Data driven cost-sensitive boosted tree for interpretable banking systemic risk prediction
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2024.115664
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Gai, Prasanna & Kapadia, Sujit, 2010. "Contagion in financial networks," Bank of England working papers 383, Bank of England.
- Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017.
"Measuring Systemic Risk,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
- Viral V. Acharya & Christian Brownlees & Robert Engle & Farhang Farazmand & Matthew Richardson, 2013. "Measuring Systemic Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Oliviero Roggi & Edward I Altman (ed.), Managing and Measuring Risk Emerging Global Standards and Regulations After the Financial Crisis, chapter 3, pages 65-98, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Viral V. Acharya, 2011. "Measuring Systemic Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Stijn Claessens & Douglas D Evanoff & George G Kaufman & Laura E Kodres (ed.), Macroprudential Regulatory Policies The New Road to Financial Stability?, chapter 10, pages 133-143, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Viral V. Acharya, 2010. "Measuring systemic risk," Proceedings 1140, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Richardson, Matthew P & Philippon, Thomas & Acharya, Viral & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2012. "Measuring Systemic Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 8824, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2010. "Measuring systemic risk," Working Papers (Old Series) 1002, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Ruggero Grilli & Gabriele Tedeschi & Mauro Gallegati, 2015.
"Markets connectivity and financial contagion,"
Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(2), pages 287-304, October.
- Ruggero GRILLI & Gabriele TEDESCHI & Mauro GALLEGATI, 2012. "Markets connectivity and financial contagion," Working Papers 382, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
- Upper, Christian & Worms, Andreas, 2004.
"Estimating bilateral exposures in the German interbank market: Is there a danger of contagion?,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 827-849, August.
- Christian Upper & Andreas Worms, 2001. "Estimating bilateral exposures in the German interbank market: is there a danger of contagion?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Marrying the macro- and micro-prudential dimensions of financial stability, volume 1, pages 211-229, Bank for International Settlements.
- Upper, Christian & Worms, Andreas, 2002. "Estimating Bilateral Exposures in the German Interbank Market: Is there a Danger of Contagion?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2002,09, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Aldasoro, Iñaki & Delli Gatti, Domenico & Faia, Ester, 2017.
"Bank networks: Contagion, systemic risk and prudential policy,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 164-188.
- Inaki Aldasoro & Domenico Delli Gatti & Ester Faia, 2015. "Bank Networks: Contagion, Systemic Risk and Prudential Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 5182, CESifo.
- Iñaki Aldasoro & Domenico Delli Gatti & Ester Faia, 2015. "Bank Networks: Contagion, Systemic Risk and Prudential Policy," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def028, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
- Iñaki Aldasoro & Domenico Delli Gatti & Ester Faia, 2016. "Bank networks: contagion, systemic risk and prudential policy," BIS Working Papers 597, Bank for International Settlements.
- Aldasoro, Iñaki & Delli Gatti, Domenico & Faia, Ester, 2015. "Bank networks: Contagion, systemic risk and prudential policy," SAFE Working Paper Series 87, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2015.
- Faia, Ester & Delli Gatti, Domenico & Aldasoro, Inaki, 2015. "Bank Networks: Contagion, Systemic Risk and Prudential Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 10540, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 2000.
"Financial Contagion,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 108(1), pages 1-33, February.
- Allen, Franklin & Gale, Douglas, 1998. "Financial Contagion," Working Papers 98-33, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
- Franklin Allen & Douglas Gale, 1999. "Financial Contagion," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2092, David K. Levine.
- Simon Wells, 2004. "Financial interlinkages in the United Kingdom's interbank market and the risk of contagion," Bank of England working papers 230, Bank of England.
- Shuwen Gong & Huiwen Zou, 2023. "Simulation of interactive contagion between depositors' panic and banking risk," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 392-404, January.
- Luo, Jian & Yan, Xin & Tian, Ye, 2020. "Unsupervised quadratic surface support vector machine with application to credit risk assessment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 280(3), pages 1008-1017.
- Matteo Smerlak & Brady Stoll & Agam Gupta & James S Magdanz, 2015.
"Mapping Systemic Risk: Critical Degree and Failures Distribution in Financial Networks,"
PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-15, July.
- Matteo Smerlak & Brady Stoll & Agam Gupta & James S. Magdanz, 2014. "Mapping systemic risk: critical degree and failures distribution in financial networks," Papers 1402.4783, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2014.
- Iori, Giulia & Jafarey, Saqib & Padilla, Francisco G., 2006. "Systemic risk on the interbank market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 61(4), pages 525-542, December.
- Sheri M Markose, 2013. "Systemic risk analytics: A data-driven multi-agent financial network (MAFN) approach," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 14(3-4), pages 285-305, July.
- Yichen Zhou & Honggang Li, 2019. "Asset diversification and systemic risk in the financial system," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(2), pages 247-272, June.
- Krause, Andreas & Giansante, Simone, 2012. "Interbank lending and the spread of bank failures: A network model of systemic risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 583-608.
- Toivanen, Mervi, 2009. "Financial interlinkages and risk of contagion in the Finnish interbank market," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2009, Bank of Finland.
- Jiang, Shanshan & Fan, Hong, 2021. "Systemic risk in the interbank market with overlapping portfolios and cross-ownership of the subordinated debts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
- repec:fip:fedhpr:y:2010:i:may:p:65-71 is not listed on IDEAS
- Freixas, Xavier & Parigi, Bruno M & Rochet, Jean-Charles, 2000.
"Systemic Risk, Interbank Relations, and Liquidity Provision by the Central Bank,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(3), pages 611-638, August.
- Xavier Freixas & Bruno Parigi & Jean-Charles Rochet, 2000. "Systemic risk, interbank relations, and liquidity provision by the central bank," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 611-640.
- Xavier Freixas & Bruno Parigi & Jean Charles Rochet, 1998. "Systemic risk, interbank relations and liquidity provision by the Central Bank," Economics Working Papers 440, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 1999.
- Freixas, Xavier & Parigi, Bruno & Rochet, Jean-Charles, 1999. "Systemic Risk, Interbank Relations and Liquidity Provision by the Central Bank," CEPR Discussion Papers 2325, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2009_006 is not listed on IDEAS
- Alexandre, Michel & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Connaughton, Colm & Rodrigues, Francisco A., 2021. "The drivers of systemic risk in financial networks: a data-driven machine learning analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
- Edson Bastos Santos & Rama Cont, 2010. "The Brazilian Interbank Network Structure and Systemic Risk," Working Papers Series 219, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Steven H. Strogatz, 2001. "Exploring complex networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 410(6825), pages 268-276, March.
- Nier, Erlend & Yang, Jing & Yorulmazer, Tanju & Alentorn, Amadeo, 2007.
"Network models and financial stability,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 2033-2060, June.
- Nier, Erlend & Yang, Jing & Yorulmazer, Tanju & Alentorn, Amadeo, 2008. "Network models and financial stability," Bank of England working papers 346, Bank of England.
- Mathias Drehmann & Claudio Borio & Leonardo Gambacorta & Gabriel Jiminez & Carlos Trucharte, 2010. "Countercyclical capital buffers: exploring options," BIS Working Papers 317, Bank for International Settlements.
- Toivanen, Mervi, 2009. "Financial interlinkages and risk of contagion in the Finnish interbank market," Research Discussion Papers 6/2009, Bank of Finland.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Yun, Tae-Sub & Jeong, Deokjong & Park, Sunyoung, 2019. "“Too central to fail” systemic risk measure using PageRank algorithm," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 251-272.
- Morteza Alaeddini & Philippe Madiès & Paul J. Reaidy & Julie Dugdale, 2023. "Interbank money market concerns and actors’ strategies—A systematic review of 21st century literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 573-654, April.
- Teteryatnikova, Mariya, 2014. "Systemic risk in banking networks: Advantages of “tiered” banking systems," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 186-210.
- Pawe{l} Smaga & Mateusz Wili'nski & Piotr Ochnicki & Piotr Arendarski & Tomasz Gubiec, 2016. "Can banks default overnight? Modeling endogenous contagion on O/N interbank market," Papers 1603.05142, arXiv.org.
- Green, Christopher & Bai, Ye & Murinde, Victor & Ngoka, Kethi & Maana, Isaya & Tiriongo, Samuel, 2016. "Overnight interbank markets and the determination of the interbank rate: A selective survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 149-161.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2013_019 is not listed on IDEAS
- Paul Glasserman & Peyton Young, 2015. "Contagion in Financial Networks," Economics Series Working Papers 764, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Andre R. Neveu, 2018. "A survey of network-based analysis and systemic risk measurement," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(2), pages 241-281, July.
- Toivanen, Mervi, 2013. "Contagion in the interbank network : An epidemiological approach," Research Discussion Papers 19/2013, Bank of Finland.
- Bardoscia, Marco & Barucca, Paolo & Codd, Adam Brinley & Hill, John, 2019. "Forward-looking solvency contagion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Leventides, John & Loukaki, Kalliopi & Papavassiliou, Vassilios G., 2019.
"Simulating financial contagion dynamics in random interbank networks,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 500-525.
- John Leventides & Kalliopi Loukaki & Vassilios Papavassiliou, 2018. "Simulating financial contagion dynamics in random interbank networks," Working Paper series 18-34, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- John Leventides & Kalliopi Loukaki & Vassilios G. Papavassiliou, 2019. "Simulating financial contagion dynamics in random interbank networks," Open Access publications 10197/9601, Research Repository, University College Dublin.
- Diem, Christian & Pichler, Anton & Thurner, Stefan, 2020.
"What is the minimal systemic risk in financial exposure networks?,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Christian Diem & Anton Pichler & Stefan Thurner, 2019. "What is the Minimal Systemic Risk in Financial Exposure Networks?," Papers 1905.05931, arXiv.org.
- Gabrielle Demange, 2018.
"Contagion in Financial Networks: A Threat Index,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(2), pages 955-970, February.
- Demange, Gabrielle, 2012. "Contagion in financial networks: A threat index," CEPR Discussion Papers 8793, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gabrielle Demange, 2018. "Contagion in Financial Networks: A Threat Index," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01630616, HAL.
- Gabrielle Demange, 2018. "Contagion in Financial Networks: A Threat Index," Post-Print halshs-01630616, HAL.
- Gabrielle Demange, 2016. "Contagion in financial networks: a threat index," Working Papers halshs-00662513, HAL.
- Gabrielle Demange, 2016. "Contagion in financial networks: a threat index," PSE Working Papers halshs-00662513, HAL.
- Gabrielle Demange, 2015. "Contagion in Financial Networks: A Threat Index," CESifo Working Paper Series 5307, CESifo.
- Lara Mónica Machado Fernandes & Maria Rosa Borges, 2013. "Interbank Linkages and Contagion Risk in the Portuguese Banking System," Working Papers Department of Economics 2013/23, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Ebrahimi Kahou, Mahdi & Lehar, Alfred, 2017.
"Macroprudential policy: A review,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 92-105.
- Mahdi Ebrahimi Kahou & Alfred Lehar, 2015. "Macroprudential Policy: A Review," SPP Research Papers, The School of Public Policy, University of Calgary, vol. 8(34), October.
- Ladley, Daniel, 2013.
"Contagion and risk-sharing on the inter-bank market,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1384-1400.
- Dan Ladley, 2010. "An economic model of contagion in interbank lending markets," Discussion Papers in Economics 11/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, revised Dec 2010.
- Dan Ladley, 2010. "Contagion and risk-sharing on the inter-bank market," Discussion Papers in Economics 11/10, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, revised Jan 2013.
- Battiston, Stefano & Delli Gatti, Domenico & Gallegati, Mauro & Greenwald, Bruce & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2012.
"Liaisons dangereuses: Increasing connectivity, risk sharing, and systemic risk,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1121-1141.
- Stefano Battiston & Domenico Delli Gatti & Mauro Gallegati & Bruce C. Greenwald & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2009. "Liaisons Dangereuses: Increasing Connectivity, Risk Sharing, and Systemic Risk," NBER Working Papers 15611, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Prasanna Gai & Sujit Kapadia, 2011.
"A Network Model of Super-Systemic Crises,"
Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rodrigo Alfaro (ed.),Financial Stability, Monetary Policy, and Central Banking, edition 1, volume 15, chapter 13, pages 411-432,
Central Bank of Chile.
- Prasanna Gai & Sujit Kapadia, 2009. "A Network Model of Super-systemic Crises," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 542, Central Bank of Chile.
- Krause, Andreas & Giansante, Simone, 2012. "Interbank lending and the spread of bank failures: A network model of systemic risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 583-608.
- Valentina Macchiati & Giuseppe Brandi & Tiziana Di Matteo & Daniela Paolotti & Guido Caldarelli & Giulio Cimini, 2022. "Systemic liquidity contagion in the European interbank market," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(2), pages 443-474, April.
- Silva, Walmir & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2017. "An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 91-114.
More about this item
Keywords
Systemic risk; Nonlinear and non-equilibrium; Cost-sensitive; Interpretability;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:189:y:2024:i:p1:s0960077924012165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.