IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-16-00792.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal consumption and portfolio rules when the asset price is driven by a time-inhomogeneous Markov modulated fractional Brownian motion with

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamín Vallejo Jiménez

    (Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional)

  • Francisco Venegas Martínez

    (Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional)

Abstract

This paper is aimed at developing a stochastic model to study the behavior of a rational consumer that makes consumption and portfolio decisions when the asset price is driven by a time-inhomogeneous Markov modulated fractional Brownian motion combined with multiple Poisson jumps. We provide closed-form solutions. The addition of a time-inhomogeneous Markov is useful to model structural changes related to the physical trend, the instantaneous volatility and the interest rate, improving the understanding of portfolio dynamic behavior. Multiple jumps can be associated with sudden and unexpected leaps of the price itself, the sector, related markets, and the economic and business atmosphere, which provides a richer environment to the consumer's decision making problem under uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamín Vallejo Jiménez & Francisco Venegas Martínez, 2017. "Optimal consumption and portfolio rules when the asset price is driven by a time-inhomogeneous Markov modulated fractional Brownian motion with," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(1), pages 314-326.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-16-00792
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2017/Volume37/EB-17-V37-I1-P28.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jun Yu, 2014. "Optimal Asset-Liability Management for an Insurer Under Markov Regime Switching Jump-Diffusion Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(4), pages 317-330, November.
    2. Cao, Melanie, 2001. "Systematic jump risks in a small open economy: simultaneous equilibrium valuation of options on the market portfolio and the exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 191-218, April.
    3. Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 1999. "Optimal investment and consumption models with non-linear stock dynamics," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 50(2), pages 271-296, October.
    4. Xing Jin & Allen X. Zhang, 2012. "Decomposition of Optimal Portfolio Weight in a Jump-Diffusion Model and Its Applications," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(9), pages 2877-2919.
    5. U. Çakmak & S. Özekici, 2006. "Portfolio optimization in stochastic markets," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 63(1), pages 151-168, February.
    6. Merton, Robert C., 1971. "Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 373-413, December.
    7. Christian Bender & Tommi Sottinen & Esko Valkeila, 2010. "Fractional processes as models in stochastic finance," Papers 1004.3106, arXiv.org.
    8. Robert Elliott & Tak Siu, 2010. "On risk minimizing portfolios under a Markovian regime-switching Black-Scholes economy," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 271-291, April.
    9. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    10. Jumarie, Guy, 2005. "Merton's model of optimal portfolio in a Black-Scholes Market driven by a fractional Brownian motion with short-range dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 585-598, December.
    11. Weiyin Fei, 2014. "Optimal control of uncertain stochastic systems with Markovian switching and its applications to portfolio decisions," Papers 1401.2531, arXiv.org.
    12. Q. Zhang & G. Yin, 2004. "Nearly-Optimal Asset Allocation in Hybrid Stock Investment Models," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 121(2), pages 419-444, May.
    13. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A., 1976. "The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 145-166.
    14. Elliott, Robert J. & Siu, Tak Kuen & Badescu, Alex, 2010. "On mean-variance portfolio selection under a hidden Markovian regime-switching model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 678-686, May.
    15. Luz Rocío Sotomayor & Abel Cadenillas, 2009. "Explicit Solutions Of Consumption‐Investment Problems In Financial Markets With Regime Switching," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 251-279, April.
    16. Jörn Sass & Ulrich Haussmann, 2004. "Optimizing the terminal wealth under partial information: The drift process as a continuous time Markov chain," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 553-577, November.
    17. Page, Frank H. & Sanders, Anthony B., 1986. "A General Derivation of the Jump Process Option Pricing Formula," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 437-446, December.
    18. Gukhal, C.R.Chandrasekhar Reddy, 2004. "The compound option approach to American options on jump-diffusions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 2055-2074, September.
    19. Yazmín V. Soriano-Morales & Francisco Venegas-Martínez & Benjamín Vallejo-Jiménez, 2015. "Determination of the equilibrium expansion rate of money when money supply is driven by a time-homogeneous Markov modulated jump diffusion process," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2074-2084.
    20. Ball, Clifford A & Torous, Walter N, 1985. "On Jumps in Common Stock Prices and Their Impact on Call Option Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(1), pages 155-173, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Robert Cox Merton & Francisco Venegas-Martínez, 2021. "Financial Science Trends and Perspectives: A Review Article," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, Enero - M.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Robert Cox Merton & Francisco Venegas-Martínez, 2021. "Tendencias y perspectivas de la ciencia financiera: Un artículo de revisión," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, Enero - M.
    2. Robert Cox Merton & Francisco Venegas-Martínez, 2021. "Financial Science Trends and Perspectives: A Review Article," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, Enero - M.
    3. Jianmin Shi, 2023. "Dynamic asset allocation with multiple regime‐switching markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1741-1755, April.
    4. Zeng, Yan & Wu, Huiling & Lai, Yongzeng, 2013. "Optimal investment and consumption strategies with state-dependent utility functions and uncertain time-horizon," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 462-470.
    5. Jérôme Detemple, 2014. "Portfolio Selection: A Review," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Daniela Neykova & Marcos Escobar & Rudi Zagst, 2015. "Optimal investment in multidimensional Markov-modulated affine models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 503-530, November.
    7. Bernhard Nietert, 1999. "Dynamische Portfolio-Selektion unter Berücksichtigung von Kurssprüngen," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 51(9), pages 832-866, September.
    8. Adriana Ocejo, 2018. "Explicit solutions to utility maximization problems in a regime-switching market model via Laplace transforms," Papers 1804.08442, arXiv.org.
    9. Jianmin Shi, 2020. "Optimal control of multiple Markov switching stochastic system with application to portfolio decision," Papers 2010.16102, arXiv.org.
    10. Kraft, Holger & Weiss, Farina, 2023. "Pandemic portfolio choice," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(1), pages 451-462.
    11. Carpenter, Jennifer N., 1998. "The exercise and valuation of executive stock options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 127-158, May.
    12. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    13. Oleksii Mostovyi & Mihai Sîrbu, 2019. "Sensitivity analysis of the utility maximisation problem with respect to model perturbations," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 595-640, July.
    14. Maxim Bichuch & Jean-Pierre Fouque, 2019. "Optimal Investment with Correlated Stochastic Volatility Factors," Papers 1908.07626, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    15. Amit K. Sinha, 2021. "The reliability of geometric Brownian motion forecasts of S&P500 index values," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1444-1462, December.
    16. Jean-Pierre Fouque & Ruimeng Hu, 2016. "Asymptotic Optimal Strategy for Portfolio Optimization in a Slowly Varying Stochastic Environment," Papers 1603.03538, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
    17. Traian Pirvu & Huayue Zhang, 2013. "Investment and Consumption with Regime-Switching Discount Rates," Papers 1303.1248, arXiv.org.
    18. Jouini, Elyes, 2001. "Arbitrage and control problems in finance: A presentation," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 167-183, April.
    19. Chenxu Li & O. Scaillet & Yiwen Shen, 2020. "Decomposition of Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Wealth-Dependent Utilities in Incomplete Markets," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-22, Swiss Finance Institute.
    20. Silas A. Ihedioha & Ben I. Oruh & Bright O. Osu, 2017. "Effect of Correlation of Brownian Motions on an Investor,s Optimal Investment and Consumption Decision under Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Model," Academic Journal of Applied Mathematical Sciences, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 3(6), pages 52-61, 06-2017.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Markov modulated process; stochastic optimal control; rational consumer; regime switching; Poisson jumps; fractional Brownian motion.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-16-00792. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.