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A model for projecting flight delays during irregular operation conditions

Author

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  • Abdelghany, Khaled F.
  • S. Shah, Sharmila
  • Raina, Sidhartha
  • Abdelghany, Ahmed F.

Abstract

On-time performance of airlines schedule is key factor in maintaining current customer satisfaction and attracting new ones. This requires management of the different operation resources (crew/aircraft) to ensure their on-time readiness for each flight in the planned schedule. However, flight schedules are often subjected to irregularity. In particular, weather accounts for nearly 75% of system delays. Due to the tight connection among airlines resources, these delays could dramatically propagate over time and space unless the proper recovery actions are taken. This paper presents a model which projects flight delays and alerts for possible future breaks during irregular operation conditions. The results of applying the model at the operation control center of a major airlines company in the US are presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdelghany, Khaled F. & S. Shah, Sharmila & Raina, Sidhartha & Abdelghany, Ahmed F., 2004. "A model for projecting flight delays during irregular operation conditions," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(6), pages 385-394.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:10:y:2004:i:6:p:385-394
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2004.06.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ahmed Abdelghany & Goutham Ekollu & Ram Narasimhan & Khaled Abdelghany, 2004. "A Proactive Crew Recovery Decision Support Tool for Commercial Airlines During Irregular Operations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 309-331, March.
    2. Gang Yu & Michael Argüello & Gao Song & Sandra M. McCowan & Anna White, 2003. "A New Era for Crew Recovery at Continental Airlines," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 33(1), pages 5-22, February.
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