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Determinants of the demand for Thailand's exports of tourism

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  • Michael Vogt
  • Chutima Wittayakorn

Abstract

We investigate the effects of world income and the relative price of tourism in Thailand on Thailand's exports of tourism. In contrast to previous studies, we test for stationarity and cointegration of the variables of the model. We find that the variables are not stationary in level form, but they are cointegrated. Our estimate of the relative price elasticity of demand for Thailand's exports of tourism is - 1.199 in the short run and - 0.891 in the long run. The corresponding estimates for the income elasticity of demand are 1.926 and 2.342 respectively. However, only the short-run price elasticity of demand is significantly different from zero.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Vogt & Chutima Wittayakorn, 1998. "Determinants of the demand for Thailand's exports of tourism," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 711-715.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:711-715
    DOI: 10.1080/000368498325417
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:wyi:journl:002105 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Pulina, M. & O'Brien, R.J., 2002. "Monthly, annual and quarterly frequencies: a comparison of models for tourism in Sardinia and bounded rationality," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 206, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    3. repec:ers:journl:v:xx:y:2017:i:4a:p:707-729 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Luis Armando Galvis & Maria Modesta Aguilera, 1999. "Determinantes de la demanda por turismo hacia Cartagena, 1987-1998," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 51, pages 47-87, Julio Dic.
    5. repec:ers:journl:v:xx:y:2017:i:3b:p:679-693 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Ramesh Durbarry, 2008. "Tourism Taxes: Implications for Tourism Demand in the UK," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(1), pages 21-36, February.
    7. repec:wyi:journl:002126 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Kazutaka Kurasawa, 2016. "Chinese Economic Growth and Visitors to Japan: A Bivariate Cointegration Analysis," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(4), pages 168-179, December.
    9. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alaña, 2010. "Tourism in South Africa. Time series persistence and the nature of shocks. Are they transitory or permament?," NCID Working Papers 06/2011, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.
    10. Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting, 2009. "Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 531-549, July.
    11. Juncal Cuñado & Alberiko Gil-Alana, Luis & Perez De Gracia, Fernando, 2011. "Modelling International Monthly Tourist in Spain/Modelización de llegadas mensuales de turistas a España," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 29, pages 723-736, Diciembre.
    12. Ferda Halicioglu, 2005. "An Ardl Model Of Aggregate Tourism Demand For Turkey," International Trade 0503005, EconWPA.
    13. repec:wyi:journl:002100 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Allison Zhou & Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes, 2007. "Modeling the supply and demand for tourism: a fully identified VECM approach," Working Papers 200717, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

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