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Debt Sustainability in India: Empirical Evidence Estimating Time-Varying Parameters

Author

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  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari

    () (ICFAI University Tripura)

Abstract

We employed Fincke and Greiner's (2011, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics) approach for testing sustainability of public debt in the case of India. Their approach was based on the framework of Bohn (1998) who showed how the primary surplus reacts to variations in debt and which has received great attention in economics literature recently. In this contribution, we applied that test to the India for the period 1970-2009, where we allowed for a time-varying reaction coefficient. We did not find the clear-cut result on the sustainability of public debt for the India during study period.

Suggested Citation

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2012. "Debt Sustainability in India: Empirical Evidence Estimating Time-Varying Parameters," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1133-1141.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00871
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2012/Volume32/EB-12-V32-I2-P107.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ruppert,David & Wand,M. P. & Carroll,R. J., 2003. "Semiparametric Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521785167.
    2. Gabriella Legrenzi & Costas Milas, 2011. "Debt Sustainability and Financial Crises: Evidence from the GIIPS," Working Paper series 42_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    3. Joakim Westerlund & Silika Prohl, 2010. "Panel cointegration tests of the sustainability hypothesis in rich OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(11), pages 1355-1364.
    4. Gael M. Martin, 2000. "US deficit sustainability: a new approach based on multiple endogenous breaks," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 83-105.
    5. Alfred Greiner & Uwe Köller & Willi Semmler, 2007. "Debt sustainability in the European Monetary Union: Theory and empirical evidence for selected countries," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 59(2), pages 194-218, April.
    6. Ruppert,David & Wand,M. P. & Carroll,R. J., 2003. "Semiparametric Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521780506.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Süleyman Bolat & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mihai Mutascu, 2014. "The behaviour of US and UK public debt: further evidence based on time varying parameters," Working Papers halshs-01107962, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt Sustainability; India; Time-Varying Parameters;

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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