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Equilibres et effondrement dans le cadre d'un cycle naturel

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  • Marc Germain

Abstract

RESUME :Le but de cet article est d'étudier comment la naissance et la croissance d'une économie estsusceptible d'affecter le fonctionnement de son environnement modélisé sous la forme d'uncycle naturel. Afin de mettre en évidence les facteurs qui stabilisent le système formé par lecycle naturel et l'économie et ceux qui au contraire sont susceptibles de le déstabiliser et de leconduire à l'effondrement, différents cas de figure sont envisagés selon la nature (i) des coûtsmarginaux d'extraction d'une ressource renouvelable faisant partie du cycle et (ii) des impactsde la pollution sur l'environnement.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Germain, 2012. "Equilibres et effondrement dans le cadre d'un cycle naturel," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 55(4), pages 427-455.
    • Handle: RePEc:bxr:bxrceb:2013/156286
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brander, James A & Taylor, M Scott, 1998. "The Simple Economics of Easter Island: A Ricardo-Malthus Model of Renewable Resource Use," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(1), pages 119-138, March.
    2. David Croix & Davide Dottori, 2008. "Easter Island’s collapse: a tale of a population race," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 27-55, March.
    3. Fagnart, Jean-François & Germain, Marc, 2011. "Quantitative versus qualitative growth with recyclable resource," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(5), pages 929-941, March.
    4. Krysiak, Frank C. & Krysiak, Daniela, 2003. "Production, consumption, and general equilibrium with physical constraints," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 513-538, November.
    5. M. Scott Taylor, 2009. "Innis Lecture: Environmental crises: past, present, and future," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 42(4), pages 1240-1275, November.
    6. Marc Germain, 1991. "Le principe de conservation de la matière dans le cadre du modèle d'Harrod-Domar," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 42(5), pages 833-850.
    7. Krysiak, Frank C., 2006. "Entropy, limits to growth, and the prospects for weak sustainability," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 182-191, June.
    8. Jon D. Erickson & John M. Gowdy, 2000. "Resource Use, Institutions, and Sustainability: A Tale of Two Pacific Island Cultures," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 76(3), pages 345-354.
    9. Akao, Ken-Ichi & Managi, Shunsuke, 2007. "Feasibility and optimality of sustainable growth under materials balance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 3778-3790, December.
    10. Nagase, Yoko & Uehara, Takuro, 2011. "Evolution of population-resource dynamics models," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 9-17.
    11. Anderies, John M., 2003. "Economic development, demographics, and renewable resources: a dynamical systems approach," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(2), pages 219-246, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jean-François Fagnart & Marc Germain & Benjamin Peeters, 2020. "Can the Energy Transition Be Smooth? A General Equilibrium Approach to the EROEI," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-29, February.
    2. Fagnart, Jean-François & Germain, Marc, 2015. "Energy, complexity and sustainable long-term growth," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 87-93.
    3. Marc Germain, 2016. "Un modèle de décroissance optimale," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2016008, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    4. Germain, Marc, 2020. "Limits to growth and structural change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 204-221.
    5. Marc Germain, 2022. "Limits to green growth [Des limites à la croissance verte]," Working Papers hal-03913177, HAL.
    6. Germain, Marc, 2017. "Optimal Versus Sustainable Degrowth Policies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 266-281.
    7. Marc Germain, 2020. "Limits to growth and structural change," Post-Print hal-03129992, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    limits to growth; matter conservation; natural cycle; collapse;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • Q00 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - General
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

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