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Comportamiento de los precios del ganado hembra de levante de primera clase en Montería y Sincelejo (Colombia)



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    Este artículo de investigación tiene como objetivo describir el comportamiento temporal de losprecios del ganado hembra vivo de levante de primera calidad en las ciudades de Montería y Sincelejo,comercializado en las subastas. Para ello se acude al análisis de los precios durante el periodo1997-2008 utilizando técnicas estadísticas y económetricas como la media móvil multiplicativa, latasa de crecimiento sobre medias anuales y modelos generalizados auto- regresivos condicionalesheterocedásticos, GARCH. Los resultados indican la presencia de estacionalidad y ciclos en losprecios mensuales; en los precios semanales hay evidencias de volatilidad, lo cual genera riesgospara la inversión ganadera en el largo plazo y torna impredecibles su evolución

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    Volume (Year): (2008)
    Issue (Month): (December)

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    Handle: RePEc:col:000180:010426
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    1. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July.
    2. Yair Mundlak & He Huang, 1996. "International Comparisons of Cattle Cycles," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(4), pages 855-868.
    3. Satheesh V. Aradhyula & Matthew T. Holt, 1988. "GARCH Time Series Models: An Application to Retail Livestock Prices," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 88-wp29, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    4. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    5. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
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