Expert judgement combination using moment methods
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.003
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References listed on IDEAS
- James E. Smith, 1993. "Moment Methods for Decision Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 39(3), pages 340-358, March.
- Garthwaite, Paul H. & Kadane, Joseph B. & O'Hagan, Anthony, 2005. "Statistical Methods for Eliciting Probability Distributions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 680-701, June.
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- El-Ladan, S.B. & Turan, O., 2012. "Human reliability analysis—Taxonomy and praxes of human entropy boundary conditions for marine and offshore applications," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 43-54.
- Robert Stewart & Marie Urban & Samantha Duchscherer & Jason Kaufman & April Morton & Gautam Thakur & Jesse Piburn & Jessica Moehl, 2016. "A Bayesian machine learning model for estimating building occupancy from open source data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1929-1956, April.
- Manuele Leonelli & James Smith, 2015. "Bayesian decision support for complex systems with many distributed experts," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 235(1), pages 517-542, December.
- Irina Vinogradova-Zinkevič, 2021. "Application of Bayesian Approach to Reduce the Uncertainty in Expert Judgments by Using a Posteriori Mean Function," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-23, October.
- Bolger, Donnacha & Houlding, Brett, 2017. "Deriving the probability of a linear opinion pooling method being superior to a set of alternatives," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 41-49.
- Erin Baker & Olaitan Olaleye, 2013. "Combining Experts: Decomposition and Aggregation Order," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(6), pages 1116-1127, June.
- Donnacha Bolger & Brett Houlding, 2016. "Reliability updating in linear opinion pooling for multiple decision makers," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(3), pages 309-322, June.
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Keywords
Expert judgement; Combination; Scoring rule; Performance based weighting; Moment methods; Bayes linear;All these keywords.
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