IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v77y2022ics0301420722000903.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of country risks on cobalt trade patterns from the perspective of the industrial chain

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Yingli
  • Huang, Jianbai
  • Zhang, Hongwei

Abstract

As a strategic mineral resource, cobalt is widely used in the lithium-ion batteries of new energy vehicles. Due to the rapid development of new energy vehicles, the demand for cobalt resources is increasing daily. This paper analyses the current situation of cobalt trade from the perspective of the whole industry chain. Furthermore, the effect of country risk on the cobalt trade pattern is analysed based on panel regression. The results show that the total scale of the upstream trade network is shrinking, while the scale of the middle and downstream trade networks is relatively stable. In the upstream trade network, China, the Netherlands, the US and the UK have strong control over resources. In the midstream network, China, the UK and France are the most influential, with China ranking first. In the downstream network, China, the UK, France, Canada and the US are the most influential countries, and China's influence continues to rank first. In addition, through the empirical analysis of panel regression, we find that the impact of political risk on midstream and downstream trade is almost positive, and the impact of economic risk is negative.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Yingli & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "The impact of country risks on cobalt trade patterns from the perspective of the industrial chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:77:y:2022:i:c:s0301420722000903
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102641
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420722000903
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102641?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dong, Di & Gao, Xiangyun & Sun, Xiaoqi & Liu, Xueyong, 2018. "Factors affecting the formation of copper international trade community: Based on resource dependence and network theory," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 167-185.
    2. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Saleheen & Tahir, Mohammad Iqbal, 2013. "The dynamic links between energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade in China: Fresh evidence from multivariate framework analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 8-21.
    3. Wang, Xiaolei & Wen, Xiaohui & Xie, Chunping, 2018. "An evaluation of technical progress and energy rebound effects in China's iron & steel industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 259-265.
    4. Zhao, Yiran & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & Xi, Xian & Sun, Qingru & Jiang, Meihui, 2020. "The effect of the mined cobalt trade dependence Network's structure on trade price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    5. Li, Tianjiao & Wang, Anjian & Xing, Wanli & Li, Ying & Zhou, Yanjing, 2019. "Assessing mineral extraction and trade in China from 1992 to 2015: A comparison of material flow analysis and exergoecological approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    6. George K. Zestos & Xiangnan Tao, 2002. "Trade and GDP Growth: Causal Relations in the United States and Canada," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(4), pages 859-874, April.
    7. Xibo Wang & Jianping Ge & Wendong Wei & Hanshi Li & Chen Wu & Ge Zhu, 2016. "Spatial Dynamics of the Communities and the Role of Major Countries in the International Rare Earths Trade: A Complex Network Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(5), pages 1-22, May.
    8. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Zhu, Xuehong & Guo, Yaoqi, 2020. "The impact of energy trade patterns on CO2 emissions: An emergy and network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Ge, Jianping & Wang, Xibo & Guan, Qing & Li, Weiheng & Zhu, He & Yao, Min, 2016. "World rare earths trade network: Patterns, relations and role characteristics," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 119-130.
    10. Xi, Xian & Zhou, Jinsheng & Gao, Xiangyun & Liu, Donghui & Zheng, Huiling & Sun, Qingru, 2019. "Impact of changes in crude oil trade network patterns on national economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    11. Yang, Yuying & Li, Jianping & Sun, Xiaolei & Chen, Jianming, 2014. "Measuring external oil supply risk: A modified diversification index with country risk and potential oil exports," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 930-938.
    12. Zeng, Xianlai & Li, Jinhui, 2015. "On the sustainability of cobalt utilization in China," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA), pages 12-18.
    13. Liu, Sen & Dong, Zhiliang & Ding, Chao & Wang, Tian & Zhang, Yichi, 2020. "Do you need cobalt ore? Estimating potential trade relations through link prediction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    14. Shao, Liuguo & Hu, Jianying & Zhang, Hua, 2021. "Evolution of global lithium competition network pattern and its influence factors," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. Shao, Liuguo & Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong, 2021. "Effect of oil price uncertainty on clean energy metal stocks in China: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-419.
    16. Jones, Ben & Elliott, Robert J.R. & Nguyen-Tien, Viet, 2020. "The EV revolution: The road ahead for critical raw materials demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    17. Tamazian, Artur & Chousa, Juan Piñeiro & Vadlamannati, Krishna Chaitanya, 2009. "Does higher economic and financial development lead to environmental degradation: Evidence from BRIC countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 246-253, January.
    18. Huang, Jianbai & Ding, Qian & Wang, Ying & Hong, Huojun & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The evolution and influencing factors of international tungsten competition from the industrial chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Asari, Misuzu & Sakai, Shin-ichi, 2013. "Li-ion battery recycling and cobalt flow analysis in Japan," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-59.
    20. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Yang, Cai & Guo, Yaoqi, 2021. "The impact of country risk on energy trade patterns based on complex network and panel regression analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    21. George K. Zestos & Xiangnan Tao, 2002. "Trade and GDP Growth: Causal Relations in the United States and Canada," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(4), pages 859-874, April.
    22. Dong, Xiaojuan & An, Feng & Dong, Zhiliang & Wang, Ze & Jiang, Meihui & Yang, Ping & An, Haigang, 2021. "Optimization of the international nickel ore trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    23. Liu, Jie & Wei, Wei & Shi, Yao-Bo & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2020. "The nexus between country risk and exchange rate regimes: A global investigation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    24. Tokito, Shohei & Kagawa, Shigemi & Nansai, Keisuke, 2016. "Understanding international trade network complexity of platinum: The case of Japan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 415-421.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jinyu & Luo, Qian & Sun, Xin & Zhang, Zitao & Dong, Xuesong, 2023. "The impact of renewable energy consumption on lithium trade patterns: An industrial chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    2. Kang, Xinyu & Wang, Minxi & Chen, Lu & Li, Xin, 2023. "Supply risk propagation of global copper industry chain based on multi-layer complex network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    3. Guo, Yaoqi & Li, Yingli & Liu, Yongheng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical relations on the evolution of cobalt trade network from the perspective of industrial chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    4. Tang, Qianyong & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yajie & Li, Yang & Liu, Haiping & Wang, Xingxing, 2023. "The reliability of the trade dependence network in the tungsten industry chain based on percolation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    5. Islam, Md. Monirul & Sohag, Kazi & Mariev, Oleg, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and mineral-driven renewable energy generation in China: A decomposed analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Zhao, Guimei & Li, Wenxiu & Geng, Yong & Bleischwitz, Raimund, 2023. "Uncovering the features of global antimony resource trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Yu, Yu & Ma, Daipeng & Zhu, Weiwei, 2023. "Resilience assessment of international cobalt trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Alin Opreana & Simona Vinerean & Diana Marieta Mihaiu & Liliana Barbu & Radu-Alexandru Șerban, 2023. "Fuzzy Analytic Network Process with Principal Component Analysis to Establish a Bank Performance Model under the Assumption of Country Risk," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-38, July.
    9. Md. Monirul Islam & Kazi Sohag & Faheem ur Rehman, 2022. "Do Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Policy Uncertainties Reorient Mineral Imports in the USA? A Fat-Tailed Data Analysis Using Novel Quantile Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yu, Yu & Ma, Daipeng & Zhu, Weiwei, 2023. "Resilience assessment of international cobalt trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Tang, Qianyong & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yajie & Li, Yang & Liu, Haiping & Wang, Xingxing, 2023. "The reliability of the trade dependence network in the tungsten industry chain based on percolation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Xinyi & Tang, Jing & Guo, Yaoqi, 2022. "The impact of international rare earth trade competition on global value chain upgrading from the industrial chain perspective," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    4. Chen, Jinyu & Luo, Qian & Sun, Xin & Zhang, Zitao & Dong, Xuesong, 2023. "The impact of renewable energy consumption on lithium trade patterns: An industrial chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Zhu, Xuehong & Ding, Qian & Chen, Jinyu, 2022. "How does critical mineral trade pattern affect renewable energy development? The mediating role of renewable energy technological progress," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    6. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Yang, Cai & Guo, Yaoqi, 2021. "The impact of country risk on energy trade patterns based on complex network and panel regression analyses," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    7. Liu, Meng & Li, Huajiao & Zhou, Jinsheng & Feng, Sida & Wang, Yanli & Wang, Xingxing, 2022. "Analysis of material flow among multiple phases of cobalt industrial chain based on a complex network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Shao, Liuguo & Hu, Jianying & Zhang, Hua, 2021. "Evolution of global lithium competition network pattern and its influence factors," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Kang, Xinyu & Wang, Minxi & Wang, Taixin & Luo, Fanjie & Lin, Jing & Li, Xin, 2022. "Trade trends and competition intensity of international copper flow based on complex network: From the perspective of industry chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Shao, Liuguo & Kou, Wenwen & Zhang, Hua, 2022. "The evolution of the global cobalt and lithium trade pattern and the impacts of the low-cobalt technology of lithium batteries based on multiplex network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    11. Ren, Shuai & Li, Huajiao & Wang, Yanli & Guo, Chen & Feng, Sida & Wang, Xingxing, 2021. "Comparative study of the China and U.S. import trade structure based on the global chromium ore trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    12. Li, Xiaotong & Zhang, Hua & Zhou, Xuanru & Zhong, Weiqiong, 2022. "Research on the evolution of the global import and export competition network of chromium resources from the perspective of the whole industrial chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    13. Tian, Xu & Geng, Yong & Sarkis, Joseph & Gao, Cuixia & Sun, Xin & Micic, Tatyana & Hao, Han & Wang, Xin, 2021. "Features of critical resource trade networks of lithium-ion batteries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    14. Xi, Xian & Zhou, Jinsheng & Gao, Xiangyun & Liu, Donghui & Zheng, Huiling & Sun, Qingru, 2019. "Impact of changes in crude oil trade network patterns on national economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    15. Hou, Wenyu & Liu, Huifang & Wang, Hui & Wu, Fengyang, 2018. "Structure and patterns of the international rare earths trade: A complex network analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 133-142.
    16. Liu, Haiping & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yajie & An, Pengli & Shi, Jianglan & Liu, Yanxin, 2021. "Identification of high-risk agents and relationships in nickel, cobalt, and lithium trade based on resource-dependent networks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Xu-guang, Zuo & Xue-hong, Zhu & Jin-yu, Chen, 2022. "Trade dependence network structure of tantalum trade goods and its effect on trade prices: An industry chain perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    18. Zhu, Zhiyun & Dong, Zhiliang & Zhang, Yanxing & Suo, Guibin & Liu, Sen, 2020. "Strategic mineral resource competition: Strategies of the dominator and nondominator," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    19. Hu, Xiaoqian & Wang, Chao & Lim, Ming K. & Chen, Wei-Qiang & Teng, Limin & Wang, Peng & Wang, Heming & Zhang, Chao & Yao, Cuiyou & Ghadimi, Pezhman, 2023. "Critical systemic risk sources in global lithium-ion battery supply networks: Static and dynamic network perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    20. Zhang, Hongwei & Wang, Ying & Zhu, Xuehong & Guo, Yaoqi, 2020. "The impact of energy trade patterns on CO2 emissions: An emergy and network analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:77:y:2022:i:c:s0301420722000903. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.