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State-dependent fiscal multipliers: Calvo vs. Rotemberg

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  • Sims, Eric
  • Wolff, Jonathan

Abstract

This paper studies the properties of the fiscal multiplier in both the Calvo (1983) and Rotemberg (1982) variants of the New Keynesian model. Though identical to first order, the two variants of the model are not the same globally or to higher order. We solve both versions of the model using a third order approximation, and compute the distributions of fiscal multipliers by drawing from the ergodic distributions of states. The multiplier is significantly more variable across states in the Rotemberg model. These differences are magnified when the nominal interest rate is pegged instead of governed by an active Taylor rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Sims, Eric & Wolff, Jonathan, 2017. "State-dependent fiscal multipliers: Calvo vs. Rotemberg," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 190-194.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:159:y:2017:i:c:p:190-194
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.08.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
    2. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    3. Stefan Laséen & Lars E.O. Svensson, 2009. "Anticipated Alternative Instrument-Rate Paths in Policy Simulations," NBER Working Papers 14902, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel A., 2016. "Is Rotemberg pricing justified by macro data?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 44-48.
    5. Guido Ascari & Lorenza Rossi, 2012. "Trend Inflation and Firms Price‐Setting: Rotemberg Versus Calvo," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(563), pages 1115-1141, September.
    6. Boneva, Lena Mareen & Braun, R. Anton & Waki, Yuichiro, 2016. "Some unpleasant properties of loglinearized solutions when the nominal rate is zero," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 216-232.
    7. Rotemberg, Julio J, 1982. "Sticky Prices in the United States," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(6), pages 1187-1211, December.
    8. Phuong Ngo & Jianjun Miao, 2015. "Does Calvo Meet Rotemberg at the Zero Lower Bound?," 2015 Meeting Papers 602, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal multiplier; State-dependence; New Keynesian model;

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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