Decomposing Violence: Crime Cycles In The Twentieth Century In The United States
I apply the Beveridge-Nelson business cycle decomposition method to the time series of murder in the United States (1900-2004). Separating out “permanent” from “cyclical” murder, I hypothesize that the cyclical part coincides with documented waves of organized crime, internal tensions, breakdowns in social order, crime legislation, alternation in power, social, and political unrest overseas as wars, and recently with the periodic terrorist attacks in the country.
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Volume (Year): 7 (2007)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
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- John Y. Campbell & Pierre Perron, 1991.
"Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots,"
NBER Chapters,in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, pages 141-220
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- Gomez-Sorzano, Gustavo, 2006. "Decomposing violence: terrorist murder in the twentieth century in the U.S," MPRA Paper 1145, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Nov 2006.
- Miller, Stephen M., 1988. "The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition of economic time series : Another economical computational method," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 141-142, January.
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