IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jaitra/v7y2001i2p87-93.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Carbon dioxide emissions from international aviation: 1950–2050

Author

Listed:
  • Olsthoorn, Xander

Abstract

CO2 emissions from international aviation are important since they are beyond the scope of control of the Kyoto agreement. A statistical time-series (29 year) analysis yielded a significant relation between the sales of bunker jet fuel, world crude oil prices and global gross domestic product (GDP). The model allows the calculation of future emissions. The required model inputs (forecasts for global GDP and world oil price) are taken from global economic scenarios. Between 1995 and 2050, emissions of CO2 may increase by a factor 3–6. These results are similar to earlier scenarios obtained with entirely different methodologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Olsthoorn, Xander, 2001. "Carbon dioxide emissions from international aviation: 1950–2050," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 87-93.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:7:y:2001:i:2:p:87-93
    DOI: 10.1016/S0969-6997(00)00031-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699700000314
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/S0969-6997(00)00031-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Haites, Erik F & Rose, Adam, 1996. "Editors' introduction," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(10-11), pages 857-861.
    2. Vedantham, Anu & Oppenheimer, Michael, 1998. "Long-term scenarios for aviation: Demand and emissions of CO2 and NOx," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 26(8), pages 625-641, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Galindo, Arturo & Izquierdo, Alejandro & Montero, Jose Manuel, 2007. "Real exchange rates, dollarization and industrial employment in Latin America," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 284-298, December.
    2. Schafer, Andreas & Victor, David G., 2000. "The future mobility of the world population," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 171-205, April.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/9263 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Chèze, Benoît & Gastineau, Pascal & Chevallier, Julien, 2011. "Forecasting world and regional aviation jet fuel demands to the mid-term (2025)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5147-5158, September.
    5. Peeters, Paul & Dubois, Ghislain, 2010. "Tourism travel under climate change mitigation constraints," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 447-457.
    6. Mohammad Mazraati & Osama M. Alyousif, 2009. "Aviation fuel demand modelling in OECD and developing countries: impacts of fuel efficiency," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 33(1), pages 23-46, March.
    7. Valdes, Victor, 2015. "Determinants of air travel demand in Middle Income Countries," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-84.
    8. Dubois, Ghislain & Peeters, Paul & Ceron, Jean-Paul & Gössling, Stefan, 2011. "The future tourism mobility of the world population: Emission growth versus climate policy," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1031-1042.
    9. Benoit Cheze & Julien Chevallier & Pascal Gastineau, 2012. "Will technological progress be sufficient to effectively lead the air transport to a sustainable development in the mid-term (2025)?," Working Papers 1207, Chaire Economie du climat.
    10. Schafer, Andreas & Victor, David G., 1999. "Global passenger travel: implications for carbon dioxide emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 24(8), pages 657-679.
    11. Jaewon Lim & DooHwan Won, 2019. "Impact of CARB’s Tailpipe Emission Standard Policy on CO 2 Reduction among the U.S. States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, February.
    12. Mohammad Mazraati, 2010. "World aviation fuel demand outlook," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 34(1), pages 42-72, March.
    13. Martial Dupaigne & Marc Y. Robert, 2006. "On the role of capital flows – or the lack thereof – in sudden stops," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 116(1), pages 79-90.
    14. John D. Burger & Alessandro Rebucci & Francis E. Warnock & Veronica Cacdac Warnock, 2010. "External Capital Structures and Oil Price Volatility," NBER Working Papers 16052, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Zhang, Chuanguo & Nian, Jiang, 2013. "Panel estimation for transport sector CO2 emissions and its affecting factors: A regional analysis in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 918-926.
    16. repec:dau:papers:123456789/9262 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. TRIANDAFIL, Cristina Maria, 2013. "Sustainability of convergence in the context of macro-prudential policies in the European Union," Working Papers of National Institute for Economic Research 130618, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE).
    18. , 2008. "Modelling aviation fuel demand: the case of the United States and China," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 32(4), pages 323-342, December.
    19. Defever, Fabrice & Heid, Benedikt & Larch, Mario, 2015. "Spatial exporters," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 145-156.
    20. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6792 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Benoît Chèze & Julien Chevallier & Pascal Gastineau, 2012. "Will technological progress be sufficient to stabilize CO2 emissions from air transport in the mid-term?," EconomiX Working Papers 2012-35, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    22. Kesgin, Ugur, 2006. "Aircraft emissions at Turkish airports," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 372-384.
    23. Mr. Anton Korinek, 2011. "The New Economics of Capital Controls Imposed for Prudential Reasons+L4888," IMF Working Papers 2011/298, International Monetary Fund.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:7:y:2001:i:2:p:87-93. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-air-transport-management/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.