
    10. Ahmad, Ejaz & Khan, Dilawar & Anser, Muhammad Khalid & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Hassan, Syeda Anam & Zaman, Khalid, 2024. "The influence of grid connectivity, electricity pricing, policy-driven power incentives, and carbon emissions on renewable energy adoption: Exploring key factors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    11. Julius Wesche & Silvia Germán & Lila Gonçalves & Ilon Jödicke & Sergi López‐Asensio & Ana Prades & Sabine Preuß & Christian Oltra Algado & Elisabeth Dütschke, 2023. "CCUS or no CCUS? Societal support for policy frameworks and stakeholder perceptions in France, Spain, and Poland," Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(1), pages 48-66, February.
    12. Ou, Yinlin & Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Chui, Chin Man, 2024. "How does the supply chain market respond to policy shocks? Evidence from solar photovoltaic sectors in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    13. McLaughlin, Hope & Littlefield, Anna A. & Menefee, Maia & Kinzer, Austin & Hull, Tobias & Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Bazilian, Morgan D. & Kim, Jinsoo & Griffiths, Steven, 2023. "Carbon capture utilization and storage in review: Sociotechnical implications for a carbon reliant world," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    14. Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Rana, Md. Jaber & Saha, Sourav Mohan & Haseeb, Mohammad & Islam, Md. Sayemul & Amin, Md. Ruhul & Hossain, Md. Emran, 2023. "Role of energy mix and eco-innovation in achieving environmental sustainability in the USA using the dynamic ARDL approach: Accounting the supply side of the ecosystem," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    15. Zheng, Yawen & Gao, Lin & Li, Sheng & Wang, Dan, 2022. "A comprehensive evaluation model for full-chain CCUS performance based on the analytic hierarchy process method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    16. Liu, Jiamin & Zhang, Jiaoning & Ma, Xiaoyu & Zhao, Bin & Zhang, Mengyu, 2024. "The road to sustainable development: Can the new energy demonstration city policy promote the industrial structure transformation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PB).
    17. Aquila, Giancarlo & Rotella Junior, Paulo & Rocha, Luiz Célio Souza & Balestrassi, Pedro Paulo & Pamplona, Edson de Oliveira & Nakamura, Wilson Toshiro, 2024. "Net metering rolling credits vs. net billing buyback: An economic analysis of a policy option proposal for photovoltaic prosumers," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    18. Jose Antonio Garcia & Maria Villen-Guzman & Jose Miguel Rodriguez-Maroto & Juan Manuel Paz-Garcia, 2024. "Comparing CO 2 Storage and Utilization: Enhancing Sustainability through Renewable Energy Integration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-31, August.
    19. Avri Eitan, 2021. "Promoting Renewable Energy to Cope with Climate Change—Policy Discourse in Israel," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    20. Luo, Yilun & Ahmadi, Esmaeil & McLellan, Benjamin Craig & Tezuka, Tetsuo, 2024. "A hybrid system dynamics model for power mix trajectory simulation in liberalized electricity markets considering carbon and capacity policy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    21. Song, Chenchen & Guo, Zhiling & Liu, Zhengguang & Hongyun, Zhang & Liu, Ran & Zhang, Haoran, 2024. "Application of photovoltaics on different types of land in China: Opportunities, status and challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    22. Wen, Du & Aziz, Muhammad, 2024. "Perspective of staged hydrogen economy in Japan: A case study based on the data-driven method," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PA).
    23. Cristina Peñasco & Laura Díaz Anadón & Elena Verdolini, 2021. "Author Correction: Systematic review of the outcomes and trade-offs of ten types of decarbonization policy instruments," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(3), pages 274-274, March.
    24. Li, Yanbin & Li, Yun & Wang, Bingqian & Chen, Zhuoer & Nie, Dan, 2016. "The status quo review and suggested policies for shale gas development in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 420-428.
    25. Yan, Chen & Ji, Yaxing & Chen, Rui, 2023. "Research on the mechanism of selective industrial policies on enterprises' innovation performance ——Evidence from China's photovoltaic industry," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    26. Zürn, Michael & Tokhi, Alexandros & Binder, Martin, 2021. "The International Authority Database," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(4), pages 430-442.
    27. Huang, Ren & Zhang, Sufang & Wang, Peng, 2022. "Key areas and pathways for carbon emissions reduction in Beijing for the “Dual Carbon” targets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    28. Kuang, Bing & Han, Jing & Lu, Xinhai & Zhang, Xupeng & Fan, Xiangyu, 2020. "Quantitative evaluation of China’s cultivated land protection policies based on the PMC-Index model," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    29. Rishabh Agarwal, 2022. "Transition to a Hydrogen-Based Economy: Possibilities and Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-19, November.
    30. Alasseri, Rajeev & Rao, T. Joji & Sreekanth, K.J., 2020. "Institution of incentive-based demand response programs and prospective policy assessments for a subsidized electricity market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    31. Khondaker Golam Moazzem & ASM Shamim Alam Shibly, 2024. "Achieving the Target of Renewable Energy based Power Generation by 2041 – Scopes and Way-forward," CPD Report 56, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).
    32. Hille, Erik & Oelker, Thomas J., 2023. "International expansion of renewable energy capacities: The role of innovation and choice of policy instruments," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(PA).
    33. Li, Zheng Zheng & Su, Chi-Wei & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Energy consumption within policy uncertainty: Considering the climate and economic factors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 567-576.
    34. Liu, Feng & Lv, Tao & Meng, Yuan & Li, Cong & Hou, Xiaoran & Xu, Jie & Deng, Xu, 2023. "Potential analysis of BESS and CCUS in the context of China's carbon trading scheme toward the low-carbon electricity system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 462-471.
    35. Sun, Guoxin & Yu, Yongheng & Yu, Qihui & Tan, Xin & Wu, Linfeng & Qin, Ripeng & Wang, Yahui, 2024. "Enhanced temperature regulation in compound heating systems: Leveraging guided policy search and model predictive control," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    36. Simpson, Genevieve & Clifton, Julian, 2014. "Picking winners and policy uncertainty: Stakeholder perceptions of Australia's Renewable Energy Target," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 128-135.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Meng & Gao, Xukuo & Jing, Xiaodong & Wang, Wan & Wang, Xiao, 2025. "Public attention and sentiment towards clean heating in China: A text mining analysis based on Sina Weibo," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. You, Chanhee & Do, Thai Ngan & Chung, Hegwon & Yang, Hyeon & Kim, Jiyong, 2025. "Beyond storage to value: Barriers, potential and accelerating policies for carbon capture and utilization in energy production," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    2. Mei, Zhongya & Xiao, Yaofang & Li, Xinxing & Wang, Chusheng & Luo, Siyu, 2025. "Quantitative and visual analysis-based framework for dual carbon-oriented policies: Evidence from mainland China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(C).
    3. Fuß, Julia & Kreuder-Sonnen, Christian & Saravia, Andrés & Zürn, Michael, 2021. "Managing regime complexity: Introducing the interface conflicts 1.0 dataset," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Global Governance SP IV 2021-101, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
    4. Zhou, Junping & Tian, Shifeng & Zhou, Lei & Xian, Xuefu & Yang, Kang & Jiang, Yongdong & Zhang, Chengpeng & Guo, Yaowen, 2020. "Experimental investigation on the influence of sub- and super-critical CO2 saturation time on the permeability of fractured shale," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Tao, Linwei & Hayashi, Kiichiro & Gyeltshen, Sangay & Shimoyama, Yuya, 2025. "Spatial assessment of utility-scale solar photovoltaic siting potential using machine learning approaches: A case study in Aichi prefecture, Japan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
    6. Zhou, Zhongbing & Qin, Quande, 2020. "Epistemological dominance and ignorance of the comparative advantages of China's shale gas: Evidence from international scientific journals," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Maria J. Debre & Hylke Dijkstra, 2023. "Are international organisations in decline? An absolute and relative perspective on institutional change," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 14(1), pages 16-30, February.
    8. Hylke Dijkstra & Farsan Ghassim, 2025. "Are authoritative international organizations challenged more? A recurrent event analysis of member state criticisms and withdrawals," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 907-935, December.
    9. Wang, Xu & Fang, Hong & Fang, Siran, 2020. "An integrated approach for exploitation block selection of shale gas—based on cloud model and grey relational analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Wen Li & Yuxi Liu & Siqi Xiao & Yu Zhang & Lihe Chai, 2018. "An Investigation of the Underlying Evolution of Shale Gas Research’s Domain Based on the Co-Word Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, January.
    11. Wang, Yan & Zhong, Dong-Liang & Li, Zheng & Li, Jian-Bo, 2020. "Application of tetra-n-butyl ammonium bromide semi-clathrate hydrate for CO2 capture from unconventional natural gases," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    12. Feng, Qianqian & Qiu, Nansheng & Borjigin, Tenger & Wu, Hang & Zhang, Jiatang & Shen, Baojian & Wang, Jiangshan, 2022. "Tectonic evolution revealed by thermo-kinematic and its effect on shale gas preservation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    13. Magnus Lundgren & Theresa Squatrito & Thomas Sommerer & Jonas Tallberg, 2024. "Introducing the Intergovernmental Policy Output Dataset (IPOD)," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 117-146, January.
    14. Zhao, Xiaochun & Jiang, Mei & Wu, Zijun & Zhou, Ying, 2023. "Quantitative evaluation of China's energy security policy under the background of intensifying geopolitical conflicts: Based on PMC model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    15. Kayikci, Yasanur & Ali, Md. Ramjan & Khan, Sharfuddin Ahmed & Ikpehai, Augustine, 2025. "Examining dynamics of hydrogen supply chains," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    16. Wang, Qiang & Zhan, Lina, 2019. "Assessing the sustainability of the shale gas industry by combining DPSIRM model and RAGA-PP techniques: An empirical analysis of Sichuan and Chongqing, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 353-364.
    17. Debre, Maria J & Sommerer, Thomas, 2023. "Weathering the Storm? The Third Wave of Autocratization and International Organization Membership," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt7g9450nx, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.
    18. Md. Qamruzzaman, 2024. "Clarifying the Nexus between Trade Policy Uncertainty, Economic Policy Uncertainty, FDI and Renewable Energy Demand," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 367-382, March.
    19. David Coen & Julia Kreienkamp & Alexandros Tokhi & Tom Pegram, 2022. "Making global public policy work: A survey of international organization effectiveness," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 13(5), pages 656-668, November.
    20. Zhou, Na & Wu, Qiaosheng & Hu, Xiangping & Xu, Deyi & Wang, Xiaolin, 2020. "Evaluation of Chinese natural gas investment along the Belt and Road Initiative using super slacks-based measurement of efficiency method," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:239:y:2025:i:c:s0960148124021517. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.