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Investment under Trade Policy Uncertainty: an Empirical Investigation

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  • Sasatra Sudsawasd
  • Robert E. Moore

Abstract

The link between trade policy uncertainty and the share of investment in GDP per capita is investigated using panel data drawn from over a hundred countries for the period 1960–2000. Five indicators of trade policy are used. Two specifications of volatility for each of the trade policy indicators are constructed as measures of trade policy uncertainty. Panel regression results suggest a robust correlation between the volatility of trade policy indicators and the investment share. A significant negative impact of trade policy volatility on the investment share is found in most trade policy indicators with an exception—the volatility of the trade share indicator more closely associated with volatility in quantity than in prices has a significant positive impact on the investment share.

Suggested Citation

  • Sasatra Sudsawasd & Robert E. Moore, 2006. "Investment under Trade Policy Uncertainty: an Empirical Investigation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 316-329, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:14:y:2006:i:2:p:316-329
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2006.00578.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sudsawasd, Sasatra, 2010. "An empirical assessment of the relationship between competition policy and investment," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 466-475, October.
    2. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Duration of membership in the world trade organization and investment-oriented remittances inflows," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 258-277.
    3. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2022. "Duration of WTO Membership and Investment-Oriented Remittances Flows," EconStor Preprints 251274, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    4. Wang, Hui & Shen, Huayu & Tang, Xiaoyi & Wu, Zuofeng & Ma, Shuming, 2021. "Trade policy uncertainty and firm risk taking," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 351-364.
    5. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2020. "Tariff Volatility and Tariff Policy in Developed and Developing Countries," EconStor Preprints 223302, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2021. "WTO membership, the membership duration and the utilization of non-reciprocal trade preferences offered by the QUAD Countries," EconStor Preprints 247265, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    7. Kexuan Zhou & Linhui Yu & Xinlin Jiang & Sanjay Kumar, 2023. "The impact of regional trade policy uncertainty on the productivity of Chinese export enterprises: The case of China–ASEAN Free Trade Area," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 218-240, May.
    8. Zhou, Kexuan & Kumar, Sanjay & Yu, Linhui & Jiang, Xinlin, 2021. "The economic policy uncertainty and the choice of entry mode of outward foreign direct investment: Cross-border M&A or Greenfield Investment," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Li, Mengzhe & Lin, Qianru & Lan, Fei & Zhan, Zhimin & He, Zhongshi, 2023. "Trade policy uncertainty and financial investment: Evidence from Chinese energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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