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Un modelo de cointegración estacional de la producción industrial, Colombia 1993-2005

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  • Álvaro Chaves Castro.

    ()

Abstract

En este artículo se explora la relación de equilibrio de largo plazo entre producción industrial e importación de bienes de capital y de materias primas en Colombia entre enero de 1993 y abril de 2005. Esta relación se determina mediante un modelo de cointegración estacional; con el modelo resultante se hacen ejercicios de impulso respuesta para simular la trayectoria de las variables cuando son afectadas por choques exógenos.

Suggested Citation

  • Álvaro Chaves Castro., 2005. "Un modelo de cointegración estacional de la producción industrial, Colombia 1993-2005," REVISTA CUADERNOS DE ECONOMÍA, UN - RCE - CID, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:005830
    as

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    File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/media/files/documentos/Cuadernos/43/v24n43_chaves_2005.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    2. Martha Misas & Enrique López, 2000. "La Utilización De La Capacidad Instalada De La Industria En Colombia: Un Nuevo Enfoque," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 18(38), pages 5-44, December.
    3. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
    4. Joseph Beaulieu, J. & Miron, Jeffrey A., 1993. "Seasonal unit roots in aggregate U.S. data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 305-328.
    5. Martha Misas & Rodrigo Suescún, 1993. "Funciones de demanda de dinero y el comportamiento estacional del mercado monetario," Revista ESPE - ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE, vol. 12(23), pages 55-79, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegración estacional; raíz estacional; industria.;

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General

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