IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v86y2025ipbs1544612325016927.html

Climate physical risk vs. climate transition risk: Evidence from typhoons with different nomenclature in China

Author

Listed:
  • Huang, Shupei
  • Lucey, Brian
  • Wang, Xinya

Abstract

Climate change poses escalating physical and transition risks, yet the interplay between specific climate disasters and policy uncertainty remains underexplored. This study investigates how typhoons, a key climate physical risk, affect climate policy uncertainty in China, with a novel focus on the role of typhoon nomenclature and the higher-order moments of climate policy uncertainty. Results reveal that typhoons named after myths, animals, and meteorological phenomena exert stronger and delayed impacts on policy uncertainty, driven by psychological priming and cultural symbolism. Higher-order moments as skewness and kurtosis uncover extreme and asymmetric policy reactions, particularly for typhoons named after plant and geography, which trigger abrupt uncertainty spikes. Regionally, provinces with high climate risk perception exhibit immediate policy responses, while low-perception regions show lagged effects. This study contributes the first empirical linkage between climate physical disasters and transition risk, emphasizing the underappreciated role of risk communication and nomenclature in shaping policy uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Shupei & Lucey, Brian & Wang, Xinya, 2025. "Climate physical risk vs. climate transition risk: Evidence from typhoons with different nomenclature in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:86:y:2025:i:pb:s1544612325016927
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108438
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325016927
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.108438?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Xinya & Guo, Huixiao & Li, Youwei & Huang, Shupei, 2025. "Beyond threats: Extreme heatwaves and economic resilience in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    2. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    3. Christophe McGlade & Paul Ekins, 2015. "The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C," Nature, Nature, vol. 517(7533), pages 187-190, January.
    4. Paul Slovic & Melissa L. Finucane & Ellen Peters & Donald G. MacGregor, 2004. "Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk, and Rationality," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(2), pages 311-322, April.
    5. Sandra Batten, & Rhiannon Sowerbutts & Misa Tanaka, 2016. "Let’s talk about the weather: the impact of climate change on central banks," Bank of England working papers 603, Bank of England.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sandra Batten & Stephen Millard, 2024. "Energy and climate policy in a DSGE model of the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1064, Bank of England.
    2. van den Bijgaart, Inge & Rodriguez, Mauricio, 2023. "Closing wells: Fossil development and abandonment in the energy transition," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Houari, Oussama & Bennani, Hamza & Bro de Comères, Quentin, 2025. "Climate risks and economic activity in France: Evidence from media coverage," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    4. Michael Barnett, 2024. "A Run on Fossil Fuel? Climate Change and Transition Risk," Papers 2410.00902, arXiv.org.
    5. He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and the stock return predictability of the oil industry," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Felix Kapfhammer & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "Climate risk and commodity currencies," Working Paper 2020/18, Norges Bank.
    7. Manthos D. Delis & Kathrin de Greiff & Maria Iosifidi & Steven Ongena, 2024. "Being stranded with fossil fuel reserves? Climate policy risk and the pricing of bank loans," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(3), pages 239-265, August.
    8. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Raquel Caldeira, 2024. "Should Central Banks Care About Text Mining? A Literature Review," Working papers 950, Banque de France.
    9. Hoffart, Franziska, 2022. "What is a feasible and 1.5°C-aligned hydrogen infrastructure for Germany? A multi-criteria economic study based on socio-technical energy scenarios," Ruhr Economic Papers 979, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    10. Huang, Shupei & Wang, Xinya & Xue, Yi & Zhang, Xinzhi, 2025. "CEOS’ climate risk perception bias and corporate debt structure," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    11. Li, Francis G.N. & Bataille, Chris & Pye, Steve & O'Sullivan, Aidan, 2019. "Prospects for energy economy modelling with big data: Hype, eliminating blind spots, or revolutionising the state of the art?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 991-1002.
    12. Gregor Semieniuk & Emanuele Campiglio & Jean‐Francois Mercure & Ulrich Volz & Neil R. Edwards, 2021. "Low‐carbon transition risks for finance," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), January.
    13. Reinders, Henk Jan & Schoenmaker, Dirk & van Dijk, Mathijs, 2023. "A finance approach to climate stress testing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    14. Monasterolo,Irene & Mandel,Antoine & Battiston,Stefano & Mazzocchetti,Andrea & Oppermann,Klaus & Coony,Jonathan D'Entremont & Stretton,Stephen John & Stewart,Fiona Elizabeth & Dunz,Nepomuk Max Ferdina, 2022. "The Role of Green Financial Sector Initiatives in the Low-Carbon Transition : A Theoryof Change," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10181, The World Bank.
    15. Hu, Xin & Zhu, Bo & Liu, Jiahao, 2025. "Does climate transition risk threaten China's energy system stability? Insights from high-dimensional systemic risk spillover network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    16. Pablo Neudorfer, 2022. "Tail risk in the fossil fuel industry: an option implied analysis around the unburnable carbon news," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(1), pages 493-511, March.
    17. Lorenzo Esposito & Marta Cocco, 2025. "Sustainable Finance in the New Geo-Political Era: A Difficult Balancing Act," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Politica Economica dipe0045, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    18. Andreas A. Papandreou, 2019. "Stranded assets and the financial system," Working Papers 272, Bank of Greece.
    19. Louis Daumas, 2021. "Should we fear transition risks - A review of the applied literature," Working Papers 2021.05, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    20. Ahmed Imran Hunjra & Muhammad Azam & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al‐Faryan, 2024. "The nexus between climate change risk and financial policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1401-1416, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:86:y:2025:i:pb:s1544612325016927. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.