Debating about the Discount Rate:The Basic Economic Ingredients
In this paper, we describe the determinants of the socially efficient discount rate for the distant future. We provide various arguments in favour of a decreasing term structure. They are based on a precautionary argument given the rapid accumulation oif uncertainties affecting the future growth of our economies. We recommend a real discount rate of 2% for time horizons exceeding 50 years. A risk premium should be added to this rate if the project yields cash flows that are positively correlated with the growth of the economy. Copyright 2010 die Autoren Journal compilation 2010, Verein für Socialpolitik und Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
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Volume (Year): 11 (2010)
Issue (Month): s1 (05)
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