IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v383y2025ics0306261925000236.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing the Viability of Renewable Hydrogen, Ammonia, and Methanol in Decarbonizing Heavy-duty Trucks

Author

Listed:
  • Bai, Fanlong
  • Zhao, Fuquan
  • Liu, Ming
  • Liu, Zongwei
  • Hao, Han
  • Reiner, David M.

Abstract

Decarbonizing heavy-duty trucks (HDTs) is both challenging and crucial for achieving carbon neutrality in the transport sector. Renewable hydrogen (H2), methanol (MeOH), and ammonia (NH3) offer potential solutions, yet their economic viability and emission benefits remain largely unexplored. This study presents, for the first time, a comprehensive techno-economic analysis of using these three renewable fuels to decarbonize HDTs through detailed fuel and vehicle modeling. Six pathways are compared: hydrogen fuel cell electric trucks (FCET-H2), internal combustion engine trucks using MeOH (ICET-MeOH) and NH3 (ICET-NH3), as well as three indirect pathways that utilize these fuels for power generation to charge battery electric trucks (BETs). A novel “target powertrain cost” metric is introduced to assess the economic viability of FCET-H2, ICET-NH3, and ICET-MeOH relative to BETs. The results reveal that while BET pathways demonstrate higher well-to-wheel efficiencies, significant opportunities exist for ICET-MeOH and ICET-NH3 in medium- and long-haul applications. Furthermore, FCET-H2 achieves the lowest life cycle carbon emissions, while ICET-MeOH and ICET-NH3 become more cost-effective as electricity costs decline. This study offers valuable insights and benchmarks for powertrain developers and policymakers, addressing a critical gap in the comparative analysis of these three fuels for decarbonizing HDTs.

Suggested Citation

  • Bai, Fanlong & Zhao, Fuquan & Liu, Ming & Liu, Zongwei & Hao, Han & Reiner, David M., 2025. "Assessing the Viability of Renewable Hydrogen, Ammonia, and Methanol in Decarbonizing Heavy-duty Trucks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 383(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:383:y:2025:i:c:s0306261925000236
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.125293
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261925000236
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.125293?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Liu, Xiaoling & Sun, Xiaohua & Zheng, Hui & Huang, Dongdong, 2021. "Do policy incentives drive electric vehicle adoption? Evidence from China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 49-62.
    2. Liu, Xinglong & Zhao, Fuquan & Hao, Han & Liu, Zongwei, 2023. "Comparative analysis for different vehicle powertrains in terms of energy-saving potential and cost-effectiveness in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    3. Zhang, Qianzhi & Wang, Lining & Chen, Wenying & Zhang, Chenglong, 2024. "Assessing the impact of hydrogen trade towards low-carbon energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PB).
    4. Zhen, Xudong & Wang, Yang, 2015. "An overview of methanol as an internal combustion engine fuel," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 477-493.
    5. Jahangir Samet, Mehdi & Liimatainen, Heikki & Pihlatie, Mikko & van Vliet, Oscar Patrick René, 2024. "Levelized cost of driving for medium and heavy-duty battery electric trucks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 361(C).
    6. Dong, Zuo & Wang, Xianjia & Zhu, Runzhou & Dong, Xuan & Ai, Xueshan, 2022. "Improving the accuracy of wind speed statistical analysis and wind energy utilization in the Ningxia Autonomous Region, China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 320(C).
    7. Li, Mingquan & Virguez, Edgar & Shan, Rui & Tian, Jialin & Gao, Shuo & Patiño-Echeverri, Dalia, 2022. "High-resolution data shows China’s wind and solar energy resources are enough to support a 2050 decarbonized electricity system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    8. Geng, Jingxuan & Gao, Suofen & Sun, Xin & Liu, Zongwei & Zhao, Fuquan & Hao, Han, 2022. "Potential of electric vehicle batteries second use in energy storage systems: The case of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    9. Wang, Zhi & Qi, Yunliang & Sun, Qiyang & Lin, Zhelong & Xu, Xiaoting, 2024. "Ammonia combustion using hydrogen jet ignition (AHJI) in internal combustion engines," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    10. Li, Chengjiang & Hao, Qianwen & Wang, Honglei & Hu, Yu-jie & Xu, Guoteng & Qin, Quande & Wang, Xiaolin & Negnevitsky, Michael, 2024. "Assessing green methanol vehicles' deployment with life cycle assessment-system dynamics model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    11. Zou, Weitao & Li, Jianwei & Yang, Qingqing & Wan, Xinming & He, Yuntang & Lan, Hao, 2023. "A real-time energy management approach with fuel cell and battery competition-synergy control for the fuel cell vehicle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    12. Ren, Lei & Zhou, Sheng & Peng, Tianduo & Ou, Xunmin, 2022. "Greenhouse gas life cycle analysis of China's fuel cell medium- and heavy-duty trucks under segmented usage scenarios and vehicle types," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    13. Chen, Chuanglian & Zhou, Lichao & Sun, Chuanwang & Lin, Yuting, 2024. "Does oil future increase the network systemic risk of financial institutions in China?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    14. Qiao, Qinyu & Zhao, Fuquan & Liu, Zongwei & Jiang, Shuhua & Hao, Han, 2017. "Cradle-to-gate greenhouse gas emissions of battery electric and internal combustion engine vehicles in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 1399-1411.
    15. Qiao, Qinyu & Zhao, Fuquan & Liu, Zongwei & He, Xin & Hao, Han, 2019. "Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of Electric Vehicles in China: Combining the vehicle cycle and fuel cycle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 222-233.
    16. Fan, Jing-Li & Yu, Pengwei & Li, Kai & Xu, Mao & Zhang, Xian, 2022. "A levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) comparison of coal-to-hydrogen with CCS and water electrolysis powered by renewable energy in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    17. Zhang, Hao & Lei, Nuo & Wang, Zhi, 2024. "Ammonia-hydrogen propulsion system for carbon-free heavy-duty vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 369(C).
    18. Sánchez, Antonio & Blanco, Elena C. & Martín, Mariano, 2024. "Comparative assessment of methanol and ammonia: Green fuels vs. hydrogen carriers in fuel cell power generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 374(C).
    19. Hassan, I.A. & Ramadan, Haitham S. & Saleh, Mohamed A. & Hissel, Daniel, 2021. "Hydrogen storage technologies for stationary and mobile applications: Review, analysis and perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    20. Li, Jiaxuan & Zhu, Xun & Djilali, Ned & Yang, Yang & Ye, Dingding & Chen, Rong & Liao, Qiang, 2022. "Comparative well-to-pump assessment of fueling pathways for zero-carbon transportation in China: Hydrogen economy or methanol economy?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    21. Sayfutdinov, Timur & Vorobev, Petr, 2022. "Optimal utilization strategy of the LiFePO4 battery storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhao, Pengyun & Huang, Lvmeng & Chen, Zhanming & He, Haibin & Wu, Jie & Wang, Long & Duan, Xiongbo & Chen, Hao, 2025. "The effects of injection timings on the spray and combustion of automobile engines fueled with diesel/methanol under cross and horizontal injection," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    2. Maciej Matczak & Andrzej S. Grzelakowski, 2025. "Impact of EU Decarbonization Policy on Polish International Road Freight Competitiveness," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(7), pages 1-19, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Xiang & Liu, Yinchen & Qu, Yang & Ding, Lu & Yan, Xiaoyu, 2025. "Effect of electric vehicles and renewable electricity on future life cycle air emissions from China's road transport fleet," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
    2. Peng, Tianduo & Ren, Lei & Ou, Xunmin, 2023. "Development and application of life-cycle energy consumption and carbon footprint analysis model for passenger vehicles in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    3. Fuquan Zhao & Kangda Chen & Han Hao & Zongwei Liu, 2020. "Challenges, Potential and Opportunities for Internal Combustion Engines in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Lin, Zewei & Wang, Peng & Ren, Songyan & Zhao, Daiqing, 2023. "Economic and environmental impacts of EVs promotion under the 2060 carbon neutrality target—A CGE based study in Shaanxi Province of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
    5. Halder, Pobitra & Babaie, Meisam & Salek, Farhad & Shah, Kalpit & Stevanovic, Svetlana & Bodisco, Timothy A. & Zare, Ali, 2024. "Performance, emissions and economic analyses of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    6. Xiong, Siqin & Wang, Yunshi & Bai, Bo & Ma, Xiaoming, 2021. "A hybrid life cycle assessment of the large-scale application of electric vehicles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    7. Wu, Ziyang & Wang, Can & Wolfram, Paul & Zhang, Yaxin & Sun, Xin & Hertwich, Edgar, 2019. "Assessing electric vehicle policy with region-specific carbon footprints," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    8. Guan, Wei & Gu, Jinkai & Pan, Xiubin & Pan, Mingzhang & Wang, Xinyan & Zhao, Hua & Tan, Dongli & Fu, Changcheng & Pedrozo, Vinícius B. & Zhang, Zhiqing, 2024. "Improvement of the light-load combustion control strategy for a heavy-duty diesel engine fueled with diesel/methonal by RSM-NSGA III," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    9. Chenghao Lyu & Nuo Lei & Chaoyi Chen & Hao Zhang, 2025. "A Hierarchical Evolutionary Search Framework with Manifold Learning for Powertrain Optimization of Flying Vehicles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(13), pages 1-20, June.
    10. Picatoste, Aitor & Justel, Daniel & Mendoza, Joan Manuel F., 2022. "Circularity and life cycle environmental impact assessment of batteries for electric vehicles: Industrial challenges, best practices and research guidelines," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    11. Li, Xinying & Tang, Xu & Ma, Meiyan & Wang, Min & Xu, Chuanbo, 2024. "Levelized cost analysis of onshore wind-powered hydrogen production system in China considering landform heterogeneity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    12. Jani Das, 2022. "Comparative life cycle GHG emission analysis of conventional and electric vehicles in India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(11), pages 13294-13333, November.
    13. Zheng, Xiao & Li, Wenbo & Cui, Ke & Cheng, Xiu & Huang, Jiaxin, 2025. "Reevaluating the impact of new energy vehicles: A vehicle substitution pattern analysis on comprehensive emission reduction effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
    14. Yang Yang & Libo Lan & Zhuo Hao & Jianyou Zhao & Geng Luo & Pei Fu & Yisong Chen, 2022. "Life Cycle Prediction Assessment of Battery Electrical Vehicles with Special Focus on Different Lithium-Ion Power Batteries in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-23, July.
    15. Li, Chengjiang & Hao, Qianwen & Zhang, Wei & Wang, Shiyuan & Yang, Jing, 2025. "Development strategies for green hydrogen, green ammonia, and green methanol in transportation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    16. Rachana Vidhi & Prasanna Shrivastava & Abhishek Parikh, 2021. "Social and Technological Impact of Businesses Surrounding Electric Vehicles," Clean Technol., MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-17, February.
    17. Lu Xiao & Feiyue Yang & Yong Yang & Che Chen & Wuer Ha, 2024. "A Sustainable Production Planning Scheme for New Energy Vehicles in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-24, September.
    18. Feng, Changling & E, Jiaqiang & Kou, Chuanfu & Han, Dandan & Han, Chang & Tan, Yan & Deng, Yuanwang, 2024. "Investigation on the hydrocarbon adsorption performance enhancement of the ZSM-5 zeolite with different Si/Al ratio in the cold start process of the gasoline engine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    19. Chen, Yufeng & Ni, Liangfu & Liu, Kelong, 2021. "Does China's new energy vehicle industry innovate efficiently? A three-stage dynamic network slacks-based measure approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    20. Mucci, Simone & Stumm, Marc-Daniel & Rix, Michael J. & Mitsos, Alexander, 2025. "Model-based evaluation of ammonia energy storage concepts at high technological readiness level," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PB).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:383:y:2025:i:c:s0306261925000236. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.