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Euro‐Area Yield Curve Reaction to Monetary News

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  • Jérôme Coffinet
  • Sylvain Gouteron

Abstract

. Using intraday data, we assess the impact of monetary news on the full length of the euro‐area yield curve. We find that the publication of monetary data has a significant impact on interest rates with maturities ranging from one to ten years, with the largest effect on the one‐ to five‐year segment. These results suggest that when gauging the policy‐relevant signals, market participants look through short‐term movements of annual M3 growth and focus instead on the trend rate of monetary expansion over the medium term.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Coffinet & Sylvain Gouteron, 2010. "Euro‐Area Yield Curve Reaction to Monetary News," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 11(2), pages 208-224, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:germec:v:11:y:2010:i:2:p:208-224
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0475.2009.00473.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche & Stefan Gerlach, 2007. "Understanding the Link between Money Growth and Inflation in the Euro Area," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: David Cobham (ed.), The Travails of the Eurozone, chapter 2, pages 10-41, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Jung, Alexander, 2016. "Have monetary data releases helped markets to predict the interest rate decisions of the European Central Bank?," Working Paper Series 1926, European Central Bank.
    4. Alexander Jung, 2018. "Have money and credit data releases helped markets to predict the interest rate decisions of the European Central Bank?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 65(1), pages 39-67, February.

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