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Financial stability, interest-rate smoothing and equilibrium determinacy

  • Di Giorgio, Giorgio
  • Rotondi, Zeno

This paper examines the interaction between monetary policy and financial stability and provides an assessment of the implications of banks' risk management practices for monetary policy. By considering the desire of the central bank to stabilize different types of the "basis" risk as a contribution to financial stability, we derive a set of plausible interest-rate rules characterized by either backward or forward interest-rate smoothing. The paper investigates the determinacy conditions of the rational expectations equilibria obtained under such rules. Contrary to what previously found in the literature, we find that the practice of smoothing interest rates backward does not in general alleviate problems of equilibrium indeterminacy. Moreover, basis risk stabilization may lead to policy rules embedding "forward" interest-rate smoothing, where a new kind of indeterminacy may arise following excessive concern for financial stability.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Financial Stability.

Volume (Year): 7 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 1-9

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Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:7:y:2011:i:1:p:1-9
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jfstabil

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  9. Giorgio Di Giorgio & Salvatore Nistico, 2007. "Monetary Policy and Stock Prices in an Open Economy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(8), pages 1947-1985, December.
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  13. Smith, R. Todd & van Egteren, Henry, 2005. "Interest rate smoothing and financial stability," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 147-171.
  14. Driffill, John & Rotondi, Zeno & Savona, Paolo & Zazzara, Cristiano, 2006. "Monetary policy and financial stability: What role for the futures market?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 95-112, April.
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  16. Andrew Crockett, 1997. "Why is financial stability a goal of public policy?," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 7-36.
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