IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v50y2022ics1544612322004421.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on energy firms: A capital market perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Nerlinger, Martin
  • Utz, Sebastian

Abstract

We investigate whether the Russia-Ukraine conflict has affected energy firms’ stock prices. Based on a global sample of 1630 energy firms, we conduct an event study around Russia's invasion on February 24, 2022. We find that cumulative average abnormal returns of these firms are positive around the event, i.e., energy firms outperformed the stock market. This outperformance is higher for North American firms than European and Asian ones. Our results provide evidence of energy firm outperformance in those export markets that compete with Russian suppliers of renewables, fossil fuels and uranium, following the Russian-Ukraine invasion.

Suggested Citation

  • Nerlinger, Martin & Utz, Sebastian, 2022. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on energy firms: A capital market perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:50:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322004421
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103243
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612322004421
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103243?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Boungou, Whelsy & Yatié, Alhonita, 2022. "The impact of the Ukraine–Russia war on world stock market returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    2. Patell, Jm, 1976. "Corporate Forecasts Of Earnings Per Share And Stock-Price Behavior - Empirical Tests," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 246-276.
    3. Mohamad, Azhar, 2022. "Safe flight to which haven when Russia invades Ukraine? A 48-hour story," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    4. James W. Kolari & Seppo Pynnönen, 2010. "Event Study Testing with Cross-sectional Correlation of Abnormal Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(11), pages 3996-4025, November.
    5. Boubaker, Sabri & Goodell, John W. & Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumari, Vineeta, 2022. "Heterogeneous impacts of wars on global equity markets: Evidence from the invasion of Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    6. Tosun, Onur Kemal & Eshraghi, Arman, 2022. "Corporate decisions in times of war: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    7. Ming Deng & Markus Leippold & Alexander F. Wagner & Qian Wang, 2022. "War and Policy: Investor Expectations on the Net-Zero Transition," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-29, Swiss Finance Institute, revised May 2023.
    8. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lado-Sestayo, Rubén & De Llano-Paz, Fernando & Vivel-Búa, Milagros & Martínez-Salgueiro, Andrea, 2023. "Commodity exposure in the eurozone: How EU energy security is conditioned by the Euro," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    2. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Hassan, M.Kabir & Kumari, Vineeta & Hasan, Rashedul, 2023. "Repercussions of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse on global stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    3. Anna Bohdan & Sabina Klosa & Urszula Romaniuk, 2023. "Fluctuations of Natural Gas Prices for Households in the 2017–2022 Period—Polish Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Si Mohammed, Kamel & Tedeschi, Marco & Mallek, Sabrine & Tarczyńska-Łuniewska, Małgorzata & Zhang, Anqi, 2023. "Realized semi variance quantile connectedness between oil prices and stock market: Spillover from Russian-Ukraine clash," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Shen, Lihua & Hong, Yanran, 2023. "Can geopolitical risks excite Germany economic policy uncertainty: Rethinking in the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    6. Le, Thanh Ha, 2023. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness between cryptocurrency volatility and renewable energy volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine-Russia conflicts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 613-625.
    7. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Wilhelm, Paulo Victor Berri & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2023. "Trade matters except to war neighbors: The international stock market reaction to 2022 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    8. Jiang, Wei & Dong, Lingfei & Chen, Yunfei, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness among traditional/new energy, green finance, and ESG in pre- and post-Russia-Ukraine war periods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Pham, Son Duy & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2023. "Electricity Market Crisis in Europe and Cross Border Price Effects: A Quantile Return Connectedness Analysis," Working Papers 8-2023, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    10. Zhu, Mingxue & Zhang, Hua & Xing, Wanli & Zhou, Xuanru & Wang, Lu & Sun, Haoyu, 2023. "Research on price transmission in Chinese mining stock market: Based on industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Wu, Feng-lin & Zhan, Xu-dong & Zhou, Jia-qi & Wang, Ming-hui, 2023. "Stock market volatility and Russia–Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    12. Paweł Ziemba, 2022. "Energy Security Assessment Based on a New Dynamic Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-18, December.
    13. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Billah, Mabruk, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness and spillover among carbon, climate, and energy futures: Determinants and portfolio risk management implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    14. Deng, Jing & Zheng, Huike & Xing, Xiaoyun, 2023. "Dynamic spillover and systemic importance analysis of global clean energy companies: A tail risk network perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    15. Jacek Brożyna & Wadim Strielkowski & Aleš Zpěvák, 2023. "Evaluating the Chances of Implementing the “Fit for 55” Green Transition Package in the V4 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-17, March.
    16. Mário Correia Fernandes & José Carlos Dias & João Pedro Vidal Nunes, 2024. "Performance comparison of alternative stochastic volatility models and its determinants in energy futures: COVID‐19 and Russia–Ukraine conflict features," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 343-383, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Umar, Muhammad & Riaz, Yasir & Yousaf, Imran, 2022. "Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Hassan, M Kabir & Boubaker, Sabri & Kumari, Vineeta & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Border disputes and heterogeneous sectoral returns: An event study approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Kamal, Md Rajib & Ahmed, Shaker & Hasan, Mostafa Monzur, 2023. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on the stock market: Evidence from Australia," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    5. Bougias, Alexandros & Episcopos, Athanasios & Leledakis, George N., 2022. "Valuation of European firms during the Russia–Ukraine war," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    6. Kolari, James W. & Pynnonen, Seppo & Tuncez, Ahmet M., 2021. "Further evidence on long-run abnormal returns after corporate events," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 421-439.
    7. Martins, António Miguel & Correia, Pedro & Gouveia, Ricardo, 2023. "Russia-Ukraine conflict: The effect on European banks’ stock market returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    8. Ding, Li & Lam, Hugo K.S. & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhou, Honggeng, 2018. "A review of short-term event studies in operations and supply chain management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 329-342.
    9. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Are short stocks susceptible to geopolitical shocks? Time-Frequency evidence from the Russian-Ukrainian conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Dutta, Anupam & Knif, Johan & Kolari, James W. & Pynnonen, Seppo, 2018. "A robust and powerful test of abnormal stock returns in long-horizon event studies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-24.
    11. Gaio, Luiz Eduardo & Stefanelli, Nelson Oliveira & Pimenta, Tabajara & Bonacim, Carlos Alberto Grespan & Gatsios, Rafael Confetti, 2022. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on market efficiency: Evidence for the developed stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    12. Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2023. "The impact of the war in Ukraine on energy prices: Consequences for firms’ financial performance," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 221-230.
    13. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Amin, Abu & Al Mamun, Mohammed Abdullah, 2021. "The COVID-19 outbreak and stock market reactions: Evidence from Australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    14. Piotr Fiszeder & Marta Ma³ecka, 2022. "Forecasting volatility during the outbreak of Russian invasion of Ukraine: application to commodities, stock indices, currencies, and cryptocurrencies," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(4), pages 939-967, December.
    15. Ili, Dragan & Mollet, Janick Christian, 2015. "Voluntary Corporate Climate Initiatives and Regulatory Loom: Batten Down the Hatches," Working papers 2015/06, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    16. Steffen Hundt & Andreas Horsch, 2019. "Sponsorship of the FIFA world cup, shareholder wealth, and the impact of corruption," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(23), pages 2468-2491, May.
    17. Koppenberg, Maximilian & Hirsch, Stefan & Finger, Robert, 2023. "Effects of the debate on glyphosate's carcinogenic risk on pesticide producers' share prices," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    18. Monica Martinez-Blasco & Vanessa Serrano & Francesc Prior & Jordi Cuadros, 2023. "Analysis of an event study using the Fama–French five-factor model: teaching approaches including spreadsheets and the R programming language," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, December.
    19. Mateev, Miroslav & Andonov, Kristiyan, 2018. "Do European bidders pay more in cross-border than in domestic acquisitions? New evidence from Continental Europe and the UK," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 529-556.
    20. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Sudipto Roy, 2019. "Abnormal Returns or Mismeasured Risk? Network Effects and Risk Spillover in Stock Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-13, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia-Ukraine conflict; Energy firms; Event study; Stock prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:50:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322004421. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.