IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v45y2012i1p662-668.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling optimal production rate with contract effects for international oil development projects

Author

Listed:
  • Zhao, Xu
  • Luo, Dongkun
  • Xia, Liangyu

Abstract

Optimizing oil production rate is one of the main challenges in designing development plan of oilfield in international cooperation projects. This paper establishes an oil production rate optimization model to maximize economic benefits within constraints of geological conditions and technology factors as well as oil contracts. This analysis describes the effects of contract terms on parameters of inputs and outputs, quantifies the relationships among production rate and production time, production, investment and costs. The oil exploration and production (E&P) project is illustrated for example, in which the optimal production rate under its own geological conditions and contract terms is calculated. The results reflect that the contract terms exert a tremendous influence on optimal production rate, at which the production in plateau phase occurs on the boundary of sliding scales provided in the contract. Simultaneously, changes in oil prices do not affect the optimal production rate. This study is important for companies to negotiate some elastic terms in contracts and design reasonable development strategies for resource distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao, Xu & Luo, Dongkun & Xia, Liangyu, 2012. "Modelling optimal production rate with contract effects for international oil development projects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 662-668.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:45:y:2012:i:1:p:662-668
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2012.07.028
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544212005580
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2012.07.028?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yu, Lean & Wang, Shouyang & Lai, Kin Keung, 2008. "Forecasting crude oil price with an EMD-based neural network ensemble learning paradigm," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2623-2635, September.
    2. Yusgiantoro, Purnomo & Hsiao, Frank S. T., 1993. "Production-sharing contracts and decision-making in oil production : The case of Indonesia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 245-256, October.
    3. Kaiser, Mark J., 2010. "Economic limit of field production in Louisiana," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 3399-3416.
    4. Helmi-Oskoui, B. & Narayanan, R. & Glover, T. & Lyon, K. S. & Sinha, M., 1992. "Optimal extraction of petroleum resources : An empirical approach," Resources and Energy, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 267-285, September.
    5. Luo, D.K. & Dai, Y.J. & Xia, L.Y., 2011. "Economic evaluation based policy analysis for coalbed methane industry in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 360-368.
    6. Ghandi, Abbas & Lin, C.-Y. Cynthia, 2012. "Do Iran’s buy-back service contracts lead to optimal production? The case of Soroosh and Nowrooz," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 181-190.
    7. Luo, Dongkun & Zhao, Xu, 2012. "Modeling the operating costs for petroleum exploration and development projects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 189-195.
    8. Kaiser, Mark J. & Yu, Yunke, 2010. "Economic limit of field production in Texas," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3235-3254, October.
    9. Rao, Raghavendra D., 2000. "An integrated modelling framework for exploration and extraction of petroleum resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 133-143, September.
    10. Kaiser, Mark J., 2006. "Hydrocarbon production cost functions in the Gulf of Mexico," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 1726-1747.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jia-Yue Huang & Yun-Fei Cao & Hui-Ling Zhou & Hong Cao & Bao-Jun Tang & Nan Wang, 2018. "Optimal Investment Timing and Scale Choice of Overseas Oil Projects: A Real Option Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Zhao, Xu & Luo, Dongkun & Lu, Kun & Wang, Xiaoyu & Dahl, Carol, 2019. "How the removal of producer subsidies influences oil and gas extraction: A case study in the Gulf of Mexico," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 1000-1012.
    3. Hui Li & Renjin Sun & Wei-Jen Lee & Kangyin Dong & Rui Guo, 2016. "Assessing Risk in Chinese Shale Gas Investments Abroad: Modelling and Policy Recommendations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-17, July.
    4. Rui Guo & Dongkun Luo & Xu Zhao & Jianliang Wang, 2016. "Integrated Evaluation Method-Based Technical and Economic Factors for International Oil Exploration Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-19, February.
    5. Feng, Zhuo & Zhang, Shui-Bo & Gao, Ying, 2014. "On oil investment and production: A comparison of production sharing contracts and buyback contracts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 395-402.
    6. Gholamreza Dehdasht & Rosli Mohamad Zin & M. Salim Ferwati & Mu’azu Mohammed Abdullahi & Ali Keyvanfar & Ronald McCaffer, 2017. "DEMATEL-ANP Risk Assessment in Oil and Gas Construction Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-24, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ewing, Bradley T. & Thompson, Mark A., 2016. "The role of reserves and production in the market capitalization of oil and gas companies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 576-581.
    2. Guy Dabi Gab-Leyba & Bertrand Laporte, 2015. "Oil Contracts, Progressive Taxation and Government Take in the Context of Uncertainty in Crude Oil Prices: The Case of Chad," Working Papers halshs-01217417, HAL.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Ewing, Bradley T. & Payne, James E., 2021. "The asymmetric relationship of oil prices and production on drilling rig trajectory," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    4. Jordan, Brett, 2018. "Economics literature on joint production of minerals: A survey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 20-28.
    5. Zhao, Xu & Luo, Dongkun & Lu, Kun & Wang, Xiaoyu & Dahl, Carol, 2019. "How the removal of producer subsidies influences oil and gas extraction: A case study in the Gulf of Mexico," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 1000-1012.
    6. Smith, James L., 2013. "Issues in extractive resource taxation: A review of research methods and models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 320-331.
    7. Apergis, Nicholas & Ewing, Bradley T. & Payne, James E., 2016. "A time series analysis of oil production, rig count and crude oil price: Evidence from six U.S. oil producing regions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 339-349.
    8. Ewing, Bradley T. & Malik, Farooq, 2017. "Modelling asymmetric volatility in oil prices under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 227-233.
    9. Yuan, Jiehui & Luo, Dongkun & Feng, Lianyong, 2015. "A review of the technical and economic evaluation techniques for shale gas development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 49-65.
    10. Kaiser, Mark J., 2012. "Profitability assessment of Haynesville shale gas wells," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 315-330.
    11. Kaiser, Mark J., 2011. "Economic limit of Outer Continental Shelf Gulf of Mexico structure production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(7), pages 2490-2508, July.
    12. Keqiang Guo & Baosheng Zhang & Kjell Aleklett & Mikael Höök, 2016. "Production Patterns of Eagle Ford Shale Gas: Decline Curve Analysis Using 1084 Wells," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-13, September.
    13. Pastor, Daniel J. & Ewing, Bradley T., 2022. "Exploding DUCs? Identifying periods of mild explosivity in the time series behavior of drilled but uncompleted wells," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    14. Kaiser, Mark J., 2012. "Modeling the horizontal well severance tax exemption in Louisiana," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 410-427.
    15. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-608.
    16. Wang, Yudong & Hao, Xianfeng, 2022. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil: A robust weighted least squares approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    17. Tao XIONG & Chongguang LI & Yukun BAO, 2017. "An improved EEMD-based hybrid approach for the short-term forecasting of hog price in China," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 63(3), pages 136-148.
    18. Kaijian He & Rui Zha & Jun Wu & Kin Keung Lai, 2016. "Multivariate EMD-Based Modeling and Forecasting of Crude Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-11, April.
    19. Donghua Wang & Tianhui Fang, 2022. "Forecasting Crude Oil Prices with a WT-FNN Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    20. Cheng Lian & Zhigang Zeng & Wei Yao & Huiming Tang, 2013. "Displacement prediction model of landslide based on a modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition and extreme learning machine," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(2), pages 759-771, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:45:y:2012:i:1:p:662-668. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.