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Does Financial Development 'Lead' Economic Growth? The Case of China

Author

Listed:
  • Jordan Shan

    (Guanghua School of Management, Peking University)

  • Jianhong Qi

    (School of Economics, Shandong University)

Abstract

Using a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach, we examine the impact of financial development on economic growth in China. Innovation accounting (variance decomposition and impulse response function) analysis is applied to examine interrelationships between variables in the VAR system and, therefore, differs from the more usual approach. We find that financial development comes as the second force (after the contribution from labor input) in leading economic growth in China. This study has supported the view in the literature that financial development and economic growth exhibit a two-way causality and hence is against the so-called ¡°finance-led growth¡± hypothesis. The study of this kind in the case of China is limited; it therefore provides an interesting advance in the literature on the finance-growth nexus.

Suggested Citation

  • Jordan Shan & Jianhong Qi, 2006. "Does Financial Development 'Lead' Economic Growth? The Case of China," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 7(1), pages 197-216, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2006:v:7:i:1:p:197-216
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Shahbaz & Ijaz Ur Rehman & Ahmed Taneem Muzaffar, 2015. "Re-Visiting Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus: The Role of Capitalization in Bangladesh," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 452-471, September.
    2. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Abosedra, Salah & Sbia, Rashid, 2013. "Energy Consumption, Financial Development and Growth: Evidence from Cointegration with unknown Structural breaks in Lebanon," MPRA Paper 46580, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Wolde-Rufael, Yemane, 2009. "Energy consumption and economic growth: The experience of African countries revisited," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 217-224.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Khan, Saleheen & Tahir, Mohammad Iqbal, 2013. "The dynamic links between energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade in China: Fresh evidence from multivariate framework analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 8-21.
    5. Wang, Chan, 2012. "A very preliminary survey on growth and development," MPRA Paper 39037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Phouphet Kyophilavong & Gazi Salah Uddin & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2016. "The Nexus between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Lao PDR," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 17(2), pages 303-317, April.
    7. Samargandi, Nahla & Fidrmuc, Jan & Ghosh, Sugata, 2014. "Financial development and economic growth in an oil-rich economy: The case of Saudi Arabia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 267-278.
    8. repec:bpj:glecon:v:17:y:2017:i:3:p:10:n:7 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:eco:journ1:2017-05-48 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Henryk Gurgul & £ukasz Lach, 2012. "Financial Development and Economic Growth in Poland in Transition: Causality Analysis," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(4), pages 347-367, August.
    11. Leyla Yusifzada & Aytan Mammadova, 2015. "Financial intermediation and economic growth," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1091, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    12. Muyambiri, Brian & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2017. "The causal relationship between financial development and investment in Botswana," Working Papers 22607, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    13. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-485 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Ahad, Muhammad & Dar, Adeel Ahmad & Imran, Muhammad, 2017. "Does Financial Development Promote Industrial Production in Pakistan? Evidence from Combine Cointegration and Causality Approach," MPRA Paper 76458, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Stephen Oluwafemi Adeusi & Olufemi Adewale Aluko, 2015. "Relevance of Financial Sector Development on Real Sector Productivity: 21st Century Evidence from Nigerian Industrial Sector," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 5(6), pages 118-132, June.
    16. repec:sos:sosjrn:170302 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Phouphet KYOPHILAVONG & Gazi Salah Uddin & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2014. "The Nexus Between Financial Development and Economic Growth in Laos," Working Papers 2014-447, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    18. repec:sos:sosjrn:170301 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. di Mauro, Filippo & Dées, Stéphane & Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Jančoková, Martina, 2014. "Linking distress of financial institutions to macrofinancial shocks," Working Paper Series 1749, European Central Bank.
    20. Muyambiri Brian & Odhiambo Nicholas, 2017. "Financial Development, Savings and Investment in South Africa: A Dynamic Causality Test," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(3), pages 1-10, September.
    21. Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh & Stauvermann, Peter Josef & Loganathan, Nanthakumar & Kumar, Radika Devi, 2015. "Exploring the role of energy, trade and financial development in explaining economic growth in South Africa: A revisit," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1300-1311.
    22. Polat, Ali & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ur Rehman, Ijaz & Satti, Saqlain Latif, 2013. "Revisiting Linkages between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in South Africa: Fresh Evidence from Combined Cointegration Test," MPRA Paper 51724, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 25 Nov 2013.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Development; Economic Growth; VAR;

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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