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Determinantes de la demanda por turismo hacia Cartagena, 1987-1998

  • Luis Armando Galvis
  • Maria Modesta Aguilera

El presente documento se propone estudiar los factores que determinan la demanda de turismo nacional e internacional hacia la ciudad de Cartagena. Se evalúa el papel de la tasa de cambio real, utilizada como proxy de los precios relativos, y la capacidad de gasto nacional y extranjera, medida por el producto interno bruto (PIB), como determinantes de la demanda turística. A partir de un modelo de cointegración estacional se concluye que la demanda de turismo es elástica al ingreso. También se encuentra que la demanda extranjera presenta una alta elasticidad precio, con lo cual la revaluación y los aumentos en los precios domésticos motivan una reducción en el gasto

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Article provided by Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía in its journal LECTURAS DE ECONOMÍA.

Volume (Year): (1999)
Issue (Month): 51 (Julio Diciembre)
Pages: 47-87

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Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:1999:i:51:p:47-87
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  1. Martha Misas & Rodrigo Suescún, 1993. "Funciones de demanda de dinero y el comportamiento estacional del mercado monetario," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE.
  2. Osborn, Denise R., 1993. "Seasonal cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1-2), pages 299-303.
  3. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March.
  4. Engle, Robert F. & Yoo, Byung Sam, 1987. "Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 143-159, May.
  5. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
  6. Michael Vogt & Chutima Wittayakorn, 1998. "Determinants of the demand for Thailand's exports of tourism," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 711-715.
  7. Diamond, J, 1977. " Tourism's Role in Economic Development: The Case Reexamined," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 25(3), pages 539-53, April.
  8. Yash P. Mehra, 1991. "An error-correction model of U.S. M2 demand," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue May, pages 3-12.
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