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A simple nearly unbiased estimator of cross‐covariances

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  • Yifan Li
  • Yao Rao

Abstract

In this article, we propose a simple estimator of cross‐covariance matrices for a multi‐variate time series with an unknown mean based on a linear combination of the circular sample cross‐covariance estimator. Our estimator is exactly unbiased when the data generating process follows a vector moving average (VMA) model with an order less than one half of the sampling period, and is nearly unbiased if such VMA model can approximate the data generating process well. In addition, our estimator is shown to be asymptotically equivalent to the conventional sample cross‐covariance estimator. Via simulation, we show that the proposed estimator can to a large extent eliminate the finite sample bias of cross‐covariance estimates, while not necessarily increase the mean squared error.

Suggested Citation

  • Yifan Li & Yao Rao, 2021. "A simple nearly unbiased estimator of cross‐covariances," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(2), pages 240-266, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:42:y:2021:i:2:p:240-266
    DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12565
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Timothy J. Vogelsang & Jingjing Yang, 2016. "Exactly/Nearly Unbiased Estimation of Autocovariances of a Univariate Time Series With Unknown Mean," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 723-740, November.
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    4. Okui, Ryo, 2011. "Asymptotically unbiased estimation of autocovariances and autocorrelations for panel data with incidental trends," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 49-52, July.
    5. Whitney Newey & Kenneth West, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    6. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
    7. Esam Mahdi & A. Ian McLeod, 2012. "Improved multivariate portmanteau test," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 211-222, March.
    8. Li, Yifan, 2020. "Nearly unbiased estimation of sample skewness," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    9. Okui, Ryo, 2010. "Asymptotically Unbiased Estimation Of Autocovariances And Autocorrelations With Long Panel Data," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(5), pages 1263-1304, October.
    10. Yang, Jingjing & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2018. "Finite sample performance of a long run variance estimator based on exactly (almost) unbiased autocovariance estimators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 21-27.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Jingjing & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2025. "A bias reduced long run variance estimator with a new first-order kernel," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).

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