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Investigating Seasonal Patterns in Developing Countries: The Case of FYROM Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • Andreas Georgantopoulos

    (Department of Public Administration, Panteion University of Political and Social Sciences, Greece.)

  • Anastasios Tsamis

    (Department of Public Administration, Panteion University of Political and Social Sciences, Greece.)

Abstract

This paper uses a data set from FYROM Stock Exchange to investigate the presence of calendar effects in this recently organised equity market during the period 2002–2008. Five well known calendar effects are examined by both mean (OLS) and variance (GARCH) regressions; the day of the week effect, the January effect, the half month effect, the turn of the month effect and the time of the month effect. Results indicate that two of the tested calendar effects are present in the MSE (day of the week and January effects) and conclusions using linear and various GARCH methodologies, always converged to the same results. This survey’s evidence are in line with the majority of similar research which report that calendar effects are still present especially in developing equity markets. However, considering the low level of liquidity and maturity of this market, we would expect more effects to appear significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Andreas Georgantopoulos & Anastasios Tsamis, 2011. "Investigating Seasonal Patterns in Developing Countries: The Case of FYROM Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 1(4), pages 211-219.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2011-04-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Campbell, John Y. & Hentschel, Ludger, 1992. "No news is good news *1: An asymmetric model of changing volatility in stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 281-318, June.
    2. Hamao, Yasushi & Masulis, Ronald W & Ng, Victor, 1990. "Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(2), pages 281-307.
    3. Steeley, James M., 2001. "A note on information seasonality and the disappearance of the weekend effect in the UK stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(10), pages 1941-1956, October.
    4. Zainudin Arsad & J. Andrew Coutts, 1997. "Security price anomalies in the London International Stock Exchange: a 60 year perspective," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(5), pages 455-464.
    5. Andrew Coutts & Christos Kaplanidis & Jennifer Roberts, 2000. "Security price anomalies in an emerging market: the case of the Athens Stock Exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 561-571.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dragan Tevdovski & Martin Mihajlov & Igor Sazdovski, 2012. "The Day Of The Week Effect In South Eastern Europe Stock Markets," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3, pages 20-24, September.
    2. Filipovski, Vladimir & Tevdovski, Dragan, 2017. "Stock market efficiency in South Eastern Europe: testing return predictability and presence of calendar effects," MPRA Paper 76818, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Calendar Anomalies; mean stock returns; volatility; FYROM;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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