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Investment decisions in troubled times: A Bayesian approach applied to Brazilian firms

  • Kalatzis, Aquiles Elie Guimarães
  • Azzoni, Carlos Roberto

This study analyses the investment decision of 497 Brazilian firms during a period of unstable macroeconomic conditions. The role of financial constraints is considered in a Bayesian econometric model. We estimate three different models, and the results indicate the presence of financial restrictions, especially for capital-intensive firms. The recursive predictive density criterion indicates that the most preferred model is the one in which firm-specific effects are correlated with cash-flow. Financial restrictions are more important for capital-intensive firms, probably due to their lower profitability indexes, higher fixed costs and higher degree of property diversification.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Production Economics.

Volume (Year): 120 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (August)
Pages: 595-606

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Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:120:y:2009:i:2:p:595-606
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijpe

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