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Flow effects of large-scale asset purchases

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  • Kandrac, John
  • Schlusche, Bernd

Abstract

How large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) programs affect financial markets is an important question for policy makers that face the zero lower bound. While so-called “stock effects”–that is, persistent shifts in asset prices observed as the result of an LSAP program–are relatively well documented in the literature, there has been little study of “flow effects” that may occur at the time of LSAP transactions. Using security-level transaction data related to four distinct programs over a period of roughly four years, we test for the presence of flow effects in both price and liquidity of Treasury securities. We show that flow effects in security prices were present during early LSAPs by the Federal Reserve, but they were of little economic significance. Alternatively, we find no evidence for systematic liquidity flow effects in any of the LSAP programs.

Suggested Citation

  • Kandrac, John & Schlusche, Bernd, 2013. "Flow effects of large-scale asset purchases," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 330-335.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:121:y:2013:i:2:p:330-335
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.09.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Blix Grimaldi, Marianna & Crosta, Alberto & Zhang, Dong, 2021. "The Liquidity of the Government Bond Market – What Impact Does Quantitative Easing Have? Evidence from Sweden," Working Paper Series 402, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    2. De Santis, Roberto A., 2020. "Impact of the Asset Purchase Programme on euro area government bond yields using market news," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 192-209.
    3. Weigerding, Michael, 2023. "Long-term liquidity effects of large-scale asset purchase programs: Evidence from the euro covered bond market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 244-264.
    4. Schlepper, Kathi & Riordan, Ryan & Hofer, Heiko & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2017. "Scarcity effects of QE: A transaction-level analysis in the Bund market," Discussion Papers 06/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Smith, A. Lee & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2023. "The financial market effects of unwinding the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    6. Larkin, John & Anderson, PJ & Furlong, Sean, 2019. "The Irish Government Bond Market and Quantitative Easing," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 78-100, April.
    7. Chikashi Tsuji, 2016. "Did the expectations channel work? Evidence from quantitative easing in Japan, 2001–06," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1210996-121, December.
    8. De Santis, Roberto A. & Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric, 2017. "Flow effects of central bank asset purchases on euro area sovereign bond yields: evidence from a natural experiment," Working Paper Series 2052, European Central Bank.
    9. Fabian Eser & Wolfgang Lemke & Ken Nyholm & Sören Radde & Andreea Liliana Vladu, 2023. "Tracing the Impact of the ECB’s Asset Purchase Program on the Yield Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(3), pages 359-422, August.
    10. John Kandrac & Bernd Schlusche, 2017. "Quantitative Easing and Bank Risk Taking: Evidence from Lending," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-125, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Martijn Boermans & Viacheslav Keshkov, 2018. "The impact of the ECB asset purchases on the European bond market structure: Granular evidence on ownership concentration," DNB Working Papers 590, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    12. Pick-Schen Yip & Wee-Yeap Lau & Robert Brooks, 2023. "The Liquidity Effect of the U.S. QE on Sovereign Yield Spreads of Commodity-Exporting Countries," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-16, April.
    13. W. Arrata & B. Nguyen, 2017. "Price impact of bond supply shocks: Evidence from the Eurosystem's asset purchase program," Working papers 623, Banque de France.
    14. Harrison, Richard, 2017. "Optimal quantitative easing," Bank of England working papers 678, Bank of England.
    15. Christensen, Jens H.E. & Gillan, James M., 2022. "Does quantitative easing affect market liquidity?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    16. Shirota, Toyoichiro, 2023. "State-dependent effects of the unconventional monetary policy in stock markets," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    LSAP; Quantitative easing; Open market operations; Liquidity; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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