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Factor-augmented regression models with structural change

Author

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  • Wang, Shaoping
  • Cui, Guowei
  • Li, Kunpeng

Abstract

This paper considers a factor-augmented regression model in the presence of structural change. We propose a two-step procedure to estimate the coefficients of explanatory variables. We show that when the number of units (N) and the number of periods (T) are large and comparable, the proposed two-step estimator is T-consistent and has the same limiting distribution as if the unobservable factors were observed. Monte Carlo simulations confirm our theoretical results and show good finite sample performance of the two-step estimator.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Shaoping & Cui, Guowei & Li, Kunpeng, 2015. "Factor-augmented regression models with structural change," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 124-127.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:130:y:2015:i:c:p:124-127
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2015.03.020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2006. "Confidence Intervals for Diffusion Index Forecasts and Inference for Factor-Augmented Regressions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(4), pages 1133-1150, July.
    8. Jushan Bai, 1997. "Estimation Of A Change Point In Multiple Regression Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(4), pages 551-563, November.
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    11. Baltagi, Badi H. & Feng, Qu & Kao, Chihwa, 2016. "Estimation of heterogeneous panels with structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 176-195.
    12. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    13. Jushan Bai, 2009. "Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1229-1279, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Sanpan & Cui, Guowei & Zhang, Jianhua, 2017. "On testing for structural break of coefficients in factor-augmented regression models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 141-145.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural change; Factor-augmented regression; Two-step estimation; Limiting distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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