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Stochastic–multiobjective market equilibrium analysis of a demand response program in energy market under uncertainty

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  • Hu, Ming-Che
  • Lu, Su-Ying
  • Chen, Yen-Haw

Abstract

In the electricity market, demand response programs are designed to shift peak demand and enhance system reliability. A demand response program can reduce peak energy demand, power transmission congestion, or high energy-price conditions by changing consumption patterns. The purpose of this research is to analyze the impact of a demand response program in the energy market, under demand uncertainty. A stochastic–multiobjective Nash–Cournot competition model is formulated to simulate demand response in an uncertain energy market. Then, Karush–Kuhn–Tucker optimality conditions and a linear complementarity problem are derived for the stochastic Nash–Cournot model. Accordingly, the linear complementarity problem is solved and its stochastic market equilibrium solution is determined by using a general algebraic modeling system. Additionally, the case of the Taiwanese electric power market is taken up here, and the results show that a demand response program is capable of reducing peak energy consumption, energy price, and carbon dioxide emissions. The results show that demand response program decreases electricity price by 2–10%, total electricity generation by 0.5–2%, and carbon dioxide emissions by 0.5–2.5% in the Taiwanese power market. In the simulation, demand uncertainty leads to an 2–7% increase in energy price and supply risk in the market. Additionally, tradeoffs between cost and carbon dioxide emissions are presented.

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  • Hu, Ming-Che & Lu, Su-Ying & Chen, Yen-Haw, 2016. "Stochastic–multiobjective market equilibrium analysis of a demand response program in energy market under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 500-506.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:182:y:2016:i:c:p:500-506
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.112
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    3. Märkle-Huß, Joscha & Feuerriegel, Stefan & Neumann, Dirk, 2018. "Large-scale demand response and its implications for spot prices, load and policies: Insights from the German-Austrian electricity market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 1290-1298.
    4. Wang, Fei & Xu, Hanchen & Xu, Ti & Li, Kangping & Shafie-khah, Miadreza & Catalão, João. P.S., 2017. "The values of market-based demand response on improving power system reliability under extreme circumstances," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 220-231.
    5. Shahmohammadi, Ali & Sioshansi, Ramteen & Conejo, Antonio J. & Afsharnia, Saeed, 2018. "Market equilibria and interactions between strategic generation, wind, and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 876-892.
    6. Motta, Vinicius N. & Anjos, Miguel F. & Gendreau, Michel, 2024. "Survey of optimization models for power system operation and expansion planning with demand response," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 312(2), pages 401-412.
    7. Motalleb, Mahdi & Siano, Pierluigi & Ghorbani, Reza, 2019. "Networked Stackelberg Competition in a Demand Response Market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 680-691.
    8. Kai Ma & Shubing Hu & Jie Yang & Chunxia Dou & Josep M. Guerrero, 2017. "Energy Trading and Pricing in Microgrids with Uncertain Energy Supply: A Three-Stage Hierarchical Game Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
    9. Mel T. Devine & Valentin Bertsch, 2023. "The role of demand response in mitigating market power: a quantitative analysis using a stochastic market equilibrium model," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 45(2), pages 555-597, June.
    10. Su, Huai & Zhang, Jinjun & Zio, Enrico & Yang, Nan & Li, Xueyi & Zhang, Zongjie, 2018. "An integrated systemic method for supply reliability assessment of natural gas pipeline networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 489-501.
    11. Kocaman, Ayse Selin & Ozyoruk, Emin & Taneja, Shantanu & Modi, Vijay, 2020. "A stochastic framework to evaluate the impact of agricultural load flexibility on the sizing of renewable energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 1067-1078.
    12. Bertsch, Valentin & Devine, Mel & Sweeney, Conor & Parnell, Andrew C., 2018. "Analysing long-term interactions between demand response and different electricity markets using a stochastic market equilibrium model," Papers WP585, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    13. Chen, Yue & Wei, Wei & Liu, Feng & Wu, Qiuwei & Mei, Shengwei, 2018. "Analyzing and validating the economic efficiency of managing a cluster of energy hubs in multi-carrier energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 403-416.
    14. Bertsch, Valentin & Devine, Mel, 2019. "The Role of Demand Response in Mitigating Market Power — A Quantitative Analysis Using a Stochastic Market Equilibrium Model," Papers WP635, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    15. Mohseni, Soheil & Brent, Alan C. & Kelly, Scott & Browne, Will N., 2022. "Demand response-integrated investment and operational planning of renewable and sustainable energy systems considering forecast uncertainties: A systematic review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    16. Behboodi, Sahand & Chassin, David P. & Djilali, Ned & Crawford, Curran, 2017. "Interconnection-wide hour-ahead scheduling in the presence of intermittent renewables and demand response: A surplus maximizing approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 336-351.
    17. Arega Getaneh Abate & Rosana Riccardi & Carlos Ruiz, 2021. "Dynamic tariffs-based demand response in retail electricity market under uncertainty," Papers 2105.03405, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.

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