IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v244y2022ipas0360544221029698.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigating the effects of key drivers on energy consumption of nonresidential buildings: A data-driven approach integrating regularization and quantile regression

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Xue
  • Ding, Yong
  • Tang, Hao
  • Fan, Lingxiao
  • Lv, Jie

Abstract

Investigation of the key drivers of building energy consumption at the city scale could assist in informing energy efficiency policies. This study proposed a data-driven approach by integrating regularization and quantile regression methods. This approach not only identified the key drivers of energy use by group lasso but also moved beyond the typical model of estimating average effects by quantile regression, quantifying the effects of the key drivers under low, medium and high consumption levels. The effectiveness of the proposed approach was evaluated based on a dataset of more than 2000 hospital and education buildings in Chongqing, China. The key drivers of these two types of buildings were found to be mainly related to building characteristics, including gross floor area, number of occupancies and cooling type. Additionally, the quantile regression results showed that most of the key drivers imposed clear heterogeneous effects on energy consumption throughout the quantiles. Compared with the other variables, gross floor area exerts the greatest positive effect on energy use across all the quantiles. The proposed approach can provide a general solution to understanding the effects of key drivers on energy consumption, and the empirical findings could benefit policy design for energy conservation.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Xue & Ding, Yong & Tang, Hao & Fan, Lingxiao & Lv, Jie, 2022. "Investigating the effects of key drivers on energy consumption of nonresidential buildings: A data-driven approach integrating regularization and quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:244:y:2022:i:pa:s0360544221029698
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.122720
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544221029698
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122720?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frondel, Manuel & Sommer, Stephan & Vance, Colin, 2019. "Heterogeneity in German Residential Electricity Consumption: A quantile regression approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 370-379.
    2. Pino-Mejías, Rafael & Pérez-Fargallo, Alexis & Rubio-Bellido, Carlos & Pulido-Arcas, Jesús A., 2017. "Comparison of linear regression and artificial neural networks models to predict heating and cooling energy demand, energy consumption and CO2 emissions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 24-36.
    3. Papadopoulos, Sokratis & Kontokosta, Constantine E., 2019. "Grading buildings on energy performance using city benchmarking data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 244-253.
    4. Robert Tibshirani, 2011. "Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso: a retrospective," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(3), pages 273-282, June.
    5. Ma, Jun & Cheng, Jack C.P., 2016. "Identifying the influential features on the regional energy use intensity of residential buildings based on Random Forests," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 193-201.
    6. Vu, D.H. & Muttaqi, K.M. & Agalgaonkar, A.P., 2015. "A variance inflation factor and backward elimination based robust regression model for forecasting monthly electricity demand using climatic variables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 385-394.
    7. Satre-Meloy, Aven, 2019. "Investigating structural and occupant drivers of annual residential electricity consumption using regularization in regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 148-168.
    8. Walter, Travis & Sohn, Michael D., 2016. "A regression-based approach to estimating retrofit savings using the Building Performance Database," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 996-1005.
    9. Karasu, Seçkin & Altan, Aytaç & Bekiros, Stelios & Ahmad, Wasim, 2020. "A new forecasting model with wrapper-based feature selection approach using multi-objective optimization technique for chaotic crude oil time series," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    10. Ma, Minda & Cai, Wei & Cai, Weiguang, 2018. "Carbon abatement in China's commercial building sector: A bottom-up measurement model based on Kaya-LMDI methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 350-368.
    11. Chung, William, 2011. "Review of building energy-use performance benchmarking methodologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 1470-1479, May.
    12. Roth, Jonathan & Rajagopal, Ram, 2018. "Benchmarking building energy efficiency using quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 866-876.
    13. Kialashaki, Arash & Reisel, John R., 2013. "Modeling of the energy demand of the residential sector in the United States using regression models and artificial neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 271-280.
    14. Ma, Jun & Cheng, Jack C.P., 2016. "Estimation of the building energy use intensity in the urban scale by integrating GIS and big data technology," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 182-192.
    15. Kaza, Nikhil, 2010. "Understanding the spectrum of residential energy consumption: A quantile regression approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(11), pages 6574-6585, November.
    16. Hsu, David, 2015. "Identifying key variables and interactions in statistical models of building energy consumption using regularization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 144-155.
    17. Sirin, Selahattin Murat & Yilmaz, Berna N., 2020. "Variable renewable energy technologies in the Turkish electricity market: Quantile regression analysis of the merit-order effect," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    18. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    19. Hou, Jing & Liu, Yisheng & Wu, Yong & Zhou, Nan & Feng, Wei, 2016. "Comparative study of commercial building energy-efficiency retrofit policies in four pilot cities in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 204-215.
    20. Mathew, Paul A. & Dunn, Laurel N. & Sohn, Michael D. & Mercado, Andrea & Custudio, Claudine & Walter, Travis, 2015. "Big-data for building energy performance: Lessons from assembling a very large national database of building energy use," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 85-93.
    21. Huang, Wen-Hsiu, 2015. "The determinants of household electricity consumption in Taiwan: Evidence from quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 120-133.
    22. Kamel, Ehsan & Sheikh, Shaya & Huang, Xueqing, 2020. "Data-driven predictive models for residential building energy use based on the segregation of heating and cooling days," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mohsin, Muhammad & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2022. "Nexus between financial development and energy poverty in Latin America," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Roth, Jonathan & Lim, Benjamin & Jain, Rishee K. & Grueneich, Dian, 2020. "Examining the feasibility of using open data to benchmark building energy usage in cities: A data science and policy perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Lawal, Abiola S. & Servadio, Joseph L. & Davis, Tate & Ramaswami, Anu & Botchwey, Nisha & Russell, Armistead G., 2021. "Orthogonalization and machine learning methods for residential energy estimation with social and economic indicators," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    3. Wang, Yuanping & Hou, Lingchun & Hu, Lang & Cai, Weiguang & Wang, Lin & Dai, Cuilian & Chen, Juntao, 2023. "How family structure type affects household energy consumption: A heterogeneous study based on Chinese household evidence," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    4. Wang, Xia & Fang, Yuan & Cai, Weiguang & Ding, Chao & Xie, Yupei, 2022. "Heating demand with heterogeneity in residential households in the hot summer and cold winter climate zone in China -A quantile regression approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    5. Ahmed Gassar, Abdo Abdullah & Yun, Geun Young & Kim, Sumin, 2019. "Data-driven approach to prediction of residential energy consumption at urban scales in London," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    6. Zhang, Yan & Teoh, Bak Koon & Zhang, Limao, 2023. "Exploring driving force factors of building energy use and GHG emission using a spatio-temporal regression method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    7. Jiang, Feifeng & Ma, Jun & Li, Zheng & Ding, Yuexiong, 2022. "Prediction of energy use intensity of urban buildings using the semi-supervised deep learning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    8. Niemierko, Rochus & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm, 2019. "A D-vine copula quantile regression approach for the prediction of residential heating energy consumption based on historical data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 691-708.
    9. Tilov, Ivan & Farsi, Mehdi & Volland, Benjamin, 2020. "From frugal Jane to wasteful John: A quantile regression analysis of Swiss households’ electricity demand," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    10. Wang, Endong & Alp, Neslihan & Shi, Jonathan & Wang, Chao & Zhang, Xiaodong & Chen, Hong, 2017. "Multi-criteria building energy performance benchmarking through variable clustering based compromise TOPSIS with objective entropy weighting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 197-210.
    11. Arjunan, Pandarasamy & Poolla, Kameshwar & Miller, Clayton, 2020. "EnergyStar++: Towards more accurate and explanatory building energy benchmarking," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    12. Andrews, Abigail & Jain, Rishee K., 2022. "Beyond Energy Efficiency: A clustering approach to embed demand flexibility into building energy benchmarking," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    13. Shen, Meng & Lu, Yujie & Wei, Kua Harn & Cui, Qingbin, 2020. "Prediction of household electricity consumption and effectiveness of concerted intervention strategies based on occupant behaviour and personality traits," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    14. Khayatian, Fazel & Sarto, Luca & Dall'O', Giuliano, 2017. "Building energy retrofit index for policy making and decision support at regional and national scales," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1062-1075.
    15. Małgorzata Sztorc, 2022. "The Implementation of the European Green Deal Strategy as a Challenge for Energy Management in the Face of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-21, April.
    16. Roth, Jonathan & Martin, Amory & Miller, Clayton & Jain, Rishee K., 2020. "SynCity: Using open data to create a synthetic city of hourly building energy estimates by integrating data-driven and physics-based methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    17. Hendrik Schmitz & Reinhard Madlener, 2020. "Heterogeneity in price responsiveness for residential space heating in Germany," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2255-2281, November.
    18. Zhou, Yuren & Lork, Clement & Li, Wen-Tai & Yuen, Chau & Keow, Yeong Ming, 2019. "Benchmarking air-conditioning energy performance of residential rooms based on regression and clustering techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    19. Bienvenido-Huertas, David & Moyano, Juan & Rodríguez-Jiménez, Carlos E. & Marín, David, 2019. "Applying an artificial neural network to assess thermal transmittance in walls by means of the thermometric method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 1-14.
    20. Chen, Guangwu & Zhu, Yuhan & Wiedmann, Thomas & Yao, Lina & Xu, Lixiao & Wang, Yafei, 2019. "Urban-rural disparities of household energy requirements and influence factors in China: Classification tree models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1321-1335.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:244:y:2022:i:pa:s0360544221029698. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.