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On geometric ergodicity of CHARME models

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  • Jean‐Pierre Stockis
  • Jürgen Franke
  • Joseph Tadjuidje Kamgaing

Abstract

In this article we consider a CHARME model, a class of generalized mixture of nonlinear nonparametric AR‐ARCH time series. To provide sets of conditions under which such processes are geometrically ergodic and, therefore, satisfy some mixing conditions, we apply the theory of Markov chains to derive asymptotic stability of this model. These results form the basis for deriving an asymptotic theory for nonparametric estimation. As an illustration, neural network sieve estimates for the autoregressive and volatility functions are considered, and consistency of the parameter estimates is obtained.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean‐Pierre Stockis & Jürgen Franke & Joseph Tadjuidje Kamgaing, 2010. "On geometric ergodicity of CHARME models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 141-152, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:31:y:2010:i:3:p:141-152
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2010.00651.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bhattacharya, Rabi & Lee, Chanho, 1995. "On geometric ergodicity of nonlinear autoregressive models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 311-315, March.
    2. Stockis, Jean-Pierre & Tadjuidje-Kamgaing, Joseph & Franke, Jürgen, 2008. "A note on the identifiability of the conditional expectation for the mixtures of neural networks," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(6), pages 739-742, April.
    3. Franke, Jurgen & Neumann, Michael H. & Stockis, Jean-Pierre, 2004. "Bootstrapping nonparametric estimators of the volatility function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 189-218.
    4. Masry, Elias & Tjøstheim, Dag, 1995. "Nonparametric Estimation and Identification of Nonlinear ARCH Time Series Strong Convergence and Asymptotic Normality: Strong Convergence and Asymptotic Normality," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 258-289, February.
    5. Christian Francq & Michel Roussignol & Jean‐Michel Zakoian, 2001. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity Driven by Hidden Markov Chains," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 197-220, March.
    6. Jean Diebolt & Dominique Guegan, 1993. "Tail Behaviour of the Stationary Density of General Non-Linear Autoregressive Processes of Order One," Post-Print halshs-00199526, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rydlewski, Jerzy P. & Snarska, Małgorzata, 2014. "On geometric ergodicity of skewed—SVCHARME models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 192-197.
    2. Mark Fiecas & Jürgen Franke & Rainer von Sachs & Joseph Tadjuidje Kamgaing, 2017. "Shrinkage Estimation for Multivariate Hidden Markov Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(517), pages 424-435, January.
    3. Arash Nademi & Rahman Farnoosh, 2014. "Mixtures of autoregressive-autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic models: semi-parametric approach," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 275-293, February.
    4. Daniel Kosiorowski, 2015. "Two procedures for robust monitoring of probability distributions of economic data stream induced by depth functions," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 25(1), pages 55-79.
    5. J. Franke & J.-P. Stockis & J. Tadjuidje-Kamgaing & W. Li, 2011. "Mixtures of nonparametric autoregressions," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 287-303.
    6. José G. Gómez-García & Jalal Fadili & Christophe Chesneau, 2024. "Learning CHARME models with neural networks," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1337-1374, May.
    7. Jentsch, Carsten & Subba Rao, Suhasini, 2015. "A test for second order stationarity of a multivariate time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 124-161.
    8. Kejin Wu & Dimitris N. Politis, 2024. "Bootstrap prediction inference of nonlinear autoregressive models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(5), pages 800-822, September.

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