IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/abacus/v62y2026i1p133-165.html

Games for Attention: Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts for US Listed Foreign Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Jun Chen
  • Yanfang Zhang
  • Albert Tsang
  • Wenming Wang
  • Li Yu

Abstract

Using the staggered hosting of Olympic Games as a shock to market participants’ attention to US listed foreign firms, we find that financial analysts tend to provide more accurate earnings forecasts for US listed foreign firms from Olympics‐hosting countries after their home countries host the Olympics. In particular, analysts who cover US‐listed foreign firms from both hosting and non‐hosting countries provide less accurate forecasts for those firms of lower relative importance from non‐hosting countries in their portfolios. Our cross‐sectional tests show that the effect of hosting the Olympics is more pronounced for firms with intensified media coverage, higher institutional ownership, more transparent information environments, and from Olympics‐hosting countries that are non‐English speaking, culturally distant from the US, and have non‐common law origins. Collectively, our findings provide novel evidence that prominent global sporting events can have a significant effect on the attention reallocation of foreign market participants, particularly financial analysts.

Suggested Citation

  • Jun Chen & Yanfang Zhang & Albert Tsang & Wenming Wang & Li Yu, 2026. "Games for Attention: Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts for US Listed Foreign Firms," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 62(1), pages 133-165, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:abacus:v:62:y:2026:i:1:p:133-165
    DOI: 10.1111/abac.12367
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/abac.12367
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/abac.12367?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marianne Bertrand & Sendhil Mullainathan, 2003. "Enjoying the Quiet Life? Corporate Governance and Managerial Preferences," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 111(5), pages 1043-1075, October.
    2. Frédéric Sonney, 2009. "Financial Analysts' Performance: Sector Versus Country Specialization," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(5), pages 2087-2131, May.
    3. William J. Mayew, 2008. "Evidence of Management Discrimination Among Analysts during Earnings Conference Calls," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 46(3), pages 627-659, June.
    4. Karpoff, Jonathan M. & Lee, Gemma & Masulis, Ronald W., 2013. "Contracting under asymmetric information: Evidence from lockup agreements in seasoned equity offerings," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 607-626.
    5. Green, T. Clifton, 2006. "The Value of Client Access to Analyst Recommendations," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 41(1), pages 1-24, March.
    6. Enrico Spolaore & Romain Wacziarg, 2009. "The Diffusion of Development," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(2), pages 469-529.
    7. Obrien, Pc & Bhushan, R, 1990. "Analyst Following And Institutional Ownership," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28, pages 55-76.
    8. Mark H. Lang & Karl V. Lins & Darius P. Miller, 2003. "ADRs, Analysts, and Accuracy: Does Cross Listing in the United States Improve a Firm's Information Environment and Increase Market Value?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 317-345, May.
    9. Omesh Kini & Shehzad Mian & Michael Rebello & Anand Venkateswaran, 2009. "On the Structure of Analyst Research Portfolios and Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 47(4), pages 867-909, September.
    10. Green, T. Clifton & Jame, Russell & Markov, Stanimir & Subasi, Musa, 2014. "Access to management and the informativeness of analyst research," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 239-255.
    11. Xavier Giroud, 2013. "Proximity and Investment: Evidence from Plant-Level Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(2), pages 861-915.
    12. Wenjing Li & Jeff Ng & Albert Tsang & Oktay Urcan, 2019. "Country-level institutions and management earnings forecasts," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 50(1), pages 48-82, February.
    13. Eugene Soltes, 2014. "Private Interaction Between Firm Management and Sell‐Side Analysts," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 52(1), pages 245-272, March.
    14. Andrew K. Rose & Mark M. Spiegel, 2011. "The Olympic Effect," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(553), pages 652-677, June.
    15. Mark T. Bradshaw & Alan G. Huang & Hongping Tan, 2019. "The Effects of Analyst‐Country Institutions on Biased Research: Evidence from Target Prices," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 57(1), pages 85-120, March.
    16. Du, Qianqian & Yu, Frank & Yu, Xiaoyun, 2017. "Cultural Proximity and the Processing of Financial Information," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(6), pages 2703-2726, December.
    17. Mikhail, MB & Walther, BR & Willis, RH, 1997. "Do security analysts improve their performance with experience?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35, pages 131-157.
    18. T. Bourveau & A. Garel & P. Peter Joos & A. Petit-Romec, 2024. "When attention is away, analysts misplay: distraction and analyst forecast performance," Post-Print hal-03844012, HAL.
    19. Darren T. Roulstone, 2003. "Analyst Following and Market Liquidity," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(3), pages 552-578, September.
    20. Palomino, Frederic & Renneboog, Luc & Zhang, Chendi, 2009. "Information salience, investor sentiment, and stock returns: The case of British soccer betting," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 368-387, June.
    21. Merton, Robert C, 1987. "A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 483-510, July.
    22. Mark H. Lang & Karl V. Lins & Darius P. Miller, 2004. "Concentrated Control, Analyst Following, and Valuation: Do Analysts Matter Most When Investors Are Protected Least?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 589-623, June.
    23. Thomas Bourveau & Alexandre Garel & Peter Joos & Arthur Petit-Romec, 2024. "When attention is away, analysts misplay: distraction and analyst forecast performance," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 916-958, March.
    24. Alex Edmans & Diego García & Øyvind Norli, 2007. "Sports Sentiment and Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(4), pages 1967-1998, August.
    25. Robert A. Baade & Victor A. Matheson, 2016. "Going for the Gold: The Economics of the Olympics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 201-218, Spring.
    26. Pasquale Lucio Scandizzo & Maria Rita Pierleoni, 2018. "Assessing The Olympic Games: The Economic Impact And Beyond," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 649-682, July.
    27. O'Brien, Patricia C. & Tan, Hongping, 2015. "Geographic proximity and analyst coverage decisions: Evidence from IPOs," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 41-59.
    28. Sergei Sarkissian, 2004. "The Overseas Listing Decision: New Evidence of Proximity Preference," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(3), pages 769-809.
    29. Robert M. Bushman & Joseph D. Piotroski & Abbie J. Smith, 2005. "Insider Trading Restrictions and Analysts' Incentives to Follow Firms," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(1), pages 35-66, February.
    30. Jarrad Harford & Feng Jiang & Rong Wang & Fei Xie, 2019. "Analyst Career Concerns, Effort Allocation, and Firms’ Information Environment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(6), pages 2179-2224.
    31. Hoechle, Daniel & Schaub, nic & Schmid, Markus, 2012. "Time Stamp Errors and the Stock Price Reaction to Analyst Recommendation and Forecast Revisions," Working Papers on Finance 1215, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Sep 2015.
    32. Christian Leuz & Karl V. Lins & Francis E. Warnock, 2010. "Do Foreigners Invest Less in Poorly Governed Firms?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(3), pages 3245-3285, March.
    33. Michael Ehrmann & David-Jan Jansen, 2016. "It Hurts (Stock Prices) When Your Team is about to Lose a Soccer Match," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(3), pages 1215-1233.
    34. Clement, Michael B., 1999. "Analyst forecast accuracy: Do ability, resources, and portfolio complexity matter?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 285-303, July.
    35. Kang, Jun-Koo & Stulz, Rene M., 1997. "Why is there a home bias? An analysis of foreign portfolio equity ownership in Japan," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 3-28, October.
    36. Markus Brückner & Evi Pappa, 2015. "News Shocks in the Data: Olympic Games and Their Macroeconomic Effects," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(7), pages 1339-1367, October.
    37. Josef Falkinger, 2008. "Limited Attention as a Scarce Resource in Information-Rich Economies," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(532), pages 1596-1620, October.
    38. Stefano Dellavigna & Joshua M. Pollet, 2009. "Investor Inattention and Friday Earnings Announcements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(2), pages 709-749, April.
    39. Jun-Koo Kang & Jin-Mo Kim, 2010. "Do foreign investors exhibit a corporate governance disadvantage? An information asymmetry perspective," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 41(8), pages 1415-1438, October.
    40. Hirshleifer, David & Levi, Yaron & Lourie, Ben & Teoh, Siew Hong, 2019. "Decision fatigue and heuristic analyst forecasts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 83-98.
    41. Hongping Tan & Shiheng Wang & Michael Welker, 2011. "Analyst Following and Forecast Accuracy After Mandated IFRS Adoptions," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 49(5), pages 1307-1357, December.
    42. Bae, Kee-Hong & Stulz, René M. & Tan, Hongping, 2008. "Do local analysts know more? A cross-country study of the performance of local analysts and foreign analysts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 581-606, June.
    43. Loughran, Tim & McDonald, Bill, 2024. "Measuring Firm Complexity," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 59(6), pages 2487-2514, September.
    44. Vicentiu M. Covrig & Mark L. Defond & Mingyi Hung, 2007. "Home Bias, Foreign Mutual Fund Holdings, and the Voluntary Adoption of International Accounting Standards," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(1), pages 41-70, March.
    45. David Hirshleifer & Sonya Seongyeon Lim & Siew Hong Teoh, 2009. "Driven to Distraction: Extraneous Events and Underreaction to Earnings News," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(5), pages 2289-2325, October.
    46. Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G., 2001. "Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure, and the capital markets: A review of the empirical disclosure literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 405-440, September.
    47. deHaan, Ed & Shevlin, Terry & Thornock, Jacob, 2015. "Market (in)attention and the strategic scheduling and timing of earnings announcements," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 36-55.
    48. Mariassunta Giannetti & Yishay Yafeh, 2012. "Do Cultural Differences Between Contracting Parties Matter? Evidence from Syndicated Bank Loans," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(2), pages 365-383, February.
    49. Daniel Bradley & Sinan Gokkaya & Xi Liu, 2017. "Before an Analyst Becomes an Analyst: Does Industry Experience Matter?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(2), pages 751-792, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Thomas Bourveau & Alexandre Garel & Peter Joos & Arthur Petit-Romec, 2024. "When attention is away, analysts misplay: distraction and analyst forecast performance," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 916-958, March.
    2. T. Bourveau & A. Garel & P. Peter Joos & A. Petit-Romec, 2024. "When attention is away, analysts misplay: distraction and analyst forecast performance," Post-Print hal-03844012, HAL.
    3. Xie, Lingmin & Chen, Zhian & Li, Donghui & Tan, Hongping, 2022. "Foreign analysts and managerial investment learning from stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Blankespoor, Elizabeth & deHaan, Ed & Marinovic, Iván, 2020. "Disclosure processing costs, investors’ information choice, and equity market outcomes: A review," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(2).
    5. Stolowy, Hervé & Jeanjean, Thomas & Erkens, Michael, 2011. "The economic consequences of increasing the international visibility of financial reports," HEC Research Papers Series 957, HEC Paris.
    6. Li, Zihui & Ma, Lijun & Zhang, Min, 2025. "Does a sudden breakdown in public information search impair analyst forecast accuracy? Evidence from China," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Suresh Kadam & Madhvi Sethi, 2026. "Mapping the Landscape of Analyst Stock Recommendations: A Bibliometric Analysis," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 17(2), pages 3740-3793, April.
    8. Qiang Cheng & Fei Du & Xin Wang & Yutao Wang, 2016. "Seeing is believing: analysts’ corporate site visits," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1245-1286, December.
    9. Tsang, Albert & Xiang, Yi & Yu, Li, 2023. "Cross-border regulatory cooperation and analyst forecasts," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. William Bazley & Carina Cuculiza & Kevin Pisciotta, 2025. "Sleep Disruptions and Information Processing in Financial Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(4), pages 3146-3165, April.
    11. Beyer, Anne & Cohen, Daniel A. & Lys, Thomas Z. & Walther, Beverly R., 2010. "The financial reporting environment: Review of the recent literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 296-343, December.
    12. Christian Leuz & Peter D. Wysocki, 2016. "The Economics of Disclosure and Financial Reporting Regulation: Evidence and Suggestions for Future Research," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 54(2), pages 525-622, May.
    13. Albert Tsang & Kun Tracy Wang & Nathan Zhenghang Zhu, 2025. "Foreign media slant, foreign investors, and informativeness of earnings," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 79-118, March.
    14. Thomas Jeanjean & Hervé Stolowy & Michael Erkens, 2012. "Economic consequences of adopting English for annual reports," Post-Print hal-00690931, HAL.
    15. Hope, Ole-Kristian & Su, Xijiang, 2021. "Peer-level analyst transitions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Liu, Qigui & Chi, Wenqiang & Wang, Junyi, 2024. "How informative is question-and-answer similarity to financial analysts? Evidence from Chinese earnings communication conferences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    17. Kim, Incheol & Lee, Suin & Ryou, Jiwoo, 2024. "Does climate risk influence analyst forecast accuracy?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    18. Huang, Allen H. & Lin, An-Ping & Zang, Amy Y., 2022. "Cross-industry information sharing among colleagues and analyst research," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1).
    19. Brian Gibbons & Peter Iliev & Jonathan Kalodimos, 2021. "Analyst Information Acquisition via EDGAR," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 769-793, February.
    20. Wu, Runze, 2023. "Sports Mood Index and sell-side analysts," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 35-48.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:abacus:v:62:y:2026:i:1:p:133-165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0001-3072 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.