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Improving Predictive Accuracy with a Combination of Human Intuition and Mechanical Decision Aids

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  • Whitecotton, Stacey M.
  • Sanders, D. Elaine
  • Norris, Kathleen B.

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  • Whitecotton, Stacey M. & Sanders, D. Elaine & Norris, Kathleen B., 1998. "Improving Predictive Accuracy with a Combination of Human Intuition and Mechanical Decision Aids," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 325-348, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jobhdp:v:76:y:1998:i:3:p:325-348
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Boatsman, James R. & Moeckel, Cindy & Pei, Buck K. W., 1997. "The Effects of Decision Consequences on Auditors' Reliance on Decision Aids in Audit Planning," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 211-247, August.
    2. Whitecotton, Stacey M., 1996. "The Effects of Experience and a Decision Aid on the Slope, Scatter, and Bias of Earnings Forecasts," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 111-121, April.
    3. Sandra Pruzansky & Amos Tversky & J. Carroll, 1982. "Spatial versus tree representations of proximity data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 47(1), pages 3-24, March.
    4. Arkes, Hal R. & Dawes, Robyn M. & Christensen, Caryn, 1986. "Factors influencing the use of a decision rule in a probabilistic task," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 93-110, February.
    5. Yates, J. Frank, 1988. "Analyzing the accuracy of probability judgments for multiple events: An extension of the covariance decomposition," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 281-299, June.
    6. Stephen J. Hoch & David A. Schkade, 1996. "A Psychological Approach to Decision Support Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(1), pages 51-64, January.
    7. Glover, Steven M. & Prawitt, Douglas F. & Spilker, Brian C., 1997. "The Influence of Decision Aids on User Behavior: Implications for Knowledge Acquisition and Inappropriate Reliance," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 232-255, November.
    8. Yates, J. Frank & McDaniel, Linda S. & Brown, Eric S., 1991. "Probabilistic forecasts of stock prices and earnings: The hazards of nascent expertise," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 60-79, June.
    9. Ashton, Rh, 1990. "Pressure And Performance In Accounting Decision Settings - Paradoxical Effects Of Incentives, Feedback, And Justification," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28, pages 148-180.
    10. Donna Katzman McClish & Stephen H. Powell, 1989. "How Well Can Physicians Estimate Mortality in a Medical Intensive Care Unit?," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 9(2), pages 125-132, June.
    11. Robert C. Blattberg & Stephen J. Hoch, 1990. "Database Models and Managerial Intuition: 50% Model + 50% Manager," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(8), pages 887-899, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Anna M. Cianci & Satoris S. Culbertson, 2010. "The Impact of Motivational and Cognitive Factors on Optimistic Earnings Forecasts," Chapters, in: Brian Bruce (ed.), Handbook of Behavioral Finance, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Shepherd, Dean A. & Zacharakis, Andrew, 2002. "Venture capitalists' expertise: A call for research into decision aids and cognitive feedback," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, January.
    3. Mark W. Nelson & Susan D. Krische & Robert J. Bloomfield, 2003. "Confidence and Investors' Reliance on Disciplined Trading Strategies," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 503-523, June.
    4. Barrick, John A. & Spilker, Brian C., 2003. "The relations between knowledge, search strategy, and performance in unaided and aided information search," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Martin Bäckström & Fredrik Björklund, 2017. "Increasing systematicity leads to better selection decisions: Evidence from a computer paradigm for evaluating selection tools," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(5), pages 1-15, May.
    6. Jorgensen, Magne, 2007. "Forecasting of software development work effort: Evidence on expert judgement and formal models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 449-462.
    7. Philip Hans Franses, 2011. "Averaging Model Forecasts and Expert Forecasts: Why Does It Work?," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 41(2), pages 177-181, April.
    8. Zacharakis, Andrew & Shepherd, Dean A., 2005. "A non-additive decision-aid for venture capitalists' investment decisions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 162(3), pages 673-689, May.

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