IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v7y2019i1p108-d199431.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stochastic Game Theoretic Formulation for a Multi-Period DC Pension Plan with State-Dependent Risk Aversion

Author

Listed:
  • Liyuan Wang

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, Shaanxi, China
    Center for Optimization Technique and Quantitative Finance, Xi’an International Academy for Mathematics and Mathematical Technology, Xi’an 710049, Shaanxi, China)

  • Zhiping Chen

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, Shaanxi, China
    Center for Optimization Technique and Quantitative Finance, Xi’an International Academy for Mathematics and Mathematical Technology, Xi’an 710049, Shaanxi, China)

Abstract

When facing a multi-period defined contribution (DC) pension plan investment problem during the accumulation phase, the risk aversion attitude of a mean-variance investor may depend on state variables. In this paper, we propose a state-dependent risk aversion model which is a linear function of the current wealth level after contribution. This risk aversion model is reasonable from both the dimensional analysis and the economic point of view. Moreover, we incorporate the wage income factor into our model. In the field of dynamic investment analysis, most studies have irrational situations in their models because of the lack of the positiveness for the wealth process. In view of it, we further improve the work of Wang and Chen by completely eliminating the irrationality of the model. Due to the time-inconsistency of the resulting stochastic control problem, we derive the explicit expressions of the equilibrium control and the corresponding equilibrium value function by adopting the game theoretic framework developed in Björk and Murgoci. Further, two special cases are discussed. Finally, using a more realistic risk aversion coefficient, we provide a series of empirical tests based on the real data from the American market and compare our results with the relevant results in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Liyuan Wang & Zhiping Chen, 2019. "Stochastic Game Theoretic Formulation for a Multi-Period DC Pension Plan with State-Dependent Risk Aversion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:7:y:2019:i:1:p:108-:d:199431
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/7/1/108/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/7/1/108/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guan, Guohui & Liang, Zongxia, 2015. "Mean–variance efficiency of DC pension plan under stochastic interest rate and mean-reverting returns," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 99-109.
    2. Yao, Haixiang & Yang, Zhou & Chen, Ping, 2013. "Markowitz’s mean–variance defined contribution pension fund management under inflation: A continuous-time model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 851-863.
    3. Ying Hu & Hanqing Jin & Xun Yu Zhou, 2012. "Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear--Quadratic Control," Post-Print hal-00691816, HAL.
    4. Wu, Huiling & Chen, Hua, 2015. "Nash equilibrium strategy for a multi-period mean–variance portfolio selection problem with regime switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 79-90.
    5. Wu, Huiling & Zeng, Yan, 2015. "Equilibrium investment strategy for defined-contribution pension schemes with generalized mean–variance criterion and mortality risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 396-408.
    6. Wu, Huiling & Zhang, Ling & Chen, Hua, 2015. "Nash equilibrium strategies for a defined contribution pension management," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 202-214.
    7. Wang, J. & Forsyth, P.A., 2011. "Continuous time mean variance asset allocation: A time-consistent strategy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 184-201, March.
    8. Yao, Haixiang & Lai, Yongzeng & Ma, Qinghua & Jian, Minjie, 2014. "Asset allocation for a DC pension fund with stochastic income and mortality risk: A multi-period mean–variance framework," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 84-92.
    9. Tomas Björk & Mariana Khapko & Agatha Murgoci, 2017. "On time-inconsistent stochastic control in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 331-360, April.
    10. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci & Xun Yu Zhou, 2014. "Mean–Variance Portfolio Optimization With State-Dependent Risk Aversion," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 1-24, January.
    11. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    12. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean-Marc Eber & David Heath & Hyejin Ku, 2007. "Coherent multiperiod risk adjusted values and Bellman’s principle," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 152(1), pages 5-22, July.
    13. Elena Vigna, 2014. "On efficiency of mean--variance based portfolio selection in defined contribution pension schemes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 237-258, February.
    14. R. H. Strotz, 1955. "Myopia and Inconsistency in Dynamic Utility Maximization," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(3), pages 165-180.
    15. Zeng, Yan & Li, Zhongfei, 2011. "Optimal time-consistent investment and reinsurance policies for mean-variance insurers," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 145-154, July.
    16. Liyuan Wang & Zhiping Chen, 2018. "Nash Equilibrium Strategy for a DC Pension Plan with State-Dependent Risk Aversion: A Multiperiod Mean-Variance Framework," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-17, October.
    17. Zhou, Zhongbao & Xiao, Helu & Yin, Jialing & Zeng, Ximei & Lin, Ling, 2016. "Pre-commitment vs. time-consistent strategies for the generalized multi-period portfolio optimization with stochastic cash flows," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 187-202.
    18. Yao, Haixiang & Chen, Ping & Li, Xun, 2016. "Multi-period defined contribution pension funds investment management with regime-switching and mortality risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 103-113.
    19. Li, Danping & Rong, Ximin & Zhao, Hui & Yi, Bo, 2017. "Equilibrium investment strategy for DC pension plan with default risk and return of premiums clauses under CEV model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 6-20.
    20. Xiangyu Cui & Xun Li & Duan Li & Yun Shi, 2017. "Time consistent behavioral portfolio policy for dynamic mean–variance formulation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(12), pages 1647-1660, December.
    21. Wei, J. & Wong, K.C. & Yam, S.C.P. & Yung, S.P., 2013. "Markowitz’s mean–variance asset–liability management with regime switching: A time-consistent approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 281-291.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hanwen Zhang & Duy-Minh Dang, 2023. "A monotone numerical integration method for mean-variance portfolio optimization under jump-diffusion models," Papers 2309.05977, arXiv.org.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bian, Lihua & Li, Zhongfei & Yao, Haixiang, 2018. "Pre-commitment and equilibrium investment strategies for the DC pension plan with regime switching and a return of premiums clause," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 78-94.
    2. Van Staden, Pieter M. & Dang, Duy-Minh & Forsyth, Peter A., 2018. "Time-consistent mean–variance portfolio optimization: A numerical impulse control approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 9-28.
    3. Zhiping Chen & Liyuan Wang & Ping Chen & Haixiang Yao, 2019. "Continuous-Time Mean–Variance Optimization For Defined Contribution Pension Funds With Regime-Switching," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(06), pages 1-33, September.
    4. Felix Fie{ss}inger & Mitja Stadje, 2023. "Time-Consistent Asset Allocation for Risk Measures in a L\'evy Market," Papers 2305.09471, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    5. Sun, Jingyun & Li, Zhongfei & Zeng, Yan, 2016. "Precommitment and equilibrium investment strategies for defined contribution pension plans under a jump–diffusion model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 158-172.
    6. Esben Kryger & Maj-Britt Nordfang & Mogens Steffensen, 2020. "Optimal control of an objective functional with non-linearity between the conditional expectations: solutions to a class of time-inconsistent portfolio problems," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 91(3), pages 405-438, June.
    7. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    8. Zhang, Ling & Zhang, Hao & Yao, Haixiang, 2018. "Optimal investment management for a defined contribution pension fund under imperfect information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 210-224.
    9. Yan, Tingjin & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2020. "Open-loop equilibrium reinsurance-investment strategy under mean–variance criterion with stochastic volatility," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 105-119.
    10. Yao, Haixiang & Chen, Ping & Li, Xun, 2016. "Multi-period defined contribution pension funds investment management with regime-switching and mortality risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 103-113.
    11. Li, Yuying & Forsyth, Peter A., 2019. "A data-driven neural network approach to optimal asset allocation for target based defined contribution pension plans," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 189-204.
    12. Alia, Ishak & Chighoub, Farid & Sohail, Ayesha, 2016. "A characterization of equilibrium strategies in continuous-time mean–variance problems for insurers," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 212-223.
    13. Marcel Nutz & Yuchong Zhang, 2019. "Conditional Optimal Stopping: A Time-Inconsistent Optimization," Papers 1901.05802, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    14. F. Cong & C. W. Oosterlee, 2017. "On Robust Multi-Period Pre-Commitment And Time-Consistent Mean-Variance Portfolio Optimization," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(07), pages 1-26, November.
    15. Zhou, Zhongbao & Xiao, Helu & Yin, Jialing & Zeng, Ximei & Lin, Ling, 2016. "Pre-commitment vs. time-consistent strategies for the generalized multi-period portfolio optimization with stochastic cash flows," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 187-202.
    16. Guohui Guan, 2020. "Equilibrium and Precommitment Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection Problem with Partially Observed Price Index and Multiple Assets," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 25-47, March.
    17. van Staden, Pieter M. & Dang, Duy-Minh & Forsyth, Peter A., 2021. "The surprising robustness of dynamic Mean-Variance portfolio optimization to model misspecification errors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 774-792.
    18. Wu, Huiling & Zhang, Ling & Chen, Hua, 2015. "Nash equilibrium strategies for a defined contribution pension management," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 202-214.
    19. Liang, Zongxia & Song, Min, 2015. "Time-consistent reinsurance and investment strategies for mean–variance insurer under partial information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 66-76.
    20. Bingyan Han & Chi Seng Pun & Hoi Ying Wong, 2023. "Robust Time-inconsistent Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Controls: A Stochastic Differential Game Approach," Papers 2306.16982, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:7:y:2019:i:1:p:108-:d:199431. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.