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Early prediction of Lithium-ion cell degradation trajectories using signatures of voltage curves up to 4-minute sub-sampling rates

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  • Ibraheem, Rasheed
  • Wu, Yue
  • Lyons, Terry
  • dos Reis, Gonçalo

Abstract

Feature-based machine learning models for capacity and internal resistance (IR) curve prediction have been researched extensively in literature due to their high accuracy and generalization power. Most such models work within the high frequency of data availability regime, e.g., voltage response recorded every 1–4 s. Outside premium fee cloud monitoring solutions, data may be recorded once every 3, 5 or 10 min. In this low-data regime, there are little to no models available. This literature gap is addressed here via a novel methodology, underpinned by strong mathematical guarantees, called ‘path signature’.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibraheem, Rasheed & Wu, Yue & Lyons, Terry & dos Reis, Gonçalo, 2023. "Early prediction of Lithium-ion cell degradation trajectories using signatures of voltage curves up to 4-minute sub-sampling rates," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:352:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923013387
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121974
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    2. Calum Strange & Shawn Li & Richard Gilchrist & Gonçalo dos Reis, 2021. "Elbows of Internal Resistance Rise Curves in Li-Ion Cells," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-15, February.
    3. Calum Strange & Rasheed Ibraheem & Gonçalo dos Reis, 2023. "Online Lifetime Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries with Cycle-by-Cycle Updates, Variance Reduction, and Model Ensembling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-14, April.
    4. Peter M. Attia & Aditya Grover & Norman Jin & Kristen A. Severson & Todor M. Markov & Yang-Hung Liao & Michael H. Chen & Bryan Cheong & Nicholas Perkins & Zi Yang & Patrick K. Herring & Muratahan Ayko, 2020. "Closed-loop optimization of fast-charging protocols for batteries with machine learning," Nature, Nature, vol. 578(7795), pages 397-402, February.
    5. Li, Penghua & Zhang, Zijian & Grosu, Radu & Deng, Zhongwei & Hou, Jie & Rong, Yujun & Wu, Rui, 2022. "An end-to-end neural network framework for state-of-health estimation and remaining useful life prediction of electric vehicle lithium batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Cong & Chen, Yunxia, 2024. "Unsupervised dynamic prognostics for abnormal degradation of lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
    2. Yang, Minxing & Sun, Xiaofei & Liu, Rui & Wang, Lingzhi & Zhao, Fei & Mei, Xuesong, 2024. "Predict the lifetime of lithium-ion batteries using early cycles: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PA).
    3. Ibraheem, Rasheed & Dechent, Philipp & dos Reis, Gonçalo, 2025. "Path signature-based life prognostics of Li-ion battery using pulse test data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).

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