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The Macroeconomics Of Remittances In The Philippines

  • VERONICA BAYANGOS

    ()

  • KAREL JANSEN

    ()

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    This article first explores the cyclical dynamics ofremittances, and then, analyzes the macroeconomicimpact of remittances and the monetary policy implications.In this endeavor, we use the case of thePhilippines, one of the countries where remittancesare substantial. A dynamic structural quarterlymacroeconometric model of the Philippines is usedto trace the various channels through which remittancesaffect the main macroeconomic variables.In the assessment of the impact of the 2008 globalfinancial crisis, we should also consider the remittancesas a transmission channel. We haveestablished that remittances are driven by the economiccycle of the main host countries and thatthe ongoing recession will thus lead to a decline intransfers. Through our model, we have been ableto trace the impact of changes in remittances onimportant economic variables such as aggregatedemand, money supply and interest rates, the exchangerate, and labor supply and wages.

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    File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/sites/default/files/publicaciones/archivos/espe_061-1.pdf
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    Article provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE in its journal ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA.

    Volume (Year): 28 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 61 (August)
    Pages: 18-58

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    Handle: RePEc:col:000107:008319
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    1. Buch, Claudia M. & Kuckulenz, Anja & Le Manchec, Marie-Helene, 2002. "Worker Remittances and Capital Flows," Kiel Working Papers 1130, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    2. Laurence Ball, 1998. "Policy Rules for Open Economies," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9806, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Rand, John & Tarp, Finn, 2002. "Business Cycles in Developing Countries: Are They Different?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2071-2088, December.
    4. Vargas-Silva, Carlos, 2008. "Are remittances manna from heaven? A look at the business cycle properties of remittances," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 290-303, December.
    5. Dean Yang, 2008. "International Migration, Remittances and Household Investment: Evidence from Philippine Migrants' Exchange Rate Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(528), pages 591-630, 04.
    6. HwaJung Choi, 2007. "Are Remittances Insurance? Evidence from Rainfall Shocks in the Philippines," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 21(2), pages 219-248, May.
    7. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
    8. Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina & Pozo, Susan, 2004. "Workers' Remittances and the Real Exchange Rate: A Paradox of Gifts," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 1407-1417, August.
    9. Dillon Alleyne * & Claremont D. Kirton & Mark Figueroa, 2008. "Macroeconomic determinants of migrant remittances to Caribbean countries: panel unit roots and cointegration," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 42(1), pages 137-153, January-M.
    10. Leitner, Sandra M., 2005. "The Business Cycle in the Philippines," Discussion Papers DP 2005-10, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    11. Socorro Gochoco-Bautista, Maria, 2000. "Periods of Currency Pressure: Stylized Facts and Leading Indicators," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 125-158, January.
    12. Samir Jahjah & Ralph Chami & Connel Fullenkamp, 2003. "Are Immigrant Remittance Flows a Source of Capital for Development?," IMF Working Papers 03/189, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro, 1987. "Monopolistic Competition and the Effects of Aggregate Demand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(4), pages 647-66, September.
    14. Yap, Josef T., 1996. "Inflation and Economic Growth in the Philippines," Discussion Papers DP 1996-11, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
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