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The Economic Effects On Nafta Of Trans-Atlantic Free Trade Agreements

  • Sadequl ISLAM

This paper investigates the effects of a bilateral free trade agreement between Canada and the European Union and the effects of a free trade agreement between the European Union and NAFTA on various trade related variables in NAFTA countries, the European Union , and other countries. The paper primarily relies on the Global Trade Analysis Project(GTAP) model and database, version 7. Two policy experiments are considered : 1) Elimination of all tariffs and export subsidies for all goods and services involving Canada and the European Union; and 2) Elimination of all tariffs and export subsidies for all goods and services involving NAFTA countries and the European Union. The main findings are : 1) A Canada-EU free trade deal will increase the economic welfare in Canada and the European Union with adverse effects on other regions, notably the United States and 2) a NAFTA-EU free trade agreement will increase the economic welfare of the United States and the European Union but reduce that of Canada, Mexico and other regions notably, China.

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Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

Volume (Year): 11 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:11:y:2011:i:1_7
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  1. Nathan S. Balke & Robert J. Gordon, 1986. "The Estimation of Prewar GNP Volatility, 1869-1938," NBER Working Papers 1999, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Fabienne Femenia & Alexandre Gohin, 2009. "On the European responsibility in the agricultural multilateral trade negotiations: modelling the impacts of the Common Agricultural Policy," Working Papers 38639, Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, France.
  3. John Whalley, 1996. "Why Do Countries Seek Regional Trade Agreements?," NBER Working Papers 5552, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Ibarra-Yunez, Alejandro, 2003. "Spaghetti regionalism or strategic foreign trade: some evidence for Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 567-584, December.
  5. Jayant Menon, 2009. "Dealing with the Proliferation of Bilateral Free Trade Agreements," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(10), pages 1381-1407, October.
  6. Thomas L. Vollrath & Mark J. Gehlhar & Charles B. Hallahan, 2009. "Bilateral Import Protection, Free Trade Agreements, and Other Factors Influencing Trade Flows in Agriculture and Clothing," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 298-317.
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