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Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets

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  • Pun, Chi Seng

Abstract

Time consistency and optimal diversification criteria are popular in the dynamic portfolio construction in practice. This paper is devoted to the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with assets that can be all risky in a continuous-time economy, of which the time-consistent global minimum-variance portfolio selection is a special case. Our solution generalizes the studies with a risk-free asset in the sense that one of the risky assets can be set as risk-free. By applying the extended dynamic programming, we manage to derive the exact analytical solution of the time-consistent mean-variance strategy with risky assets via the solution of an Abel differential equation. To stabilize the solution, we derive an analytical expansion for the Abel differential equation with any desired accuracy. In addition, we derive the statistical properties of the optimal strategy and prove a separation theorem. Moreover, we establish the links of time-consistent strategy with pre-commitment and myopic strategies and investigate the curse of dimensionality on the time-consistent strategies. We show that under the low-dimensional setting, the intertemporal hedging demands are significant; however, under the high-dimensional setting, the time-consistent strategies are approximately equivalent to myopic strategies, in the presence of estimation risk. Empirical studies are conducted to illustrate and verify our results.

Suggested Citation

  • Pun, Chi Seng, 2018. "Time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection with only risky assets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 281-292.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:75:y:2018:i:c:p:281-292
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.07.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Zhang, Caibin & Liang, Zhibin, 2022. "Optimal time-consistent reinsurance and investment strategies for a jump–diffusion financial market without cash," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    4. Yu Yang & Yonghong Wu & Benchawan Wiwatanapataphee, 2020. "Time-consistent mean–variance asset-liability management in a regime-switching jump-diffusion market," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(4), pages 401-427, December.
    5. Qian Lei & Chi Seng Pun, 2021. "Nonlocality, Nonlinearity, and Time Inconsistency in Stochastic Differential Games," Papers 2112.14409, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    6. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    7. Pun, Chi Seng & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2019. "A linear programming model for selection of sparse high-dimensional multiperiod portfolios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(2), pages 754-771.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Time-consistent strategy; Dynamic global minimum-variance strategy; Extended dynamic programming; Abel's differential equation; Curse of dimensionality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing

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