IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjc/journl/v11y2024i10p261-271.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Long-Run Bound Cointegration Influence of Unemployment Rate on the Nigerian Economic Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Jamilu SALIHU

    (Department of Banking & Finance, Kano State Polytechnic)

  • Ummi Ibrahim Atah

    (Department of Economics, Sa’adatu Rimi University of Education, Kumbotso, Kano State.)

  • Muhammad Ahmad Usman

    (Department of Economics, Sa’adatu Rimi University of Education, Kumbotso, Kano State.)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the relative influence of the macroeconomic variables on the Nigerian economic growth for the purpose of sustaining the country’s economic development. The paper focuses on the unemployment rate, inflation rate and exchange rate as independent variables. Gross Domestic Products (GDP) is considered as dependent variable. The study uses the aforementioned dependent and independents macroeconomic variables from the year 2001 to 2022 annual Nigerian data. The study adopts Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model to analyze the cointegration and long-run impact of inflation rate, exchange rate and unemployment rate on the GDP for the Nigerian economic growth. The result of the bound cointegration test indicates the palpable cointegration in the model. The study further found that inflation rate has insignificant effect on the economic growth. The unemployment rate has negative impact on the economic growth in the long run. Although the result found that the exchange rate positively influences the economic growth, only the exchange rate lag one that affects the dependent variable in the long run. The implication of the study findings indicate that the acceleration of economic growth could be achieved through measures for solving issues of unemployment rate in the country. Hence, the practical implication of the study is the creation of job opportunity for the sustainability of economic development.

Suggested Citation

  • Jamilu SALIHU & Ummi Ibrahim Atah & Muhammad Ahmad Usman, 2024. "The Long-Run Bound Cointegration Influence of Unemployment Rate on the Nigerian Economic Growth," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 11(10), pages 261-271, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:11:y:2024:i:10:p:261-271
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/digital-library/volume-11-issue-10/261-271.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/articles/the-long-run-bound-cointegration-influence-of-unemployment-rate-on-the-nigerian-economic-growth/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dimakatso Sekwati & Mbulaheni Albert Dagume, 2023. "Effect of Unemployment and Inflation on Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 35-45, January.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Raymond Chi Wing Ng, 2002. "Long-Run Demand for Money in Hong Kong: An Application of the ARDL Model," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 1(2), pages 147-155, August.
    3. Mohammed Yelwa & Okoroafor O.K.David & Awe, Emmanuel Omoniyi, 2015. "Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1987-2012," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 102-109, August.
    4. Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y. & Smith, R. J., 1996. "Testing for the 'Existence of a Long-run Relationship'," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9622, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Mohd Zaini Abd KARIM & Chan Sok GEE, 2006. "Stock Market Integration Between Malaysia and its Major Trading Partners (1994-2002)," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(3).
    6. MacKinnon, James G, 1992. "Model Specification Tests and Artificial Regressions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 102-146, March.
    7. Ijaz Uddin & Khalil Ur Rahman, 2023. "Impact of corruption, unemployment and inflation on economic growth evidence from developing countries," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2759-2779, June.
    8. repec:eme:jpvi00:14635789710181450 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Fengbao Yin & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2011. "Estimating the import demand function in the autoregressive distributed lag framework: The case of China," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(2), pages 1576-1591.
    10. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1979. "A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1287-1294, September.
    11. Meltzer, Allan H, 1981. "Keynes's General Theory: A Different Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 34-64, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jamilu SALIHU, 2024. "Macroeconomic Variables’ Impact on Rental Rate in the United Kingdom Islamic Home Financing Using Bound Cointegration Test," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 11(10), pages 635-647, October.
    2. Chien-Chung Nieh & Yu-Shan Wang, 2005. "ARDL Approach to the Exchange Rate Overshooting in Taiwan," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 55-71, August.
    3. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2006. "Monetary policy and dividend growth in Germany: long-run structural modelling versus bounds testing approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(12), pages 1409-1423.
    4. Imimole Benedict, 2014. "An Examination of the Stability of Narrow Money Demand Function in Nigeria," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(4), pages 252-260.
    5. Hwang, Jen-Te & Wen, Min, 2024. "Electronic payments and money demand in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 47-64.
    6. Charles G. Renfro, 2009. "The Practice of Econometric Theory," Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, Springer, number 978-3-540-75571-5, April.
    7. Nor Fatimah Che Sulaiman & Ishak Yussof & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & Noorasiah Sulaiman, 2017. "Long Run Relationship between Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Evidence from Malaysia," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 7(6), pages 73-88, June.
    8. Rajarathinam Arunachalam, 2024. "Cointegration Modeling for COVID-19 Infected Cases and Deaths in the US," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(1), pages 1-2.
    9. Hisham Handal Abdelbaki, 2013. "Causality Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Development: Evidence from Bahrain," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(1), pages 69-84.
    10. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2005. "(How) Do Stock Market Returns React to Monetary Policy? - An ARDL Cointegration Analysis for Germany," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 253/2005, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    11. Asche, Frank & Tveteras, Ragnar, 1999. "Modeling Production Risk With A Two-Step Procedure," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-16, December.
    12. Belsley, David A., 2002. "An investigation of an unbiased correction for heteroskedasticity and the effects of misspecifying the skedastic function," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(9-10), pages 1379-1396, August.
    13. Adrien Bernard Bonache & Philippe Chapellier & Zouhour Ben Hamadi & Abdallah Mohammed, 2015. "Determinants of the complexity of accounting information systems of managers of SMEs: Cultural contingencies and endogeneity [Les déterminants de la complexité des systèmes d'information comptables," Post-Print hal-03822778, HAL.
    14. I. Sebastian Buhai & Coen N. Teulings, 2014. "Tenure Profiles and Efficient Separation in a Stochastic Productivity Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 245-258, April.
    15. Kentaka Aruga & Md. Monirul Islam & Arifa Jannat, 2024. "Assessing the CO 2 Emissions and Energy Source Consumption Nexus in Japan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-18, July.
    16. Zakir Husain & Mousumi Dutta & Nidhi Chowdhary, 2014. "Is Health Wealth? Results of a Panel Data Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 117(1), pages 121-143, May.
    17. Hao, James C.J. & Chou, Lin-Yhi, 2005. "The estimation of efficiency for life insurance industry: The case in Taiwan," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 847-860, October.
    18. Boikos, Spyridon & Bucci, Alberto & Stengos, Thanasis, 2013. "Non-monotonicity of fertility in human capital accumulation and economic growth," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 44-59.
    19. Ioannis Bournakis & Dimitris Christopoulos & Sushanta Mallick, 2018. "Knowledge Spillovers And Output Per Worker: An Industry‐Level Analysis For Oecd Countries," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 1028-1046, April.
    20. Thomas F. Crossley & Hamish W. Low, 2011. "Is The Elasticity Of Intertemporal Substitution Constant?," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 87-105, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:11:y:2024:i:10:p:261-271. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Renu Malsaria (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.