IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jorssa/v171y2008i3p699-722.html

Exploration of associations between governance and economics and country level foot‐and‐mouth disease status by using Bayesian model averaging

Author

Listed:
  • R. B. Garabed
  • W. O. Johnson
  • J. Gill
  • A. M. Perez
  • M. C. Thurmond

Abstract

Summary. Using Bayesian model averaging, we quantify associations of governance and economic health with country level presence of foot‐and‐mouth disease (FMD) and estimate the probability of the presence of FMD in each country from 1997 to 2005. The Bayesian model averaging accounted for countries’ previous FMD status and other possible confounders, as well as uncertainty about the ‘true’ model, and provided accurate predictions (90% specificity and 80% sensitivity). This model represents a novel approach to predicting FMD, and other conditions, on a global scale and in identifying important risk factors that can be applied to global policy and allocation of resources for disease control.

Suggested Citation

  • R. B. Garabed & W. O. Johnson & J. Gill & A. M. Perez & M. C. Thurmond, 2008. "Exploration of associations between governance and economics and country level foot‐and‐mouth disease status by using Bayesian model averaging," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(3), pages 699-722, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:171:y:2008:i:3:p:699-722
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2008.00534.x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2008.00534.x
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2008.00534.x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kaufmann, Daniel & Kraay, Aart & Mastruzzi, Massimo, 2005. "Governance matters IV : governance indicators for 1996-2004," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3630, The World Bank.
    2. Kuklinski, James H. & Stanga, John E., 1979. "Political Participation and Government Responsiveness: The Behavior of California Superior Courts," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 73(4), pages 1090-1099, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Martie Gillen & Hongwei Yang & Hyungsoo Kim, 2020. "Health Literacy and Difference in Current Wealth Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 281-299, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gugler, Klaus & Peev, Evgeni & Segalla, Esther, 2013. "The internal workings of internal capital markets: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 59-73.
    2. Carmen Pagés-Serra & Reyes Aterido & Mary Hallward-Driemeier, 2007. "Clima de negocios y creación de empleo: El efecto del acceso al crédito, la corrupción y el marco regulatorio en el crecimiento de las empresas," Research Department Publications 4560, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    3. Jeffrey B. Nugent & Grigor. Sukiassyan, 2009. "Alternative Strategies For Firms In Oppressive And Corrupt States: Informality Or Formality Via Business Associations?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 27(4), pages 423-439, October.
    4. Djeneba Doumbia, 2019. "The quest for pro-poor and inclusive growth: the role of governance," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(16), pages 1762-1783, April.
    5. Navaz Naghavi & Muhammad Shujaat Mubarik & Devinder Kaur, 2018. "Financial Liberalization And Stock Market Efficiency: Measuring The Threshold Effects Of Governance," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(04), pages 1-24, December.
    6. Lammertjan Dam & Bert Scholtens & Elmer Sterken, 2007. "Corporate Governance and International Location Decisions of Multinational Enterprises," Corporate Governance: An International Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(6), pages 1330-1347, November.
    7. repec:wvu:wpaper:06-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Jinglian Wu & Shaoqing Huang, 2008. "Innovation or Rent‐seeking: The Entrepreneurial Behavior during China's Economic Transformation," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 16(4), pages 64-81, July.
    9. Gustav Hansson, 2009. "What Determines Rule of Law? An Empirical Investigation of Rival Models," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(3), pages 371-393, August.
    10. Muraközy, László, 2008. "A posztszocialista átmeneten innen és túl. Saul Estrin-Grzegorz W. Kolodko-Milica Uvalic (szerk.): Transition and Beyond [The post-socialist transition from here and beyond. Saul Estrin, Grzegorz W," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 361-371.
    11. Li, Wen Helena & Guo, Bin & De Sisto, Marco, 2021. "Untangling the commonalities and differences between domestic cross-regional experience and international experience in shaping speed of internationalization," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 27(2).
    12. Javorcik, Beata S. & Özden, Çaglar & Spatareanu, Mariana & Neagu, Cristina, 2011. "Migrant networks and foreign direct investment," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 231-241, March.
    13. Otten, Jordan J.A. & Heugens, Pursey P.M.A.R, 2007. "Extending the managerial power theory of executive pay: A cross national test," MPRA Paper 6778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Renard, Robrecht & Molenaers, Nadia, 2006. "L’aide internationale et la quête élusive du developpement socio-economique au Sénégal," IOB Discussion Papers 2006.09, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).
    15. Hella Bani Baghdadi & Sami Aouadi, 2018. "Does Patent Performance Promote Relative Technological Performance in Countries Bordering the Mediterranean?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 9(4), pages 1246-1269, December.
    16. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2007:i:1:p:1-6 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Francois, Joseph & Manchin, Miriam, 2013. "Institutions, Infrastructure, and Trade," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 165-175.
    18. Anis Ochi & Yosra Saidi & Mohamed Ali Labidi, 2024. "Nonlinear Threshold Effect of Governance Quality on Poverty Reduction in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa: a Dynamic Panel Threshold Specification," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 4239-4264, March.
    19. Callen, Michael & Imbs, Jean & Mauro, Paolo, 2015. "Pooling risk among countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 88-99.
    20. Caiazza, Stefano & Pozzolo, Alberto Franco, 2014. "The determinants of abandoned M&As in the banking sector," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp14074, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    21. Laura Recuero Virto & Denis Couvet & Frédéric Ducarme, 2018. "The determinants of economic growth in countries with high marine biodiversity," Working Papers 2018.03, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    22. Gray, Hazel, 2007. "Governance for economic growth and poverty reduction: empirical evidence and new directions reviewed," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 50334, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:171:y:2008:i:3:p:699-722. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rssssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.