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Another Look at Tenure Choice, Inflation, and Taxes

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  • James R. Follain
  • David C. Ling

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to explore the impact of inflation on the demand for housing. The first part of the paper presents a theoretical model that identifies the effects of inflation on the after‐tax cost of housing and the choice between rental and owner‐occupied housing. The second part discusses the results of a simulation model that measures the effect of inflation on the aggregate demand for housing, the aggregate homeownership rate, and the price of housing. The paper concludes that while inflation can be expected to increase the aggregate demand for housing and the price of housing relative to the general price level, inflation should ultimately lead to lower rates of homeownership. A corollary that is probably more relevant today is that lower inflation rates should reduce the real value of the housing stock and increase the homeownership rate. The paper also contains forecasts of the impact of the Tax Reform Act (TRA) of 1986 upon housing demand and the probability of homeownership for a variety of households.

Suggested Citation

  • James R. Follain & David C. Ling, 1988. "Another Look at Tenure Choice, Inflation, and Taxes," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 16(3), pages 207-229, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:16:y:1988:i:3:p:207-229
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00455
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roger H. Gordon & James R. Hines, Jr. & Lawrence H. Summers, 1987. "Notes on the Tax Treatment of Structures," NBER Chapters, in: The Effects of Taxation on Capital Accumulation, pages 223-258, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Patric H. Hendershott, 1987. "Tax Reform and the Slope of the Playing Field," NBER Chapters, in: Taxes and Capital Formation, pages 51-62, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Winston T.H. Koh & Edward H.K. Ng, 2004. "Investing in Real Estate: Mortgage Financing Practices and Optimal Holding Period," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 7(1), pages 71-97.
    2. Andrew Narwold, 2004. "Ownership of Residential Rental Property in Regional Housing Markets," ERSA conference papers ersa04p494, European Regional Science Association.
    3. Isaac F. Megbolugbe & Peter D. Linneman, 1993. "Home Ownership," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(4-5), pages 659-682, May.
    4. Andrejs Skaburskis, 1996. "Race and Tenure in Toronto," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 33(2), pages 223-252, March.
    5. Follain, James R. & Ling, David C., 1991. "The Federal Tax Subsidy to Housing and the Reduced Value of the Mortgage Interest Deduction," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association, vol. 44(2), pages 147-68, June.
    6. Follain, James R. & Ling, David C., 1991. "The Federal Tax Subsidy to Housing and the Reduced Value of the Mortgage Interest Deduction," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 44(2), pages 147-168, June.
    7. Malmendier, Ulrike M. & Steiny Wellsjo, Alex, 2020. "Rent or Buy? The Role of Lifetime Experiences on Homeownership within and across Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers 14935, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Dixie M. Blackley & James R. Follain, 1995. "In Search of Empirical Evidence that Links Rent and User Cost," NBER Working Papers 5177, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Blackley, Dixie M. & Follain, James R., 1996. "In search of empirical evidence that links rent and user cost," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3-4), pages 409-431, June.
    10. Forgionne, G. A., 1996. "Forecasting army housing supply with a DSS-delivered econometric model," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 561-576, October.
    11. Goeyvaerts, Geert & Buyst, Erik, 2019. "Do market rents reflect user costs?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 112-130.
    12. Wood, Gavin A., 2001. "Are There Tax Arbitrage Opportunities in Private Rental Housing Markets?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, March.
    13. Arrondel, Luc & Lefebvre, Bruno, 2001. "Consumption and Investment Motives in Housing Wealth Accumulation: A French Study," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 112-137, July.
    14. Gavin Wood & Rachel Ong & Melek Cigdem, 2016. "Housing Tax Reform: Is There a Way Forward?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 35(4), pages 332-346, December.
    15. Marion Steele, 1993. "Conversions, Condominiums and Capital Gains: The Transformation of the Ontario Rental Housing Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(1), pages 103-126, February.
    16. Judith Yates, 2000. "Is Australia's Home-ownership Rate Really Stable? An Examination of Change between 1975 and 1994," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(2), pages 319-342, February.
    17. Raymond Y. C. Tse & Bryan D. MacGregor, 1999. "Housing Vacancy and Rental Adjustment: Evidence from Hong Kong," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(10), pages 1769-1782, September.

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