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The Determinants of Tourism Demand in Turkey

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  • Musallam Abedtalas

Abstract

Using data of the inbound tourist arrivals to Turkey from France, Germany, UK, US, and Netherlands over the period 1986-2012, we applied autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to test for cointegration, and we estimated long run model and error correction model for tourism demand. The results referred that the most significant factor determines inbound tourist flows are the real per capita income and real effective exchange. We found weak effects for price and financial crisis, but the political events played a strong role differed from country to other. The added value of this article is the estimation of international tourism demand in Turkey using new approach and the newest data for Turkey

Suggested Citation

  • Musallam Abedtalas, 2015. "The Determinants of Tourism Demand in Turkey," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(4), pages 90-105.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:7:y:2015:i:4:p:90-105
    DOI: 10.22610/jebs.v7i4(J).597
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Emmanuel Ziramba, 2013. "Aggregate Outbound Tourism Demand in South Africa: an Econometric Analysis," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(5), pages 260-267.
    4. Koon Nam Lee, 2011. "Forecasting long-haul tourism demand for Hong Kong using error correction models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(5), pages 527-549.
    5. Prasert Chaitip & Chukiat Chaiboonsri, 2009. "Thailand’s International Tourism Demand: The ARDL Approach to Cointegration," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, vol. 9(3), pages 163-184.
    6. Michael Vogt & Chutima Wittayakorn, 1998. "Determinants of the demand for Thailand's exports of tourism," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 711-715.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Giovanni De Luca & Monica Rosciano, 2020. "Quantile Dependence in Tourism Demand Time Series: Evidence in the Southern Italy Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, April.

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